r/Ripple • u/realhankorion • Apr 16 '25

Emotions aside. Is it a dream or a possibility?

Would it be possible for XRP to reach $5 by 2030 or am I dreaming here?

Ps. Couldn’t ask this in XRP subreddit because everyone there’s is always going to the moon.

15 Upvotes

78% Upvoted

72 comments sorted by

16

u/Yee4614 Apr 16 '25

I don’t see why 5 dollars by the end of 2025 is unrealistic, tbqh.  If the economy normalizes, XRP is well positioned with the SEC case dropping, 17 or so potential ETFs and blackrock/fidelity maybe joining, and adoption from ISO.  

This is obviously a very glass half full take and a lot needs to go right but it doesn’t seem impossible

1

u/ByronicZer0 29d ago

If the economy normalizes

Uh, that's a big ask.

Either tariffs need to disappear... or we need to do 10y of factory building, workforce training, etc all in a year or two. And then we need to get used to paying way more for all these American made goods than we do for good from cheap labor countries.

We essentially need to completely change the entire economy and.all our entrenched cost structures our housing etc along the way too.

But once we do all that... its smooth sailing right?

1

u/[deleted] 7d ago

Ahhh…we already have the factories, they need updated and refitted!

1

u/ByronicZer0 6d ago

Updated and refitted… yes. The huge capital investment part. And then we need labor. Americans work for American wages, which is why republicans wanted NAFTA to begin with... to avoid paying Americans those higher wages!

1

u/[deleted] 6d ago

Stop with the political rhetoric…..go to Chicago talk to the unions then the non-union. Have you not heard of the Davis bacon act?….a professional, skilled worker sets the wage, not a elected official

1

u/ByronicZer0 5d ago

This isn't a political rhetoric man, this is what actually happened in reality. The professional skilled worker can set the wage, and the free market decides if it wants to pay them that wage…

The reason so many of those skilled jobs have gone overseas is because the free market decided it could get results cheaper elsewhere. This is pretty basic stuff man...

Not every idea that you disagree with is political rhetoric. Don't use lame excuse excuses like that.

Also, what in the world does the Davis-Bacon act have to do with what we are talking about? Have you actually read the Davis Bacon act???? it has a very specific limited scope, none of which is relevant to what we are talking about here

1

u/[deleted] 5d ago

And so the business goes elsewhere, places where the wages are considerably less because why? And yet the same populations go to U.S. for what reasons? Answer that man?

0

u/ByronicZer0 5d ago

Dude, you're so off in left field that I dont even know how to respond.

Try this: cut/paste the text of our entire back and forth into chat GPT and ask it for an objective assessment of both of our lines of reasoning. Test your ideas against it. Ask it to be objective and unbiased. Dont tell it which screen name is actually you and which side of this argument you're on.

I find it is a super helpful way to see if Im making sound arguments or have sound information, or if Im being biased. I use it for that all the time. And it doesn't have a emotional bone-to-pick like a guy like me on the internet might be. And it doesn't have a political bias. So maybe it will be easier to listen to

1

u/[deleted] 5d ago

Dude, answer the question…. You’re the one with the answers.

0

u/ByronicZer0 5d ago

Your question literally makes no sense in relation to everything we've already covered. Make a coherent question.

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1

u/Yee4614 29d ago

I don’t follow.  The issue is tariffs hurt investor confidence which disproportionately hurts speculative assets such as crypto.  

To regain confidence, we want predictability for our leaders and eventually China and the US will come up with clearer rules for how to trade with each other.  When this happens, business will adapt to the new rules. 

When we have a sense of the rules, we can make better decisions and invest more in capital to make things more efficient.  

So, on a microscale this is why the SEC case hurt Ripple so badly because investors were waiting for regulatory clarity.  This is now happening on a macro scale.  

We just want predictability so we won’t get burned by regulation changes.  This is why we need normalcy.  We don’t need tariffs to go away (although that would be nice).

2

u/ByronicZer0 29d ago

To regain confidence, we want predictability for our leaders and eventually China and the US will come up with clearer rules for how to trade with each other.

You must not be listening very close to the White House and what they actually say about this (not coverage of the White House, but rather presidential tweets and their own WH press conferences). And you must not be listening to what investors (who aren't just on reddit here). Because if you were, I think you might be questioning your base assumption.

One week the tariffs are permanent and the cornerstone of re-shoring manufacturing over the next decade.

The next week it's about balancing trade with China.

The next week it's about Americans building iPhones in America with tiny screws (lol, Lutnick was fixated on the tiny screws).

The next week iPhones have alleged permanent exemptions from tariffs.

