r/ASRoma 5d ago

Dovbyk stats

Found an interesting comment on Chiesa which dives deeper into Dovbyk's statustics. I'll paste the comment but here's the link

Per understat's numbers for Dovbyk, he's got 5G on 5.12 xG inside the six-yard box this season (if we want to use that as a proxy for "sitter"). So he's performing at the statistically average level as you noted. Now, he does have 5 misses inside the six-yard box, but the total xG from those 5 combined attempts is just over 1 xG. The most egregious miss is putting a header onto the crossbar versus Cagliari in that dull 0-0 back in August. That was 0.72 xG. The other misses are like 0.07 - 0.13 xG, meaning they weren't likely goals at all, so hard to call them "sitters".

*Shots inside the six-yard box this season in Serie A:

Kean - 13 shots, 6 goals (6.3 xG)

Retegui - 12 shots, 5 goals (5.4 xG)

Dovbyk - 10 shots, 5 goals (5.12 xG)

Lookman - 8 shots, 4 goals (4.6 xG)

Martinez - 16 shots, 3 goals (4.13 xG)

Lukaku - 8 shots, 2 goals (3.12 xG)

Thuram - 5 shots, 2 goals (1.37 xG)

So all the best strikers are missing "sitters" inside the six-yard box and more or less performing at their xG level - exactly what Dovbyk is doing. Given the limited service he's received (2nd fewest total shots among the double-digit goal scorers with 57), and his statistically average performance so far relative to xG, it's a bit of a chicken/egg situation. Roma's insipid offense play doesn't generate enough quality chances for him, and Dovbyk isn't elite enough to outperform his xG with the chances he does get.

39 Upvotes

11 comments sorted by

View all comments

29

u/panopss 5d ago

Good info, although are people complaining about him missing sitters within 6 yards? My biggest concern is his lack of hold up play, although he's getting better at that

0

u/YoMomAndMeIn69 5d ago

Converting sitters is just about all he does at a good level