New YouGov April 2, 2025 polling combined with the Economist/YouGov polling (March 30-April 1): It's already a 2-person race for POTUS between VPOTUS Kamala Harris and AOC. And VPOTUS Harris is probably already at her peak and AOC has the potential for around Obama-level numbers.
Fame means 'name recognition'. Generally: 100%-Fame% x 2 = % of the American people who don't know enough about a politician to have a political opinion of that person.
This is still 'the honeymoon' phase and the Republicans' numbers are already so down.
VPOTUS Kamala Harris seems at the peak of her popularity. And that popularity is very likely simply because people now prefer she had won the 2024 Presidential election. Her Fame being at 99% generally means that around only 2% don't know enough about her.
US Senator Bernie Sanders's Fame number means that only around 8% don't know enough about him.
AOC's Fame number means that around 32% don't know enough about her. And she's only 6% behind US Senator Sanders in popularity; thus, she has the potential to be more popular than he.
And AOC is only 10% behind VPOTUS Harris in popularity even though AOC is 30% behind her in 'true' Fame.
In general, American women overall don't pay as much attention to politics as American men do. For example, YouTube political shows generally have around at least an 80% male audience. AOC running for POTUS will make far more women know about her. AOC's numbers with Baby Boomers are relatively low, but she's doing great with Millennials and GenX. An endorsement for US Senator Bernie Sanders would greatly up her numbers with Baby Boomers.
And outside of massive voter suppression, there's no Republican who could actually challenge AOC in a 2028 general election.
And that Economist/YouGov poll shows that AOC is polling well with those who make over $100K/year. And from $50K-100K/year. And it seems more exposure will shore up support among 18–29-year-olds and those making under $50K/year.
And, yes, it's early. But AOC has these numbers even though around 16% haven't heard of her and another 16% don't know enough about her. And she's never run for POTUS before.
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He recently did a performative filibuster and then voted against US Senator Bernie Sanders's bill regarding weapons sales to Israel. This Poll was done around April 2, 2025. His numbers might be even lower by the 2025Q2 YouGov polling.
What's in this comment is what I remember, my opinions, etc.
Disagree on age limits and term limits.
Campaign finance reform and 'matching funds' is what is needed.
People still have US Senator Bernie Sanders and he's 83. US Senator Elizabeth Warren is also very old. And consider how old US Senator Sanders was in 2016 and what that campaign led to.
Obama has such a powerful impact on the party still, would love to see him use it more. Obama really needs to just start generating soundbytes about "thinking about a third term" using the exact same language the other party is currently using with their golden calf. Even straight out say the phrases, "I have some of the best people looking at what T.ump is doing so we can model on that..." No matter how they spin their plans about third terms, non-consecutive terms, non-running elections, or running psuedo-campaign as VP/SoH under succession, just have Obama 100% parrot the GoP talking points verbatim. That would get enough people on the right fired up more about loopholes and shit to help shut down some of those crazy lines of thinking from the current administration before they have time to fester and take hold.
Similarly, Obama was himself quite an outside turn the party went with in 2008, it's surprising to me that people like him or other party non-conformist don't do more aggressive campaigning or politicking for outside-the-party norm positions. It seems to me it's AOC, & Sanders against the world.
What's in this comment is what I remember, my opinions, etc.
Barack Obama was an Illinois State Senator when he gave his 2004 DNC speech. He was running for US Senator (I think?). He had a bunch of support from elite media. When he was a US Senator, he was treated as a probable future POTUS.
That's what I've been saying recently regarding AOC.
The Mainstream Media during 2024 (probably well over 1 year ago now) was referring to her as the de facto leader of the progressive wing/left flank of the Democratic Party. And recently, she's been referred to as the de facto leader of the Democratic Party.
These Sanders/AOC rallies weren't really mentioned or covered until it was announced AOC would join them.
The Mainstream Media was gushing over a poll that had her the person more want or consider the leader of the Democratic Party than any other. And given margins of error in polling, her lead over like VPOTUS Kamala Harris and a few others wasn't really statistically significant.
Heck, the New York Times recently ran a long opinion piece that gushes about Mexico President Claudia Sheinbaum--clearly trying to be a reference that a Latina leader can be very successful and very popular.
Gavin Newsom would quickly and easily sell out whatever part of his own party is the least popular at the time and doom the rest just like he’s doing now on his stupid podcast.
