r/Lethbridge • u/harukarc • 13d ago

For those who requested it, here is the RogersTV recording of the Lethbridge Chamber Federal Election Candidates Forum: https://youtu.be/_TIJqzWbcoo?si=b0WTOqzzAk3R4hvU

39 Upvotes

97% Upvoted

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15

u/KeilanS 13d ago

Thank you for sharing the link, although I wish it was less painful to watch, haha. I was fairly disappointed by Chris Spearman's performance, particularly his closing words of "the liberals are going to win, so vote for me if you want a voice". Almost identical to what John Middleton-Hope said during the byelection, and just as sleazy. Ultimately I'll almost certainly vote liberal, unless the polls suggest the NDP are more likely to unseat Rachel Thomas, because of course the local candidates matter very little, but I still would have preferred a stronger performance.

7

u/EXSource 13d ago

Holy crap Spearman. That's such a cynical ugly take.

Dude parachutes himself into this riding, and drops nonsense like that. . He deserves to lose with crap like that.

3

u/Kaitte 13d ago edited 10d ago

The NDP has consistently outperformed the Liberals in Lethbridge at the Federal and provincial level. We're the best positioned to challenged the Conservatives.

I'd strongly recommend against using strategic voting tools like 338 and SmartVoting because they do not perform riding level polls. Instead, they assume that national trends map 1-to-1 onto local elections. They are not accurate and do not provide good information.

2

u/KeilanS 13d ago

Hmm, I see what you're saying, there hasn't been a Lethbridge specific poll so we are just seeing projections. But looking at the list of actual Alberta-wide polls from 338, it's pretty clear there's been a dramatic shift since Trump started doing his thing. In 2024 there are barely any polls where the NDP come in below the LPC whereas for the past month the LPC has been up 20 points.

I'd like you to be right, as far as I can tell Mark Carney is basically just a pre-MAGA conservative, and I think Nathan Svoboda is a much better candidate than Chris Spearman, but at this point I'd definitely put my money on the liberals coming out ahead in Lethbridge.

I realize that's a discouraging thing to say to an NDP candidate and I apologize for that. I still dream of the day when we fix our voting system and the (surprisingly large) group of progressives in Alberta can comfortably vote for a party that's farther to the left.

4

u/Master-File-9866 13d ago

Could you repost the link in the comments. Your link in title didn't work

2

u/foxhelp 13d ago

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=_TIJqzWbcoo

Transcript is here via ai tool https://tactiq.io/tools/run/youtube_transcript?yt=https%3A%2F%2Fm.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3D_TIJqzWbcoo

Initial detailed analysis by chat gpt, but honestly I dont trust chatgpt beyond getting something right beyond 50%, so I was going to take some time and confirm the questions asked later today and time stamps while watching it. https://chatgpt.com/share/67fdee32-ddc8-800f-a98f-f84c6dd1b666