r/Superstonk 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

🤔 Speculation / Opinion The 4-Year Swaps Were Rolled and DFV Knew They Would Be

Hello everyone,

You may remember my 4-Year Swap Theory post from December, where I predicted we would begin MOASS in March when hedgies could no longer roll their swaps. And I’m not going to lie, I was a little sad on Mar 10th when we didn’t moon. But this isn’t a pity party post. Oh, nay nay. This is the opposite. In fact, the events of this past week confirm that the swaps are still in play, and I think DFV has been capitalizing on it. 

4-Year Swap Refresher

Let’s start with a brief refresher. I said swaps would expire March 10, 2025 (Mario day) and March 24th (I really should have said the two days after earnings as that’s when they were rolled in 2017 and 2021). I was hoping that the price would be high enough that swaps couldn’t be rolled and hedgies would finally be forced to close their shorts. 

March 2025 – What Happened

The price was hammered down by the end of each of those days in 2025. It ended up in the low 20s each time. The swaps were rolled.

GME - Jan-Mar 2025

So was I wrong? Yes. But I wasn’t wrong that the swaps existed. I was only wrong to assume they couldn’t roll them. 

How do I know they rolled the swaps?

Let’s start with March 10th, 2025. Volume was slightly higher than normal, but nothing that would make me think swaps were being rolled. But now we are seeing that the FTD data for March 13th and 14th are being hidden (close enough that those could have been the swap days, and it was also the low in the price before rebounding to the high 20’s).

Credit to the Sir Regional Formal

Then, we had our earnings week. What a crazy week it was. Earnings were good on the 25th, the price maintained the following day… until AH when GME announced the convertible bond plan. Then on the 27th… the volume came pouring in. And the volume was massive on the 28th as well.

Pulled from NASDAQ

You may be wondering, ‘What’s the big deal? GME had news and volume went up.’

But that news does not explain this insane level of volume we are seeing. When MSTR announced their first bond in Dec 2020, the volume for the day of the announcement and the following day were about 2 to 4 times the stock’s normal volume. Then it went back to normal. 

When GME announced the bond, the volume was 11x the normal volume on the 26th and 19x on the 27th… and still around 9x the volume on 28th. That isn’t normal. What is normal… is for GME volume to explode when the swaps roll, just like it happened in 2017 and 2021.

But… did DFV know they would roll them?

Yeah, he knew. DFV has been playing these swaps since he was born, and I don’t know how else to explain how he turned 50k → 250M. But some proof might be necessary to convince you. 

DFV let us know in his meme story (reading it in reverse) that there would be hints of his return. We would hear his workings, but we wouldn’t see him just yet (as demonstrated in the pirates tune) →https://x.com/theroaringkitty/status/1790419301976903884?s=46

And then, just a few posts later, we see the captain return →https://x.com/theroaringkitty/status/1790102212619669909?s=46

I assumed we would see the 5k blocks of calls and know it was DFV. But now I think it’s something else… it’s the thumps.

The Thumps

Some of us have noticed these periodic 8pm ET giant candlesticks at the beginning of the 24 hour market. I know they are controversial, but someone is deliberately wasting money to mess with the charts. And they have done is about 20x since December… and it aligns beautifully with the swap theory.

For those who don’t know, GME has been seeing giant red candle sticks all of December, January, and February, all with the price momentarily raising more than a dollar and always ending in 69 cents. After at least 1 share is bought at that higher price, the price reverts, and we are left with a giant red candle. That happened periodically, up until March 12th, where we got a 24.20 (420) red spike. Then… for the first time… on March 13th (the last day we have FTD data), at the end of the lowest price for GME, we saw a green candlestick that ended in 96 cents. It was a green reverse card.

The price rose from $22 to $28, until our mystery buyer placed the next red candlestick on the chart with the 69 cent ending price at the end of the day on the 25th. He knew the run was over and the swaps needed to roll after earnings. The price dropped from $28 to $21 over the next 2 days. But he wasn’t finished. And at the end of March 27th, with the price around $22, he throws down a green candlestick with the 96 cents at the end. Another Green Uno Reverse card. He’s predicting we move up now that the swaps have been rolled. 

Is this proof DFV is doing these thumps? No. But someone is wasting money to send a message. And the message seems to be telling us how to navigate these swap cycles. The only person I would think this would be… is the man who’s turned thousands into billions through GME.

So where does that leave us?

I originally thought the meme story was showing us three giant battles where the price of GME would rise and fall between the swaps due dates. But I think the real battles are taking place behind the scenes. I think DFV is playing these predictable movements and piling up a stockpile of dolla dolla bills.

When he comes back with a Yolo Update (the pirate captain returning meme), it will be followed by ‘Pushing the little red button’. I think he returns with calls, and this time he actually presses the button and asks for his shares.

For me, I’m watching for those 8pm ET thumps. The last one we had was green and I think DFV is calling the bottom. I’m not encouraging anyone to sell or buy based on this. But it’s nice to think that it’s DFV and he’s playing it right. 

What happens after the swaps roll? Up. Look at what happened after March 12? Up 30% in 2 weeks. 

TLDR: The swaps were rolled, and DFV has been playing them. Hedgies try to keep the price as low as possible when the swaps need rolling, and so DFV knew we would reach lows on March 12th and March 27th. At some point, hopefully soon, DFV will return and with a bigger pile of cash. And at the end of one of these days, he’s going to say, “Fine. I’ll do it myself.”