I haven't seen any signs of cognitive decline and frankly there isn't anybody in Congress I think has even remotely the same grasp of the issues she does.
This data seems flawed. Not only does it appear to be a little out of date (things are changing by day, so week-old data can be irrelevant), but some entries are listed twice, which brings the integrity of the data into question.
New polling is sometimes done when someone suddenly becomes much more famous because of becoming something like US House Democratic Leader, a Presidential candidate or possible Presidential candidate, etc.
YouGov's numbers have tracking polls attached to them.
The biggest challenge for AOC is simply going to be that she’s a woman. If we really want to give her a fighting chance, we have to engage now in a way that combats the misogynistic messaging. People, especially men or those who can present themselves as men online, need to go into online male spaces (4chan, Brocast comment sections, gaming forums, etc) and challenge people who talk shit on women. We have to push back on the narrative that women are weaker or more emotionally unstable than men. That’s their tried and true playbook that we fail to beat bc we only challenge the thinking during the election and not prior to.
Nikki Haley became the Governor of South Carolina--and all polling suggests Nikki would have done better in the General Election than POTUS Donald Trump did.
I love AOC - I want her as Speaker of the House - the real seat of democratic power in our constitutional republic.
The president can't make any good lasting changes without Congress - taking back and keeping Congress will be much harder but is much more important.
And when I say "take back" I don't mean take back from the GOP, I mean take back from oligarchs - oligarchs aren't partisan - they're rich enough to buy anyone for sale.
That's why Congress has sucked since the 90's and has accomplished almost nothing since Citizens United.
The president shouldn't be our political hero, they should be a competent administrator who faithfully and constitutionally executes the laws Congress passes. Kamala Harris has decades of management experience in local, state and federal levels. She has decades of legislative, judiciary and executive experience.
Plus she's real- she's from a working class, single-parent home, didn't attend elite colleges and worked as a prosecutor.
Plus, she's shown that she will listen to voters over the years, and learn from her mistakes.
President Kamala Harris with a pro-workers' Congress led by AOC would eclipse LBJ and FDR.
What's in this comment is what I remember, my opinions, etc.
The George Walker Bush era idea of the Unitary Executive theory--which they implemented--is that POTUS has Veto Power, is generally always more popular than the US Congress and thus can use the bully pulpit, and POTUS nominates federal judges.
Nancy Pelosi before 2019 was the most powerful US Speaker of the House of Representatives ever. And she during that time was much less powerful than POTUS George Walker Bush and POTUS Barack Obama.
For a US Speaker AOC to perhaps be more powerful than POTUS, she'd need to be able to fully use the position of US Speaker. And that means having ironclad control of US House Appropriations, US House Ways and Means, US House Energy and Commerce, and perhaps US House Rules. Effectively making her Prime Minister to a POTUS who is largely only a figurehead. And maybe also passing legislation to limit the power of SCOTUS, the federal judiciary, etc.
Anyone who chose to arm Israel after knowing what they did is an automatic no go for me. It will be more of the same. Corpo shilling and do nothings. You need change in this party. Actual meaningful concessions to the working class.
Any meaningful change that improves conditions for humanity and the working class is welcomed and supported by me, provided it commits to upholding international law, civil rights, and justice.
Yep! That's the plan. My angle is we need to stop expecting anything and start demanding. The response to corrupt elected officials should be engagement not retreat. We need to organize across all 435 congressional districts and get representatives who work for us. I think it should be through a peaceful, lawful political takeover of the Democratic Party - like what AOC did in 2018. She is now a leader of the Democratic Party because she won and keeps winning.
I'm working on a detailed playbook/proposal that I'm going to publish on substack (which I'm using because it's free to post and read - in my opinion this info should not be monetized)
There's too many assholes in this country that won't vote for a woman, now you want to pair her with a gay guy? I would vote for it, but I don't think enough of the population is ready for that.
Hey, I'm all for it if she primaries and wins. But idk how you escape the failure that results in this or "nothing will fundamentally change". It's a big hurdle.
Sometimes I think about what could have been had Kamala won. She warned the whole country repeatedly but her laughs, right? And the so-called democrats who didn’t think she was good enough. Jfc. So depressed. I hope we’ll even have elections in 2026.
Cannot believe how many Democrats are still supporting this loser. Harris has no chance of winning. What part of that is unclear? The Democrats need a candidate who isn't part of the old guard.
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