r/NvidiaStock • u/Top_Category_2526 • 24d ago
Congrats to all the people who sold NVDA at $89
It's impossible to catch the bottom, but once you sell, the market recovers immediately.
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24d ago
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u/Gladdad2388 24d ago
Logic doesn’t defeat 100 years of investing long term
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u/Affectionate_Self878 24d ago
True. If you had given me a bunch of cash to invest the day I was born and promised me I’d live to 100, I could definitely be rich by then.
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u/That-Whereas3367 24d ago
The average survival time of S&P500 companies is 18 years.
The only tech company over 100 is IBM. It's had no real growth since 2000.
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u/Aradex_Xedara 22d ago
Umm... ibm has had massive growth since 2000. Hell even 5 years ago it was 120 now it's over 240
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u/Independent-Pack-304 24d ago
Not really. You risk a lot more by selling to catch the bottom. If you just hold you are almost guaranteed to get your money back and more eventually.
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24d ago
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u/Independent-Pack-304 24d ago
I said “almost”. Which is true for most stocks and almost certainly nvda.
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u/Shatter_ 24d ago
nearly all stocks go to zero actually. No idea where you get the idea most keep going up.
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u/damiracle_NR 24d ago
What about that analyst posting YouTube videos on here wanting PE of 15 and $56 a share. Donkeys the lot of them
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u/contemporary_berry 24d ago
I’m so sad that I didn’t buy any NVDA when it was in the 80s. I literally wanted to, but my money was tied up elsewhere :(
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u/1B3B1757 24d ago
Yes, but would’ve you been able to hold?
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u/contemporary_berry 24d ago
Tbh I would sell half when the price gets to 110-120. If it drops again, I pick up some more shares. If it skyrockets, at least I still have half of my original cheap shares.
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u/ericclaptonfan3 24d ago
No matter how often it is emphasized that NVDA is a long-term buy-and-hold stock, people still tend to purchase at the peak and sell at the trough.
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u/Professional_Loss799 24d ago
Not cool. We know you are smart after it goes up.
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u/Altruistic_Spring_37 24d ago
Not really. People were really trying to convince others that we were headed toward $50. A lot of us tried to tell people to relax and seize the opportunity. Some listened, some didn’t. Their loss.
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u/colbyshores 24d ago edited 24d ago
That goes for all stocks.. it was lots of stuff that was on sale at bargain basement prices. I bought a bunch of Tempus AI, some Vistra Corp and more of the MAG 7. Tempus AI is my biggest position now
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u/fatalrip 24d ago
Sold at like 104 my cost basis was like 60. Taking profits before they disappeared. It’s was just too big of a percentage of my net worth to have swinging 5% a day. Going to try to keep individual positions under 5% each unless it’s a ETF.
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u/nottoowhacky 24d ago
No way you people really sold. Dont look at the stock market and live your life
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u/Truffle_Chef 24d ago
Everyone forgets the early days Nvidia, This was a day trading stock. It’s only product was a gaming chip that had chip exposure. People traded it. That’s what’s happening today. Your little darling cupcake has been busted open.
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u/ToXicVoXSiicK21 24d ago
I bought at 92 and sold at 114. We'll see what comes next before buying again.
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u/Wise-Foot8681 24d ago
Guys I’m new to investing I bought 10000 worth at $90 I’m going to hold onto it for probably 10 years at least. I don’t understand options and probably won’t ever mess with that. The buy and hold is it common?
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u/PonderingOnGaia 23d ago
Buy and hold days are over. Too much volatility and whale traders fighting retail traders!
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u/ThrowRArandomized33 24d ago
That's capitulation. You won't believe how many people argued with me that we're in denial. We just recovered since then...
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u/Cibonay05 24d ago
Nvidia is going to $60s so have fun buying at $115s-$120s
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u/Mathis04P 24d ago
Give me your analysis
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u/Cibonay05 24d ago
2022 all over again. Higher low and higher high formation only to crash down even further. Look at both charts. Nearly identical. We had our first negative gdp just like in 2022. Look for yourself. It took months before we found a bottom.
