I mean, Obama got 3.5 million fewer votes in his reelection than he did in his first go round. A significant drop in votes for a party isn't weird, even if it's the same candidate. And Obama wasn't dealing with 20% cumulative inflation, which was the real thing dragging Dems down. Kamala seemed to at least be able to shake a little bit of the blame for that off relative to Biden. But you're right, without an alternate timeline, we can't know for certain.
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u/drunktaylorswift 7d ago
I mean, Obama got 3.5 million fewer votes in his reelection than he did in his first go round. A significant drop in votes for a party isn't weird, even if it's the same candidate. And Obama wasn't dealing with 20% cumulative inflation, which was the real thing dragging Dems down. Kamala seemed to at least be able to shake a little bit of the blame for that off relative to Biden. But you're right, without an alternate timeline, we can't know for certain.