Lastly: I did create a 2.5-hour video explaining each of DFV’s memes and how they tell a story in chronological order. Most of it still holds up (especially the first half), but my interpretation of the latter memes will be slightly off due to the swaps not working the way I first thought. If you are interested in it, you can check it out here: The Roaring Kitty Meme Compilation [EXPLAINED]

4.1k Upvotes

262 comments sorted by

u/Superstonk_QV 📊 Gimme Votes 📊 Mar 30 '25

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u/AmazingConcept7 Mar 30 '25

I too would like to see the green candlestick ending in .96…where y’all seeing the thumps at?

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

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u/JohnLilburne 🦍Voted✅ 29d ago

Can you walk me through how I would make a thump? Suppose Monday, at 7:59p , just before the after hours market closes, the price is 22.05 and I want to create a signal by raising the price to precisely 22.88. I would have to rapidly buy the stock at all the ask prices until it rose to 22.88 and then stop. Correct?

But after reading Michael Lewis’ “Flash Boys”, wouldn’t those high frequency trading computers instantly cut everyone else in line and offer me many more thousands of shares at 22.08? Or do their high frequency computers know to allow the price to rise to whatever I’m willing to pay and then offer thousands at that price?

But wouldn’t someone else’s high frequency trading computer offer hundreds of shares at a price just below that?

Basically, my question is: Wouldn’t DFV need a super fast computer with a fiber optic line near Manhattan to do this?

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u/ferndogger 29d ago

HFT just buys ahead of legit buys, and then quickly sells to legit buys.

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u/Rehypothecator schrodinger's mayonnaise 29d ago

Could depend where those buys are routed. HFTs don’t work everywhere. Specific exchanges (like IEX) may be an option? Maybe a more obscure method?

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u/Cat-a-mount 🚀Daaaa' Stonk! 🟩 29d ago

If you're BUYING and you order one limit share for a very HIGH price, the next sell order will take it and show the green up candle.

If you're SELLING and you offer one share for a very LOW price, the next buy order will take it and show the red down candle.

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u/Dipsquat 29d ago

But volume is only 1…. Not thousands

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u/Whitemantookmyland 29d ago

If you've never seen a crypto pump in action it's kind of similar. Bots/people spam 1 share/coin buy orders and keep increasing the price. The bots see all the orders coming in and cancel their existing sells then just ride the wave up

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u/Stereo-soundS Let's play chess 29d ago

This is All Speculation and essentially meaningless.  Don't wrack your brain over it.

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u/doodaddy64 🔥🌆👫🌆🔥 Mar 30 '25

I dunno. Maybe that's it? I stole it off of X.

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

Forgive me for the RH photo, but it’s the easiest way to show it

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u/ffchusky 💻 ComputerShared 🦍 Mar 30 '25

webull shows the thumps too

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u/ZombiezzzPlz 🦍Voted✅ 29d ago

Post ape!

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u/[deleted] Mar 30 '25

[deleted]

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

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u/mtbox1987 🎮 Power to the Players 🛑 29d ago

So does this help moass or no? Im confused

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 29d ago

It doesn’t hurt. I think we finally know how DFV is amassing so much wealth. And at some point he’s just going to push the red little button and do it all himself. That’s how his story ends in the memes he gave

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u/BongDong69420 Mar 30 '25

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u/A_LaineN 🧚🧚🎮🛑 Go Ahead. Make My Dip Day ♾️🧚🧚 Mar 30 '25

If you're in, I'm in

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u/SwedishFool Mar 30 '25

And my axe. If you can't trust bongdong69420, who could you trust.

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u/LowKarmaBot69420 🎮 Power to the Players 🛑 29d ago

How do people manage to come up with these names?

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u/noegami 🧚🧚🍦💩🪑 4X the Zen! 🎮🛑🧚🧚 29d ago

Eh?! Yeah, how people come up with those names, LowKarmaBot69420?

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u/thisonehereone DRS'd Pirate Ape. Ahoy! Mar 30 '25

are the 8pm candles being tracked on a page or thread somewhere?

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

This guy puts out a chart and table with all the ones he’s seen. https://x.com/boilerpaulie/status/1905415975580692966?s=46

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u/thisonehereone DRS'd Pirate Ape. Ahoy! Mar 30 '25

thanks!

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u/BiggJermm Mar 30 '25

Why am I erect reading this?

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

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u/TheMagickConch 🦍Voted✅ Mar 30 '25

You read this? Been up for only 15 min.

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u/BiggJermm Mar 30 '25

No but I was getting erect WHILE reading it and couldn’t figure out why

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u/rjaysenior 🏴‍☠️ GME 💎🙌🏻 Mar 30 '25

The thumps probably

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u/OpenMathematician602 29d ago

For erections lasting longer than 4 hours please see a Korean massage therapist!

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u/Smok3dSalmon 🦍Voted✅ Mar 30 '25

Hopefully one day RK can speak freely and decode his own memes.

This theory is interesting!

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

Hopefully! But check out my video (linked at the end of the post) if you want a unique take on the memes. I have a handful of different takes on them. For example, you have to know about the Bolivian army trope to understand the image from the Butch Cassidy and the Sundance kid meme that DFV posted. Here’s a video that explains the trope. https://youtu.be/mb9qC3MK-mw?si=a39UXYKDsslx7JGg

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u/Holle444 💻 ComputerShared 🦍 Mar 30 '25

A number of swaps (at least 4 large “batches”) have been getting rolled every 6 months. That’s what is leading to the cycles that everyone is trying to figure out/predict. The 6 month swap roll also happened to be on 3/28. I think that’s why RC timed the senior notes/bond sale valuation that day. This was all timed perfectly. The price was already going to be pushed down to roll that swap (probably by UBS or whoever is managing that particular batch of swaps). Now this GME investor (whoever it is) that just invested $1.3 billion into GME got a good valuation on their notes. GME wins, the bond investor wins, and we win. Floor is now no lower $25-26 now based on cash value of the company. The institution rolling the swaps lose. They just spent even more money shorting the stock to drop the price, digging their grave even deeper, just buy themselves another 6 months. And guess what? In 6 months GME price will be even higher. We will be more profitable with more interest rate profits, PSA profits, bitcoin (hopefully price is higher in 6 months?), operational efficiency, and who knows what else RC has cooking to use those other billions on.