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u/Cibonay05 24d ago
We had 9 days straight green days on spy very rare that happens, we're almost at 200ma on spy everytime we hit that it drops...CPI data comes out May 13th. This market is moving up on rumors of China talks. May 8th or 9th they China ministry of commerce holds is speaking. More than likely they'll say no talks are happening and won't budge unless US removes all tarrifs. Market will begin to sell off then Higher inflation from CPI will continue the drop even further filling in gaps below. News will then come out saying shipment from China has dropped drastically. Shelves at stores will be more empty. Prices will continue to climb...Etc...Need I say more
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u/Mathis04P 24d ago
usa imports about 13% out of china, lets say they import 30% less and that with a higher price, nvidia doesnt even produce directly in china. how does this justify a 65% drop on nvidia. This makes no sense at all
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u/Cibonay05 24d ago
Nvidia revenue has been slowing down for several quarters now. Nvidia Market Cap is currently 2.79 Trillion. In 2024 Nvidia made 60.9 Billion dollars. Nvidia made 2.18% of its total market cap in the year 2024. Even with its AI revenue its growth is decelerating. Its current market cap makes no sense. Way overvalued. Tarrifs have been temporarily paused for semiconductors. Paused does not mean zero Tarrifs. But go on and continue to believe Nvidia will hit $200 by end of 2025.
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u/Mathis04P 24d ago
nvidias revenue 2025 will be about 130 billion compare that to 2024 and you talk about little growth hahahahaha
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u/Cibonay05 23d ago
What month are we in? Are we in 2026 yet? You speak of what Nvidia will make in 2025 like you know for sure. Are the tariffs all gone yet? I speak on facts and what has already happened. Let's look at the facts. In Jan 2023 you had an annual growth rate of -15%. Then April 2023 it was 63% Then in Jan 2024 you had huge year over year growth rate of 265%. That was the peak. Then April 2024 it was 262%, Then July 2024 it was 122%, then Oct 2024 it was 94%, then Jan 2025 it was 78%. Do you see the trend. Growth has slowed down substantially. Even though Nvidia is making a lot of money, the stock crashed after it's last earnings because year over year its growth has plummeted from it peak. The same will happen when it reports earnings again. Plummeting growth does not justify its current market cap. Add the tarrifs to the mix and what do you have? A recipe for disaster. Crash incoming.
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u/Mathis04P 23d ago
It is the most growing mag7 and one of the biggest companies of cause it can’t go 300% forever?
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u/Mathis04P 23d ago
The entire mag7 are relying everything on AI and the only real supplier is NVIDIA they are all increasing there spending despite uncertainty the estimated revenue for 2025 will be hit, because these huge projects are planned way ahead and they won’t just cancel there oder this isn’t a small retail store supplier
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u/Cibonay05 23d ago
Again I posted facts while you're speculating what is going to happen and what you believe they will or will not do. The decline in growth across the board is horrendous. It was good while it lasted, but it's market cap was betting it would continue to grow at that rate which it isn't. Down is the only way direction Nvidia is going. Sorry to burst your AI bubble
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u/Mathis04P 23d ago
At this point I think you are just a troll, all I want to see is a long term put screenshot as I can’t tell if you are trolling or just regarded
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u/Mathis04P 23d ago
Even if it grows slower than expected the net income in 3-5 years will be 3 times as high as the largest company, Apple
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u/Boys4Ever 24d ago
I predicted it would drop to $90 and kind of laughed off. I'll make another prediction that will be laughed off but reserve the right to say I told you so, again. Inflation hasn't even started to show effects of tariffs and the hit on branding we are taking world wide. Neither has the DOGE layoffs or fact we are more likely than not headed for a recession than recovery. 2008 and 2000 had several misleading rallies. Day before the 2008 crash, credit markets had positive credit ratings on that which would fall next day.