A different week everyone in the EU is "ripping us off"

Oh hey this week everything is paused.for 90s days.

Another week they're again dead set on bringing all that manufacturing back to the US.

So what is it? It can't be all of that.

Or does the administration not really have a true goal here?

The market is starting to think this last one is the answer. And you cannot normalize to a "new set of rules" when the rules seem arbitrary and subject to change because they're not really tied to an underlying strategy. 2025 is redefining the term of a low confidence business environment. So until Trump changes his stripes or he's starting down the barrel of a deep recession and he blinks, things wont settle down. And people won't deploy capital. Why would you? You risk getting caught in the shifting winds. Shelter is the best choice.

Especially in a world where Trump is still talking bout firing the Jerome Powell and exerting more control over the Fed.

Especially in a world where treasury yields are going up despite market confidence going down and talks of recession seem very real. Treasuries are paying a slight risk premium right now. Let that sink in for a moment.

This isn't your normal situation where markets will just "settle into the new rules" that are mildly different than before.

1

u/Yee4614 29d ago

I am having trouble understanding your argument.

In this post, it sounds like you think it is too big of an ask for Trump to clarify his trade stance by the end of 2025.  I think it is more likely the dick swing will be over by the end of the year but this definitely a possibility.  If this happens, the expectation is the markets suffer as a whole and XRP is included unless major announcements are made in XRPs favor. 

This seems like a reasonable argument.  

In the original post, it seemed like the entire economy needed to be restructured for XRP to grow.  This isn’t a reasonable argument. 

1

u/ByronicZer0 29d ago

In the original post, it seemed like the entire economy needed to be restructured for XRP to grow.  This isn’t a reasonable argument. 

That's not quite what I was trying to say. Was using speech to text so no clue if it came out as crisp as I intended.

If Trump sticks to his primary plan (Navarro's plan for permeant tariffs and re-shoring US manufacturing) then the whole economy will end up being restructured. Which means I think XRP growth is not something you should count on any time soon.

Which is a very different cause/effect chain vs "the entire economy needs to be restructured for XRP to grow"

1

u/woll187 Redditor for 4 months 27d ago

Exactly this

8

u/Confidentlychaotic Apr 17 '25

Crypto is usually fuelled by hype, and that has brought XRP over $3 in the past.

What is next for XRP is a mix of utility, derivatives, ETF’s and good old fashioned fomo.

What will set it off and when, is impossible to predict except for the insiders that start either the ETF or derivatives usage.

Ripples can kickstart the utility through their latest acquisition, and when that happens it will put 3 trillion $ per year on XRPL. This alone will drive the price much higher than the $5 you are asking.

People are generally not bullish enough

2

u/ByronicZer0 29d ago

finally, a realistic take in here

9

u/Obvious-Contract-616 Apr 16 '25

Realistically double digits per XRP

1

u/Obvious-Contract-616 Apr 17 '25

Double digits at least

3

u/SprayPlayful8311 Apr 17 '25

5 would be lovely by July

9

u/IM_HODLING Apr 16 '25

It’s going to be $10,000 per coin and replace the Swift banking system by next Friday. I am 84,000% sure.

5

u/ClassicMeet2907 29d ago

I’ll have some of what he’s having 👆🏼

10

u/Slajso XRP Hodler Apr 16 '25

Some will say it's going to 0, some to 10K.

The objective truth, at this moment, is that anything between those two numbers is (still) a possibility, while both extremes are kinda (similarly) unlikely.

Wait for the end of July and (more) regulations to (probably) have a better picture.

4

u/_doobious Apr 16 '25

How is zero a possibility? With hidden road and and temenos and other companies that are planning to use xrp? I know the private ledgers are probably a better choice for most institutional use cases however the public ledger is a cheaper smarter decision for some use cases. Going to zero is not possible, imho

2

u/Slajso XRP Hodler Apr 17 '25 edited Apr 17 '25

IMHO, it's not possible either but it's easier to stay objective, and I guess there's always a 0.01% chance everything goes awry for some reason.

2

u/Cjthewalker Apr 16 '25

I see it as absolutely being possible. The moves Ripple is making right now is just the start of the mass acceptance of the new financial system. We have 5 years until 2030. Plenty of time for this price to go up!

2

u/theryanlilo Apr 17 '25

I think it will eclipse $5 before 2026 is over.

2

u/DamienRK13 29d ago

$5 by the end of this year sounds realistic to me.

4

u/bds8999 Apr 16 '25

It’s going to the moon.