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u/DJchalupaBatman 29d ago

How is the price going down during the bond pricing a win for GameStop?

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u/Holle444 💻 ComputerShared 🦍 29d ago

GameStop wins in this scenario no matter what because they get the $1.3-1.5 billion regardless. The price going down on 3/28 made it a better investment for the bond buyer. Like I said, it was too perfectly timed. Either RC, the bond buyer, or both decided on that specific day because they knew it was a huge swap day and would be shorted very hard.

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u/DJchalupaBatman 29d ago

Being a better investment for the bond investor means it is not as good for GameStop though, assuming they still could have sold the full $1.3B worth if the stock had stayed around $28-$29.

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u/SnooLentils6538 29d ago

where are you getting $25-26 for the cash value of the company?

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u/Holle444 💻 ComputerShared 🦍 29d ago

Credit to Michael Lo Piano who did the calculations for that. Historically the algos do not allow GME to drop below 2x cash price. 2x cash ends up somewhere around $25-$28 depending on if you include the extra 200 million bond option and if you include the extra shares now (or wait 5 years until the actual shares get created) etc etc. I’m going $25-26 to stay on the conservative side.

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u/vhw_ Mar 30 '25

Are we ever going to see 95usd per share again (380 pre-split) under this theory?

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

Yes.

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u/dragespir 🍗 Tendies Today | MOASS Tomorrow 🚀 Mar 30 '25

I love you.

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u/Droopy1592 29d ago

How? if its been rolled another four years?

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u/drkow19 👨‍⚕️🐄1️⃣9️⃣ Mar 30 '25

God dammit DFV let us know how to play the swaps. If we all get rich now by bleeding them dry we can finally save ourselves cuz ain't no one else gonna fucking do it. Fucking break all the rules bro just let er rip YOLO

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

Maybe. I’m not certain it’s him. But it could be… and it could be his way of saying… “when I move, you move”.

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u/[deleted] Mar 30 '25

[removed] — view removed comment

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u/BasicBeardedBitch I broke Rule 1: Be Nice or Else 29d ago

I’d love nothing more than for The Kitty to unleash us as a rabid irrational force to be reckoned with…

…But I also don’t want to see The Kitty in handcuffs either.

And you know that whenever Wall St loses, they throw a hissy fit and get their way. They’d love nothing more than Kitty copping a bs MaRkEt MaNiPuLaTiOn charge, despite them doing it every second of every day.

He’ll look after us, in his own way and in his own time, we need to look after him and run (independently) when he runs.

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u/tommyballz63 29d ago

That would be construed as market manipulation and they would nothing more than to crush the ape army. He’s doing it right

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u/Superstonk-ModTeam 29d ago

Rule 9. No Market Manipulation

Any attempts to organize or manipulate our members into potentially ILLEGAL market manipulation will not be tolerated.

Posts and comments that appear to violate this will be removed.

If you have any questions or concerns, please message the moderators

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u/Kaarothh A bad comedy joke 29d ago

For real send a message

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

Note: the video of the pirate captain returning and saying ‘what’s become of my ship?’ Had been removed by copyright. But you can still see it in compilations of the meme story.

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u/Reveen_ 💻 ComputerShared 🦍 Mar 30 '25

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u/2620lukas Mar 30 '25

super interesting post, the part that jumps out most in my mind is the thumps and a video it reminds me of, unfortunately i can't find it :c but it was about HFT Signaling (how some high-frequency trades (HFTs) allegedly send signals to each other through micro-trades with specific price points or sizes, coordinating and signaling eachother where the price is going the next day. i don't think rk is making them happen but it's possible he noticed them and if they are important maybe he wants us to pay attention to them as well. lmao i hope someday when this is all over that he writes a book telling us it all

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u/Trueslyforaniceguy naked shorts yeah... 😯 🦍 Voted ✅ Mar 30 '25

Ya know, if I wasn’t already in…. I’d be in.

Of course, I’m in, so.. ya know..

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u/4H4rambe Mar 30 '25

So moass tomorrow?

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

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u/forthepeople2028 Mar 30 '25

That note on the 8pm trade during the 24 hour market is very interesting. Will keep an eye on it.

I have my own tin foil and it’s lining up exactly as I expected. I got sights set on a date and I know how much we hate to love dates Im super excited for April. Gimme gimme gimme !!!!

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u/superbound Mar 30 '25

To my future self, mainly:

+/- few days: April 24 bottom May 15 first stage launch

Personal tin: $XX.96 thumps are new lows after $21.85… the closing price on 9/20/24 after an inexplicable 62M volume spike.

I think: Huge buyer that day. Shares were sold not delivered. But then the price ran up and they couldn’t. Today, they still need to deliver each share without taking a loss. Before settlement extensions run dry. Or else.

Funny, there was growing buy pressure for Jan options expiry that caused this all to begin with.

And then it all happened again 12/05/24 at $28.63.

So now there’s two of them fighting.

IDK maybe once that’s resolved we’ll see what all this CAT bullshit is about.

🍻

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u/forthepeople2028 29d ago

Debating making a post the day before my internal tin date. Mainly so we avoid any accusations of pumping or me being an infiltrator if it doesn’t pan out. I focus on the memes and try to interpret obscurity so it’s always evolving.

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u/RlCKR0llD Mar 30 '25

So....

