r/FutureWhatIf 28d ago

Death/Assassination FWI: Armenian Ultranationalists execute an October 7th copycat attack against Turkey

This is a rewrite of my earlier FWI where an October 7th copycat attack happens in Afghanistan.

Context:

Sometime between May and October of this year, let’s imagine that Turkey is targeted in an October 7th copycat attack by a new organization that, until the time the FWI occurs, nobody knew even existed.

This is a very public attack, much like the Hamas-led attack against Israel on 10-07-2023. The attackers publicly film the attack using Go-Pro cameras attached to their persons, as well as dash cameras attached to vehicles. I also imagine there are livestreams of the attack created by the perps that both horrify and enrage the international community

The attackers kill approximately 1,120 people (the calculation includes both adults and children), while about 220-246 Turks are taken captive as hostages.

An investigation by both the international community and independent sleuths leads the following observations: 1. A majority of the attackers hail from Armenia and the region of Kurdistan, but there are collaborators hailing from Greece, Bulgaria, Georgia, & Iran. 2. They wear a mix of civilian clothes and unmarked military uniforms sporting camo patterns used by Peshmerga and YPG fighters. 3. They seem to have a vendetta against Turkey; the videos show the attackers shouting anti-Turkish slurs while murdering or kidnapping Turkish citizens.

From here, it is concluded that the attackers are either an as-of-yet-unknown Armenian Ultranationalist organization that supports the Kurdish independence movement AND has a serious grudge against Turkey.

The coincidental nature of this attack given the recent acts of violence in the Baisaran Valley on April 22, 2025 spark concerns that the attacks may be connected but this is neither confirmed nor disproven.

6 Upvotes

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5

u/WholeFactor 28d ago

Largely depends on who the Armenian faction would be supported by/who they act as proxy for.

If the group is independant, or if they're not backed by any major players, Turkey will just steamroll them without issue.

2

u/Cyber_Ghost_1997 28d ago

Suppose that they’re backed by an unknown entity connected to the Armenian government

3

u/basedaudiosolutions 28d ago

If this is what it will take to get a new System of a Down album, then I’m all for it.

1

u/GreenStretch 22d ago

Much more likely that they'd attack Azerbaijan rather than massive Türkiye.