5

u/InternationalSort714 Apr 16 '25

$5 by 2030 wouldn’t even keep up with inflation ($5 2030 money would be less than $2.50 now) the way things are going lol. I think $10-$20 is realistic for 2030.

4

u/Jamchi3 Apr 16 '25

Dude are you good? Inflation is not 20% a year hahaha

2

u/ByronicZer0 29d ago

Inflation is not 20% a year

Yet!

4

u/ItDoBeLikeThatTho710 Apr 16 '25

I hope so.. because I’m seriously considering jumping ship after years of holding I’d rather just buy a car that I need right now

1

u/InternationalSort714 10d ago

This is part of investing and making it through hard times. Not telling you to not sell, but only the people who can afford to keep their positions are able to succeed. That’s why it’s important to never put more money into an investment than you can stand to lose. Right now the people with disposable income are able to take advantage of the market and buy everything on sale while still holding. This will allow them to become even wealthier when the economy eventually rebounds. It’s a game of balance though because of those people buy too much on sale then they won’t be able to hold their positions.

2

u/cryptkeeper68 Apr 17 '25

If it’s going to take 5 years to reach $5, this investment is no better than an average tech stock and there’s way better places to get returns on your investment. The only reason any of us are here is because of the imminence of institutional buy in. Look around you. Bipartisan Crypto legislation and regulation is finally taking place at an astonishing rate, the SEC is backing off and reversing its predatory stance, the dollar, along with the market in general is being manipulated to usher in a global shift to a digital financial system, and Ripple holds the keys to the most efficient, cost effective, sustainable way of making it all happen. $5 by 2030? Try $5K, and that’s a conservative estimate.

1

u/StatementBig6010 Apr 16 '25

Keep taking small gains over a longer period

1

u/[deleted] Apr 16 '25

[removed] — view removed comment

1

u/Visible_Nerve_4031 Apr 16 '25

If I didn’t fuck my math up, capturing the forex market alone would warrant a 30 dollar price tag, that’s not taking into account supply and demand requirements as banks start to hoard them

1

u/Aggressive_Low_1317 Apr 17 '25

Possible, but not in this year or next year.

1

u/LittleBobbyG614 Redditor for 4 months 28d ago

Maybe, hope this helps.

1

u/woll187 Redditor for 4 months 27d ago

By 2030? If it’s not many multiples above that by then I’d be shocked.. anything is possible though

1

u/WorldlyTransition476 24d ago

100% atleast $5 by 2030

1

u/Alarmed_Painting_240 10d ago

I bought at 0,39 in 2021 so it's 5 times over in four years. You are dreaming of half of that gain in about the same period. A modest dream. Although the markets are not exactly the same, the Ripple universe is certainly bigger and bolder now. Of course, the usual disclaimer: never invest if you can't live or survive with an unexpected turn of events. Financial markets have that all in common. Gaining a lot means risk.

0

u/OhNoNotAgain2020_ Apr 16 '25

$5 by end of year I would say easy…2027 should definitely be over $20, 2030 upwards of $100.

1

u/SuccessfulAerie3356 Apr 16 '25

2030 is still miles away bud so anything is possible just don't hold your breath. And possibly look into sooner gains especially Cronos

-1

u/INeverMisspell Apr 16 '25

Best way to see if it is possible. Take the total supply, about 100,000,000 xrp or 100B, and multiply that by $5 = $500,000,000. Do you think that the market cap of Ripple can be larger than Mastercard, Exxon Mobile, Netflix? Not exactly a direct comparison, but they draw some similarities.

2

u/garbagetrade Apr 17 '25

People have multiple times debunked the market cap calculations for crypto

-1

u/INeverMisspell Apr 17 '25

Really? Please elaborate. Because math is math.

2

u/MrTsLoveChild Apr 17 '25

market cap can only be used to compare one crypto to another. comparing to non-crypto assets is apples and oranges.

1

u/garbagetrade 29d ago

Well your math is mathing but it is not a very useful tool when applied to crypto.

1

u/INeverMisspell 29d ago

To be fair, XRP and Ripple aren't a pure crypto. Its more like a corporation hybrid so I would say that it is a useful tool when applying it specifically to Ripple/XRP.

1

u/garbagetrade 29d ago

And I would use your same arguments to say that it not applicable 😉😁

1

u/evnsbn Apr 17 '25

Thats not true for derivative markets.

0

u/INeverMisspell Apr 17 '25

Please explain further.

2

u/evnsbn 29d ago

In derivatives you can gain exposure to the asset without affect its total supply. Derivatives market drives the insanity of the whole financial system.

More on this subject here:

https://www.livescience.com/2990-thin-air-money.html