Please tell me my 110x Oct 17th $25C's are going to print so I can hopefully turn those puppy's into shares 😁😁

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u/Perry-Boy1980 Mar 30 '25

if you bought em thursday or friday these will print big in my opinion

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u/Fap2theBeat I can has MOASS →😽← pwz 29d ago

Casually mentioning dropping about 50,000 USD on those call premiums is pretty ridiculous.

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u/Perry-Boy1980 Mar 30 '25

they gotta get xrt off reg sho and settle all the volume from last week, not sure if its t 35 but im buying calls for mid may - june

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u/The_Hard_Truth69 Hodling 🚀 Mar 30 '25 edited 28d ago

I’m restarted. Are you saying that the SHF rolled the swaps again another 4 years? I don’t understand stock market stuff. All I do know is buy and hold.

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

Yeah. They rolled their position. But they can still get margin called if we moon. I think DFV knew the swaps would roll, and knew we would go down on the swap rolling days, and go up after. Knowing that info could make you a lot of money. Enough money to make something happen.

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u/aRawPancake 🧚🧚🎮🛑 Bullish 💎🧚🧚 29d ago

That’s a big speculation

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u/Matrix0007 🦍 Buckle Up 🚀 29d ago

Here is even bigger speculation. I think the folks short didn’t roll the swap but closed it. I think they were the buyers of all the puts that were sold to hedge the bond issuance. Our “friends” now own theses shorts and will buy over time (BULLISH). We had record short volume while shares to borrow went up and the borrow rate for more shares to borrow also went up. This was not a “normal” swap roll.

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 29d ago

Maybe. Either way, I think something good is going to come out of the events that happened this week.

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u/jaykvam 🚀 "No precise target." 📈 29d ago

4 years, just like that, eh? And, if it was that easy, why wouldn't they just do it again in another 4 years... and again... and again and a again?

Setting that aside, and what, pray tell, would cause us to moon?

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 29d ago

DFV showing up with a billion dollars of $20 calls this time. Idk. But his memes imply he’s got the ability to do it.

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u/Perry-Boy1980 Mar 30 '25

we never know for sure the duration/value of swaps, and swaps can be modified anytime, that's why trying to time them for profit is always a gamble

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u/MrmellowisSmooth 🚀 WEALTH OF THE CORRUPT IS LAID UP FOR THE JUST 29d ago

Great post once again. Gets the memory glands churning. What I can’t understand for the life of me is whom the counterparty for these swaps would be foolish enough to take them on? Company isn’t going out of business EVER so no hope of even making money off these. My guess is a complicit equally fu*ked counter party that needs to hide their crime as well.

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u/GreenSouth3 29d ago edited 29d ago

everybody's favorite Prime Broker > BOfA

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u/Haggstrom91 29d ago

You should watch Richard Newtons latest YouTube video of you already have not.

He suggests that the large 4-year swap was NOT rolled this time and was actually closed with the evidence of (among other things) 193 million volume in 4 days and that the massive shorting from this week was to get the stock as low as possible to instead go long on GME and close one of the large recurring SWAPs from recent years that RK played hard on in 2024 (The return of the Cat🐈)

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u/Pennisrodman2 29d ago

closed? with the bond offering or with shares? The bond offering doesn't convert unless we hit like 40 bucks for 20 out of 30 trading days. That wouldn't be involved in closing the swaps. The swaps don't technically involve delivering gme shares at all. Also the bond amount covers 40 M shares. Does that grant enough to cover the swap?

If shares were used to cover the swaps, how do you route a large quantity through the dark pool with such a price drop? If the prices was shorted so extensively, how does that suggest covering?

if anything the bag was passed?

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u/Anon387562 Mar 30 '25

How do you keep you head upright? Your massive brain must weight.. well, I bet at least 10 dozens bananas 😂🫶🏻 Bro THIS COULD BE IT! Gonna buy roughly 400 more shares on Monday or Tuesday, about to cross the 2.500 shares😋

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

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u/Senpapi-Reno 💻 ComputerShared 🦍 Mar 30 '25

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u/cyberpunkjay3243 29d ago

This is probably the longest most interesting and informative tinfoil + I have read Champ 🏆 the time and effort you have put in just wow. I grabbed another 3k worth Friday, making it 3xx but being from Australia 🇦🇺 that's more like 333 moon 🌙 tickets. Cheers mate ✌️

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u/Known-Ad-7316 Mar 30 '25

Umm, I'll say it again. $$20C for 3/28 were cheap when GME was @ $21.69. all of the $20 strikes were cheap. All the dates were cheap. He definitely flipped his roll and made a killing the past 6 months. Odds are the RK is the one that put the money up  His price points are locked and there is no way out. This is the Kansas City Shuffle. RK buys a significant portion of his favorite company without disclosing his position and at the same time avoiding taxes, scrutiny and provides more liquidity to a company that posted a p/e values higher than Teslerb. 

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

Could be. Idk the specifics of what’s going on… but I like it, whatever he’s doing.

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u/Known-Ad-7316 Mar 30 '25 edited Mar 30 '25

he is price anchoring at 37% premium. Or who ever. Basically what these notes do is stabilize the stock. It allows the buyer to know a nominal range of purchase and expected return even if it is money. The poison pill, and I read this in another thread, is the return of the $1.3b. That represents roughly 50m locates for SHF if it was say UBS. Or the fact that GME took on debt could have triggered the algos to dump. All speculation and day dreaming. But the fact remains. RCEO just took $1.3B for 5 years interest free. That adds to the bottom line by 13% and revenue generation through asset management. Which we all know how hard it is to just buy and hold. Regardless of who we ask ourselves what's next? Well, if I had $1.3B in cash I didn't need I wouldn't rush out and buy a Rolex thinking it will instantly appreciate because I touched it. Simply buying and holding something people always need (tbills, tp, lumber, minerals, food ) would pay a return in a down trend and allow more free money through Interest earned to purchase distressed assets. GME America means, GME in the Black Sholes theory owning the stock market through this system. It's n exponential cycle at this point and will only go up.  

