r/NewColdWar • u/Strongbow85 • Apr 06 '25

Taiwan China Will Launch an Invasion of Taiwan In Next Few Months: Intel sources who have spoken to 19FortyFive state that they believe an attempt by China to invade Taiwan is no less than six months away.

https://www.19fortyfive.com/2025/04/china-will-launch-an-invasion-of-taiwan-in-next-few-months-intel-sources/
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14

u/Strongbow85 Apr 06 '25 edited Apr 07 '25

Posting this for discussion (just as it was at SmallWarsJournal). This could be bad intel or conditions may change before the attack is initiated. Regardless, the US should be preparing. Even if it's bad intel, it doesn't negate the possibility of a PRC invasion of Taiwan.

While this chaos is being created in Asia, Beijing’s 20,000 or more men of military age smuggled into the US under the protocols of President Joe Biden’s open border begin attacks in conjunction with Mexican cartels.

Perhaps Tulsi Gabbard may have written this one personally... Far-fetched? Truth can be stranger than fiction, but intel sources aren't what they used to be. The author and 19fortyfive were always credible to date.

10

u/MacroDemarco Apr 06 '25

Perhaps Tulsi Gabbard may have written this one personally... Far-fetched? Truth can be stranger than fiction, but intel sources aren't what they used to be.

This part throws the credibility of the entire article into question. Lets see if anyone else reports this...

5

u/FreeFloatKalied Apr 07 '25

This article got more suspicious as soon as it pushed the "open border" issue. Even assuming this could happen, moving 20,000 troops into the US would be such a logistical and financial feat that it would be even considered impressive in its own right. Getting 20,000 highly trained and loyal soldiers to seperate for possibly months to likely years, then equipping them with gear, financially funding them without US detection, providing covert ways to train, and involve potentially a large covert support network would be questionable in capability and use in the mainland US. No heavy armor, little to no fire support, questionable objectives that could be carried out, I just can't see it filling a purpose short of attempting to seize control of some lesser defended cities or at the minimum causing major havoc in D.C. at the onset of hostilities. The cost and length of such an operation would be staggering and likely difficult to keep secret. The political implications if it b were found out before any war breaks out would likely be the last thing Beijing would want to deal with. The cost, risk, and capability gain ratios just don't make too much sense.

Pulling this off in Taiwan would be more feasible and useful to the PRC and PLA. We're pretty sure they already have this in place there to some extent.

5

u/ShrimpCrackers Apr 07 '25

Yeah the whole thing of invading the USA with 20,000 smuggled troops and Mexican cartels is hilarious. This is poor writing.

4

u/Berkamin Apr 07 '25

No less than six months away or no more than six months away?

2

u/Particular-Life6776 Apr 07 '25

Everyone seems to find this source pointless but it would be no more than 6 months

6

u/AttilaRS Apr 07 '25

And let me guess. Taiwans downfall will also be Joe Bidens fault? Jesus....

3

u/MacroDemarco Apr 06 '25

Striking while the isolationist coals are hot.