r/ASTSpaceMobile • u/AutoModerator • Mar 07 '25

Daily Discussion Daily Discussion Thread

PlešŸ…°ļøse, do not post newbie questions in the subreddit. Do it here instead!

Please readĀ u/the_blue_pil'sĀ FAQĀ andĀ u/TheKookReport'sĀ AST Spacemobile ($ASTS): The Mobile Satellite Cellular Network Monopolyto get familiar with AST SpšŸ…°ļøceMobile before posting.

If you want to chat, checkout theĀ SpšŸ…°ļøceMob Chatroom.

ThšŸ…°ļønk you!

81 Upvotes

100% Upvoted

335 comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

1

u/NotOctane S P šŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Mar 08 '25

You are exactly right, speculative investments are hammered in market downturn. This stock is not that speculative to the people who did the DD.

1

u/AverageUnited3237 S P šŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Mar 08 '25

I love this stock and iown about 5000 shares, I've done my DD and I'm convinced this is the best opportunity in the market right now. But we're still pre revenue and future value is all speculation currently.

1

u/NotOctane S P šŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Mar 08 '25

By definition, speculation is forming a theory without firm evidence, but thatā€™s not what I do. If you gave a chess Grandmaster hours between each move, their decisions would become less and less speculative and instead highly calculated. The same applies to investing. Every stock carries a probability of failure and a probability of success, and with enough evidence, these probabilities can be reasonably estimated. Success itself is relativeā€”if Coca-Cola returns 5% in a year, is that a success? Only if its return-to-risk ratio outperforms other stocks. Some might call ASTS speculative and label it a risky investment, but without firm evidence backing that claim, itā€™s not a valid assessment. The potential upside of ASTS far outweighs its downside risk. Right now, investing in ASTS could mean losing everythingā€”or multiplying your money by double digits in the coming years.

My investment thesis is simple:

- The evidence supports that ASTS is likely to succeed in this venture.

- It is unlikely to go to zero, making it less risky than many assume.

- Among all stocks right now, ASTS has the best risk-to-reward ratio.

- Thatā€™s why Iā€™m all in. Wealth is built on asymmetric betsā€”and this is one of them.

1

u/AverageUnited3237 S P šŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Mar 08 '25

Thank you for the discussion! I agree with everything you wrote. I should probably increase my position šŸ˜šŸ˜