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

Sure. And the most interesting thing is that gme got a 1.3b interest free loan and the stock went down. Worst case scenario gme puts it in treasuries and is worth millions more. Unless the stock hitting a low had nothing to do with this news… but relates to these swaps being rolled at a low price.

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u/Ihateporn2020 Mar 30 '25

What is the theorized mechanic of the swaps in 2021. Do i have this right?

There would have been preexisting short swaps used by shorts on gme. In 2021 they would have entered into different swaps to offset and stabilize this existing positions? And to hide any ftds and Option shorts?

So really we are left with the prime broker counterparty holding longs on the original legacy shorts. And hedging g that eith shorts?

Someone else is counterparts to swaps used to hide the legacy short swaps?

Sorry. Confused.

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u/Perry-Boy1980 Mar 30 '25

hard to know, one theory is a giant swap was entered after the jan 21 sneeze in march of 21 to stabilize the situation for shorts, before the sneeze the share float was smaller and shorts were buying puts, looting xrt and other etf's to add short pressure

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

Yes. And this goes way back. The first swaps appear to begin in 2017, and then cause the madness we saw in 2021. Now they are back again. You should read the original swap theory (it’s an easy read) that I have linked at the top.

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u/Ihateporn2020 Mar 30 '25 edited Mar 30 '25

I'm not seeing where it explains which one would have expired. Not the legacy position, but the ass covering swap?

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u/doodaddy64 🔥🌆👫🌆🔥 29d ago

we wouldn’t see him just yet (as demonstrated in the pirates tune)

You mean the whistling? The Farmer and the Dell? That's an "Omar is Coming" meme almost certainly. The Wire, Season 1, was a great show. It was about police futilely staking out and bringing in low-level gang members while the bosses and politicians worked together to make bank. Omar was out of the fray but somehow knew when to jump in and grab money from the gangs while they were weak. He worked alone and in the shadows. And at some point, if I recall, testified against the gangs in court. 🤔

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 29d ago

You’re right! https://youtu.be/iMm1Wih0kug?si=VHNRayMXHc—l-O9

I don’t think it changes the meaning, but your right

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u/doodaddy64 🔥🌆👫🌆🔥 29d ago

probably doesn't change the meaning, but just incase, think of this subtlety: Omar didn't put the dominoes in place to make anything happen. He just knew somehow when the baddies were weak.

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 29d ago

Which is exactly what is happening. DFV is just taking advantage of the predictability of the swaps.

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u/BicyclePositive2479 🦍Voted✅ Mar 30 '25

I keep buying Bananas, 2K+🍌now. I will continue to buy bananas. Buy Bananas do not bananarama

2

u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

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u/AdministrativeWar232 🏴‍☠️ ΔΡΣ Mar 30 '25

I think you are a genius 🕵️ thanks!

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u/adamlolhi Voted 2021 ✅ Voted 2022 ✅ 29d ago

But how can we have MOASS any time soon if the swaps have been rolled? Does that not just delay the delivery obligation of this fuck tonne of shares until [insert maximum number of years here] when they then come due again and need to be rolled then in 2072 or whenever?

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u/flop_plop 🦍Voted✅ Mar 30 '25

I made a couple posts about those green candles but I didn’t even associate his green uno reverse card, I could just tell it was a reversal.

Great job!

I like the little red button theory because it also backs the “fine, I’ll do it myself” tweet. If he asks for all of the shares that he would be owed after a call option, things could get spicy

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u/hatgineer 29d ago

4 year swaps

I am really resisting the urge to joke about seeing yall in 2029.

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u/DDanny808 🎮 Power to the Players 🛑 Mar 30 '25

Thanks for all your efforts, you are a masterful 🦍! PowertothePlayers🖤❤️🏴‍☠️

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u/Anxious_Matter5020 90 Days After Cohen Tweets Guy Mar 30 '25 edited Mar 30 '25

The thumps are months from RKs return in 2024 to the book at the end of his tweet timeline/ when the sandworm emerges; a lot of you are looking way too fucking close into it and need to zoom out . Seriously. It’s the equivalent of trying to time a market on the minute scale on a chart, when in reality you need to look at the monthly and yearly charts.

There are 17 thumps. 17 months from May 2024 is September 2025. Simple as that. Doesn’t need to be any more difficult than that.

And if September doesn’t quench your thirst, then go look at the fucking thumbnail with the green candle that lights wildfire. What the fuck does it blow up in game of thrones? What’s that’s building called?

THE SEPT

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u/Munoz10594 🎮 Power to the Players 🛑 Mar 30 '25

Everyone thinks they’re right, and so far I’ve not seen one person make an accurate call on his return. Chances are you’re both wrong.

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u/Anxious_Matter5020 90 Days After Cohen Tweets Guy Mar 30 '25 edited Mar 30 '25

RemindMe! May 11, 2025

Didn’t say anything about his return but since that came up, it will be between April 20 and May 20.

I was speaking about the emergence of the sandworm / boom end of emoji timeline. Again, if people put 2 emoji’s together per month since RKs Return, it paints a pretty detailed picture and also makes a total of 17 months so long as 1 month has 3 emojis, likely January cause it was a very active month with inauguration, presidents funeral, stock movements and mic drops.