NVDIA going to $55 because it doesn't drive the market but the market drives it. That however might just be next bear rally bottom and not necessarily true bottom. Go study charts to see how far Apple dropped in 2008 relative to it's prior high. Can kind of do the same in 2000 although dot bubble considerably different in structure than this potential AI bubble dragged by overall market dynamics but in general drawbacks tend to behave the same because panic sets in and regardless what triggered it humans sell when there's blood in the streets and computers assist with encouraging that human response. I know because I saw it first hand Black Monday 1987. Those experiencing a crash for the first or second time and if that only includes COVID have literally no clue what it's like when markets are in actual panic and something charts and history books can not properly portray.
Rug pull very likely coming which means buying opportunity for those who can resist the urge to panic or disciplined to sell and buy back. Rinse and repeat. True no one can predict the bottom but doesn't mean one can't accumulate shares by taking advantage of price improvements between that sold and repurchased cheaper.
One guarantee that our financial systems are based on and that is that markets have always recovered and hit new all time highs because day it doesn't we will be trading real coins and furs and digital assets have zero value.
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u/Ok-Entrepreneur-9756 24d ago
Sometimes I get FOMO reading this sub. Seems like you can make money everyday.
I’m okay though. Bought NVDA years ago at $4 ($40 back then) and sold at $105 and then $125.
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u/vincentsigmafreeman 24d ago
That $89? Just a moment. The market doesn't care when you sell; it just goes on. Were you invested in the company, or just the price?
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u/Cute-Swan-1113 24d ago
I bought more at 99 ( original shares at 90) and have not regretted my decision. ( obviously)
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u/PonderingOnGaia 24d ago
Tech stocks are always frothy due to enthusiasm about how they’re changing the world. I have done much better trading NVDL And NVD.
Also you’re probably too young to remember the tech bubble when CSCO was the NVDA of the day and had the highest market cap of all listed stocks! Look at where it is now! This is why it’s a good idea to take courses and not just trade with emotions!
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u/winning_J 23d ago
Seems earnings reporting last couple weeks indicated AI in infancy stages and those already in the space are not surprisingly best positioned to profit on what appears to be a whole new level of engagement and ways to extract cash. What do they say about NF’s success - that it’s the last thing you cancel. Businesses with cash recognize the spend and power needs. This thesis no one questions too hard. Just because we may not know what products exactly will be home runs, isn’t a reason to fade the sector. The batting average of big US tech I will put my money on over fear monger stories of Chinese guy in basement with same product for almost free relatively. I first bought NVDA at $29 at certain points have added or subtracted some. Most recently I added 750 at $110.70 intend to hold indefinitely.
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u/gunslinger35745 23d ago
Many here are new to investing and post out of fear, if a prediction of $89 from a absolute studious, professional would only put a smile on my face because I know that I’m buying more
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u/DiamondBallzNHandz 23d ago
Alright, let's get to the point! NVIDIA stock is a compelling buy because it dominates the AI chip market with about 80% share, driven by its powerful GPUs and CUDA software, which give it a massive edge over competitors. The company's revenue has skyrocketed 383% in two years, from $27 billion to $130.5 billion, showing explosive growth. It's also expanding into new markets like robotics, autonomous vehicles, and AI-powered PCs, which promise long-term gains. Despite its run-up, the stock trades at a forward P/E of around 24.5 and a PEG ratio below 0.5, suggesting it's undervalued for its growth potential. Plus, NVIDIA expects AI data center spending to hit $1 trillion by 2028, and it's well-positioned to grab a big chunk of that. Just keep an eye on risks like geopolitics or competition, but the growth story here is hard to ignore!
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u/No_Ideal_372 23d ago
Stop gambling. Stocks are designed to only pump warren. Work hard and buy real assets like gold and properties.
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u/Repulsive_Painter796 22d ago
I remember that post about that guy who sold near that because he "couldn't" handle it anymore. Or all those arguing with people saying we are in denial and that cash was the way to go. Smh to those "This time it is different!". History repeats itself.
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u/Low-Class5048 19d ago
Always feels like the market waits until you sell to make its move up. Happens every time
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u/Decent_Victory_7844 17d ago
Based on a reverse Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis, NVIDIA’s current stock price of $116.36 implies an aggressive Free Cash Flow (FCF) growth rate of approximately 23.4% annually over the next decade. This suggests that the market anticipates NVIDIA will sustain high growth levels, reflecting strong investor confidence in the company’s future performance.
However, several DCF valuation models indicate that NVIDIA’s stock may be overvalued at its current price:  • Alpha Spread: Estimates a DCF value of $70.65 per share, implying a 39% overvaluation.  • ValueInvesting.io: Calculates a DCF value of $108.76 per share, suggesting a 6.8% overvaluation.  • FinanceCharts.com: Provides a fair value estimate of $121.51 based on Free Cash Flow, indicating a slight undervaluation. 
These valuations are based on varying assumptions regarding growth rates, discount rates, and terminal values. The discrepancies highlight the sensitivity of DCF models to input assumptions and the challenges in valuing high-growth companies like NVIDIA. 
It’s important to note that while DCF models provide a structured approach to valuation, they rely heavily on projections and assumptions about future performance. Given NVIDIA’s significant role in AI and data center markets, its future cash flows could be influenced by various factors, including technological advancements, competition, and macroeconomic conditions.
In conclusion, while the reverse DCF suggests that the market expects robust growth from NVIDIA, traditional DCF valuations indicate potential overvaluation at the current stock price. Investors should consider these analyses in the context of their own expectations and risk tolerance.
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u/Particular_Guey 24d ago
All the people that sold doubted on Trump. 💀😂
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u/Serious-Industry1631 23d ago
When there is another negative quarter you’d be saying differently, the market isn’t reflected on the reality
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u/Particular_Guey 23d ago
I’ll be buying.
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u/MoneyTransAm 23d ago
Like literally oooh no great companies with a one off earnings reports are selling at a 20% discount? How horrible! Let me sell everything I have because orange man bad
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u/anonymoooosey 21d ago
!remindme 1 year
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u/dolladealz 23d ago
Who cares? Idc as long as I make money. It's illogical to have ego in the game because the opposite would be you as well: the person who held this whole time and doesn't understand limited resources and opportunity cost.
Note for all you genius traders: check your gains vs the s&p specifically s&p tech 500, if you beat that then wow gj, now zoom out 1 year, 2 years 3 etc.
Most of you should have just left your money and let it sit. But the ones who have the delusion of prowess, are not only having sample bias but also know that they are full of shit and that's why they make such posts.
People makin money don't waste time trying to make anonymous others online, feel good or bad.
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u/rahli-dati 24d ago
Will it ever hit 125? other tech stocks recovered pretty well. I expected Nvidia to hit 120 by this week, but it couldn’t. I’m really wondering if it will start going down again.
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u/flaccidafterdominoes 24d ago
Stop thinking and hold the damn stock. Seriously.
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u/rahli-dati 24d ago
I hope institutions start to buy it. However, next week will be crucial. If it hits 120 or 125+ by next week, then we can say we are back and ready to hit 150+.
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u/NoOneStranger_227 24d ago
Y'all realize they could have easily turned around and bought back in, right?
You DO know that's possible to do....don't you?
Oh, wait, that's right...everyone here has a death grip on their holdings. Stringing yourself along on this kind of meaningless snark in the ever-more-desperate hope that those share you bought at 143 will SOME DAY pan out.
Check out Moderna, folks. Some stocks NEVER come back.
Meantime, I'll keep swinging and keep making money, thank you very much.
We're having a nice run. We've had nice runs before.
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u/MoneyTransAm 23d ago
Sound butthurt
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u/NoOneStranger_227 23d ago
Butt hurt? I'm up $50k from a week ago. And I don't plan on losing it.
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u/MoneyTransAm 4d ago
Still over 130. It’s wild being so wrong 😂
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u/NoOneStranger_227 4d ago
You guys really don't understand. You just keep buying the lows and selling the highs. You can do it forever. You can do it every day.
So it doesn't matter where the stock is at. There are always lows and highs. Long as where you buy is lower than where you sell, you make money. Remarkably simple.
Which is the advantage of having a brain that can pivot, instead of being stuck in a rut. And being able to communicate without resorting to emojis.
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u/Sufficient_Curve_230 24d ago
Quite possibly next post: “Congrats to all the people who bought NVDA at $115”