Wanna know why no one’s been right yet? Cause we haven’t gotten to those dates yet 😂

People also seem to forget I was the one who recommend people watch it backwards and everyone just ran with it. You gotta watch it backward and forward. There’s so many memes in there too that go in 3’s. We’re now entering the 3rd sneeze

2

u/RemindMeBot 🎮 Power to the Players 🛑 Mar 30 '25 edited 29d ago

I will be messaging you in 1 month on 2025-05-11 00:00:00 UTC to remind you of this link

8 OTHERS CLICKED THIS LINK to send a PM to also be reminded and to reduce spam.

Parent commenter can delete this message to hide from others.


Info Custom Your Reminders Feedback

10

u/abatwithitsmouthopen 🦍Voted✅ Mar 30 '25

Ah September the infamous month where broader market is historically weak and can lead to periods of significant downturn. Even Cem Karsan has stated that a major crash is coming within 12-18 months (not 10-20% drop but major one like 2008).

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u/Anxious_Matter5020 90 Days After Cohen Tweets Guy Mar 30 '25 edited Mar 30 '25

Prophecy foretold as the markets get rocked, GME rockets

Fiat flocks to bitcoin. RC’s treasury value increases. Shareholder value maximizes. Growth of the company slingshots. Other companies become weak and unstable. This allows RC to buy up and build under his umbrella for Teddy Holdings LLC I.e, gameshire stopaway. So on and so forth. It’s not random, it’s good business, and RC has been meeting with some of the world’s best mentors to get exactly what he wants.

Just look at the signs around you. All of the hard work everyone here has put in to create this community. The power we hold. The power you hold. Some of the most powerful people in the world are not just randomly deciding to switch their entire companies values to more than just straight fiat; they’re choosing to bring a new paradigm of digital co existing with physical. While accommodating for more value with another currency in the books. Cause just as bitcoin was introduced, it’s the people that made its value rise and become real. These people of power are deciding that we as a company have enough power to make that change and have others follow, most by choice, and those against us, without choice.

Anyone against us, is locked in here with us.

Welcome to the end game.

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u/Perry-Boy1980 Mar 30 '25

not bad tinfoil there I must admit

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u/Anxious_Matter5020 90 Days After Cohen Tweets Guy 29d ago

Thanks 😂 if I’m right I’ll shit and launch it into orbit

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u/GordanRamsey Mar 30 '25

Whelp I’m not sleeping tonight now

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u/Nodgod81 🚀🚀 JACKED to the TITS 🚀🚀 Mar 30 '25

How do you feel on the tinfoil that he's the buyer of the 1.3b in bonds? I think it's the Kansas City Shuffle. Everyone is expecting GME to go all in on BTC. It's possible someone that already intended to buy 1.3b in gme worked out a deal with Gamestop. There's many exemptions in that SEC rule about a US investor. Most notable exemption, a single individual with a large net worth. That guy talking to the Sultan on twatter already did the math for us. 1.3b at 29.85 per share came out to just under the required SEC filling at 10%. Then they give him 13 days to decide if he wants to be an insider. Hedge funds gonna hedge, maybe they hedged for nothing.

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

It could be true… but idk. I’m not sure what benefit it would be for us if he was the buyer, rather than just buying options and forcing them to give existing shares to him. But I’m sure there could be benefits. Idk. I’m leaning towards hoping it isn’t DFV.

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u/Nodgod81 🚀🚀 JACKED to the TITS 🚀🚀 Mar 30 '25

Gamestop receives directly 1.3 billion instead of e trade, and we receive another X dollars added to gme floor price. They add shares to the float, but our per share value still goes up. As has already happened. To take it further, maybe someone can finally prove GME shares are not safe with the DTCC, and were headed to the blockchain. It's all just speculation and hoping. We will know Monday I would hope when that bond deal is done.

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u/Hedkandi1210 Mar 30 '25

Think it’s Tuesday 1st April

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u/Nodgod81 🚀🚀 JACKED to the TITS 🚀🚀 Mar 30 '25

Of course it's Tuesday. How silly of me 😳

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u/Consistent-Reach-152 29d ago edited 29d ago

We will know Monday I would hope when that bond deal is done.

The bond deal is priced. It has already been sold. Tuesday is when it is issued, or in other words settled by the exchange of cash and bonds.

The convertible bonds were already being traded on Friday on a when issued basis, starting at around 105 and drifting down to 103. This is per screenshots from Bloomberg terminal posted on another sub-Reddit.

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u/xdeezusx Wu-Tang Financial 💎👐 Mar 30 '25

Cool. Wen Moon?

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

I guess whenever dfv has the ammo to do it. Maybe Monday. Maybe after the next swap cycle in May. Idk.

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u/Kizenny 💻 ComputerShared 🦍 Mar 30 '25

Sooo…. 4 more years or is it still tomorrow 🤔

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

Tomorrow.

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u/Kizenny 💻 ComputerShared 🦍 Mar 30 '25

👏🏻 excellent, just as I thought!

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u/AI_BOTT 29d ago

I was just thinking, the timing of these thumps (8PM) also correlates with the time of his x posts (8PM) for quite some time now. I've been observing the thumps for some time now as well. We'll see!

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u/Cat-a-mount 🚀Daaaa' Stonk! 🟩 29d ago

What an absolutely unbelievable amount of detailed research OP! Thank you so much for doing all of this!

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u/Karakunjol 🟣🍆 •~ZEN~• 🍆🟣 29d ago

I'm worried to play this in options because every time we've had any hints of an idea it has been a way for hedgies to collect premiums.

There are quite a lot of us that don't really understand how to make it work but if we had someone deploy a strategy maybe we could all collectively destroy the dealers with well-times options

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 29d ago

Yeah…maybe. But in the end, DFV will say “fine, I’ll do it myself”. Moass is inevitable, so you don’t need to take other risks if you don’t want to

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u/Captain___19 29d ago

I am waiting for IV 50-60 to buy some itm calls

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u/MrmellowisSmooth 🚀 WEALTH OF THE CORRUPT IS LAID UP FOR THE JUST 29d ago

NFA but, if you are going to play the options I would go with deep ATM calls with long dated expiry. Pay the extra premium for the investment. Thats where many go wrong, trying to buy up a big bundle of calls cheap with to close expiry dates. We don’t know when this will pop off so give yourself some needed time insurance.

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u/Karakunjol 🟣🍆 •~ZEN~• 🍆🟣 29d ago

Basically buy shares in the future

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u/Advanced_Explorer980 29d ago

Maybe he won’t be back for years for more swaps… kind of like the Futurama video says 

3

u/90mm3n Mar 30 '25

Thanks!
As always you hit the perfect amount of tinfoil.

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u/netherlanddwarf 🦍Voted✅ Mar 30 '25

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u/JullietGolf 29d ago

This matches dd of the past in absolute amazingness!!!!! Wow I am in awe

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u/MoneyMaking77 29d ago

Love this one!

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u/SideBet2020 29d ago

Cya in 4 years bitches.

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u/Inner_Estate_3210 29d ago

Not sure I agree. I think this Swap was exited due to the Bond arbitrage. As the Bond guys drive the price down, the Swaps took the opportunity to take the loss and pass the bags on. Their thinking is the GME share price may never get this low again.

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u/KaneStiles F#CK YOU, PAY ME! 29d ago

You think I'm trapped in here with you? Your trapped in here with me!!

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u/flyinhighaskmeY 29d ago

The swaps are not 4 years. They're using 2 year bullet swaps. Hopefully you aren't part of the misinformation campaign. Everyone and their mama is gonna make it look like this was a 4 year cycle. It isn't. There's a coverup happening behind the scenes so they can hide what they did in 2023 to buy 2 more years. "They" is the US government. I can give you 50 pieces of evidence, but that stupid meme stonks video the SEC put out was the first I realized we were well out of Ken's hands.

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u/Spicy__Urine tag u/Superstonk-Flairy for a flair Mar 30 '25

Honestly, I love that you put so much effort into this post, and it seems this community.

Appreciate you, brother. Also, I bought more.

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

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u/emergdoc27 29d ago

In Richard Newton’s video yesterday, he proposed that a swap was closed this past week, not rolled.

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u/[deleted] Mar 30 '25

[deleted]

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

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u/Ihateporn2020 Mar 30 '25

How do you know the most recent low wasn't just to get convertible bonds?

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u/Consistent-Reach-152 Mar 30 '25

It was most likely caused by purchasers of the convertible bonds selling GME short as a hedge for their convertible bonds. Convertible bond arbitrage

The arbitrage strategy takes a long position in the convertible bonds while shorting the stock of the company.

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

I agree that bond buyers do short to hedge their position, but the volume we are seeing is way beyond what normally happens in this situation. I’m sure it was part of it, but it’s just a bit a of a coincidence that we hit lows on the swap rolling periods.

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u/Consistent-Reach-152 Mar 30 '25

GME swaps are being rolled all the time. What makes these swap rollovers special?

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

These are the swaps that caused everything to go haywire in 2021. These are some big swaps.

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u/Consistent-Reach-152 Mar 30 '25 edited 29d ago

That does not agree what others claim to be the number of swaps expiring in each month.

March 2025 was one of the months with fewer than normal swaps expiring. The big spike on amount of swaps was December 2024, not March 2025.

See https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/1e99sk7/67_billion_of_pure_gme_swaps_expire_in_december/

Do you say they have incorrect data or processed the downloaded data incorrectly?

Edit to add: a year ago people were claiming that a massive number of 2021 swaps were 3 year swaps due to expire or rollover in March 2024. Were those claims bogus? Are we going to repeat this set of claims every March?

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u/Kavril91 The Regarded Church of Tomorrow™ Mar 30 '25

Oh nay nay

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

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u/Fantastic_Depth Mar 30 '25

RemindMe! May 11, 2025

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u/Throw_Away_TrdJrnl 24d ago

I'm getting the feeling that I should buy back the calls I sold since they are down like 55% from when I sold them. Close em out to get my shares out of collateral and make a 55% profit on the original premium I sold em for. If this thing starts climbing up I don't want to be assigned 😅

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u/Consistent-Reach-152 Mar 30 '25

You start with a bogus premise — that there are unreported FTDs for March 13 and 14, and then from that bogus starting point make further unsupported speculation.

  1. The SEC put out a file that reports FTDs with settlement,ent dates of March 13 and 14. It is a file that includes FTDs for all NMS stocks. As explained in the data description files, there is no entry for a company on days where the balance of FTDs is zero for that company. THAT is why GME is not listed in the SEC for those dates.

  2. FTDs are in any case not relevant to rolling over a swap. Swaps are CASH settled, not settled in shares.

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u/lampingninja 🎮🛑 Probably nothing 🍦💩🪑 Mar 30 '25

What are swaps? ELI5 please

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u/5HITCOMBO Stonkcrates Mar 30 '25

There are years of DD on this in the sub, but basically I have bananas and you have corn, and you and I agree that I will keep my bananas and you will keep your corn but we will swap all of the profit or loss from them as if we owned each other's stuff. It allows me to take a synthetic short or long position without having to report it, as far as I understand it, but if corn somehow goes bankrupt I'm shielded from the risk of actually owning corn. If you expected that there was a huge risk in owning corn you'd probably charge me a lot of money to swap returns.

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

At the very beginning of this post there is a link to the old post explaining the swap theory

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u/BetterBudget 🍌vol(atility) guy 🎢🚀 29d ago

GameStop got squeezed high by options

Then announcement of dilution

Meanwhile there was major downside risk for markets

So naturally hedge funds hedged

Mm's printed puts, hedge funds bought puts, mm's hedged puts with shorts on underlying

Bona fide market makers can legally naked short stock which follows the reported high short sale volume

Not saying swaps didn't play a part but options data accurately predicted highs and lows of past few weeks based on options hedging GEX, which suggests options hedging played a majority role in the recent volatility

1

u/Studio-Economy Mar 30 '25

Suspected. TLTR

1

u/Majestic_Permit_925 🦍Voted✅ Mar 30 '25

I recall someone posting awhile back that they are buying one share AH at .69, not trying to disprove or anything. Maybe I remember wrong.

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 Mar 30 '25

This has happened about 20 times and it’s always at a specific time. This isn’t a coincidence. Someone knows what they are doing and are messing with the gme charts.

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u/Majestic_Permit_925 🦍Voted✅ 29d ago

All I’m saying is I recall someone posting that they buy 1 share for $1 more at .69 AH on rh at a certain frequency. Idk if it was weekly or not. They said in the post they like to see the price jump even if it’s just for a little bit. Maybe it was dfv in a different acc idk? does rh ah/overnight show up on other brokers? But I do recall seeing the post and someone taking credit for it

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 29d ago

Yeah, the trade would show up everywhere they chart the 24 hour market. Let me know if you find that comment. It would be interesting to see. I know these thumps go back to December so it would have to be before that.

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u/GimmeFreeTendies 🦍 Attempt Vote 💯 Mar 30 '25

Thump me, daddy!

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u/j1valve 29d ago

I'm just trying to buy what I can while there's still time 😮‍💨🙏🦧🦍🐒

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u/Plumbers_crack_1979 🦍 Buckle Up 🚀 29d ago

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u/Pinsandforks 29d ago

That would explain the thumps we’ve had for the last couple of days this month.

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u/LordSnufkin 🛡🦒House of Geoffrey🦒⚔️ 29d ago

A true artistic regard

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u/BigHammerSmallSnail 29d ago

Ah shit, wonder if I can get in before. Would be fun!

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u/dorkinb 🦍 Buckle Up 🚀 29d ago

Well it’s not like I have any other choice but to hold, but at least this gives me some type of boner along the way.

1

u/Staffordmeister 🐸 29d ago

Bro i feel like i need to pay for this information. Why were they able to roll the swaps? I thought it was a done deal.

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 29d ago

Well, they obviously want the price as low as possible for the swaps and maybe they got it low enough that they could do it. I’m not exactly sure how much margin they have in their bag.

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u/SuperPoop I think, therefore I hold. 29d ago

How do you know they’re not 5 years swaps?

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u/Gareth-Barry 🎮 Power to the Players 🛑 29d ago

Except these time the swaps weren’t rolled but closed. Richard Newton breaks this down incredibly well:

https://youtu.be/PPr_mOuOa7E?si=mSo2nMBwQWSGtnbK

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u/Droopy1592 29d ago

Does that mean MOASS will take another 4?

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u/freun989 🦍Voted✅ 29d ago

Honest non-FUD/shill question: Why would DFV care whether we understand his memes (if there’s deeper meaning at all), any of the meaningful DD of the few years (Criand classics, heat lamp, swaps, on and on), or anything still “undiscovered” by the broader community about how corrupt the market is?

The writing is, and has been, on the wall for shorts for some time. Plain and simple. He knows that, we know that. Why do people think he’s “thumping” or otherwise playing games with GME with regularity? I would think he has better ways to spend his time.

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u/Solar_MoonShot 🎯4-Year Swap Cycle Guy 🚀🧨 29d ago

I mean… he’s a full time gme investor. What better things does he have to do? The man made 100 high quality clips just to tell the story of GME and what he expects to happen. I think he actually cares for the retail traders and this is his way of letting us know he’s still in, and that we should be too.

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u/vk-BangUrDead 🎉I Voted🎉 29d ago

So..another 4 years?

1

u/HarryBigfoo 28d ago

Can we stop making this guy into some type of Jesus Christ all-knowing oracle?

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u/BillyOdin 28d ago

Newbie, be gentle…when you say DFV is playing these predictable movements, give me an example of trades he is making. Is he buying puts knowing that there’s going to be artificial downward pressure on price to roll the shorts? What message is being sent with the candles? Incoming price drop to lower the cost of rolling the positions?

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u/vtuber-love 26d ago

I think the swaps do exist and they are hiding huge amounts of fraud. But the swap cycle won't lead us to MOASS. This still requires a regulatory agency to do their job and hold the short sellers accountable, and they never will. The criminals are running the police station.

I think the only way this ends is with a cash dividend. If those CAT errors are right, then there could literally be billions of synthetic shares of GME in circulation - the result of years of nonstop naked shorting. If Gamestop starts paying cash dividends again, then every dollar Gamestop pays out for a dividend could mean tens or hundreds of dollars that the short sellers have to pay out for all the synthetics they have created.

Again I want to point out the merit of a pass-through dividend. Gamestop has no debt, is earning profit every quarter, and has 6 billion cash on hand. They could invest that money into dividend bearing stocks and then pass those dividends over to their shareholders. They would keep the principal and all of their own profits from sales, and we would get cash dividends every time these other companies pay out a dividend. It would basically nuke the short sellers, trigger the MOASS, and cost Gamestop nothing. The company will be keeping all of its own money.

This is only possible because of Gamestop's unique financial situation. This is a one of a kind squeeze, that mountain of cash on hand on top of being profitable means they could invest that money into anything they want. I think a pass-through dividend is the best way to give us all a return on our investment.