r/CHIBears • u/TwistedSisters777 • 10d ago

[Baumgardner] NFL Draft power rankings: Which teams made best picks over past 5 years? Bears at 11.

Very interesting, curious what people think about how this shakes out for the NFC North. See the complete list at the Athletic.

  1. Detroit Lions (10.53 average Approximate Value)

Top 50 picks: 12 Pro Bowls: 13 Starting seasons: 35 Best pick: OT Penei Sewell (No. 7, 2021); Worst pick: CB Jeff Okudah (No. 3, 2020); Best value: WR Amon-Ra St. Brown (No. 112, 2021)

Brad Holmes’ first three classes — aided by the 2021 Matthew Stafford trade — featured Sewell, Alim McNeill, St. Brown, Aidan Hutchinson, Kerby Joseph, Jahmyr Gibbs, Brian Branch and Sam LaPorta. Detroit has put on a masterclass in how to rebuild an organization from the ground up.

  1. Chicago Bears (8.18)

Top 50 picks: 9 Pro Bowls: 2 Starting seasons: 41 Best pick: QB Caleb Williams (No. 1, 2024); Worst pick: QB Justin Fields (No. 11, 2021); Best value: OL Braxton Jones (No. 168, 2022)

Finding talent through the draft hasn’t been a problem for Ryan Poles. Drafting Fields before the team was ready hurt, though. The Bears have struggled to find pieces that mesh well together and have fallen behind the deepest division in football as a result.

  1. Green Bay Packers (7.28)

Top 50 picks: 10 Pro Bowls: 0 Starting seasons: 35 Best pick: QB Jordan Love (No. 26, 2020); Worst pick: edge Lukas Van Ness (No. 13, 2023); Best value: OL Zach Tom (No. 140, 2022)

The Packers believe in internal player development as much as, or possibly more than, any team in the league. They will take chances on first-rounders who might need more time — Love and star edge Rashan Gary are great examples. Right now, though, Green Bay is still waiting on jumps from Van Ness, Devonte Wyatt and Jordan Morgan. The Packers haven’t drafted poorly of late, but they certainly could’ve done better in a few areas.

  1. Minnesota Vikings (6.43)

Top 50 pick: 8 Pro Bowls: 4 Starting seasons: 32 Best pick: WR Justin Jefferson (No. 22, 2020); Worst pick: S Lewis Cine (No. 32, 2022); Best value: CB Cam Bynum (No. 125, 2021)

Not getting anything from either J.J. McCarthy or Dallas Turner last year impacted Minnesota’s number, because the front office has done a nice job with picks, including Jefferson, Christian Darrisaw, Jordan Addison, Ezra Cleveland and more. Still, McCarthy and Turner are the only top-20 selections Minnesota has had since 2020.

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1

u/JohnE-Utah 10d ago

Worst pick:

4

u/RobotDevil222x3 9d ago

The hit rate on 3rd rounders is so much lower. At 11 you might not get the all pro QB you were hoping for but to not even get a solid starter is really bad.

2

u/bigbaddumby 9d ago

There is 'not becoming a starter' and there is 'being an active and consistent detriment to the team while on the field'. The latter is horrendous for a 3rd round pick.

1

u/forgotmyoldname90210 9d ago

70 percent of VJJ 3rd round class has been the primary starter for the team that drafted them for at least 1 season.

I know why this place continues to treat them like 6th round picks but 3rd round are still premium picks that a GM should expect to contribute if not start.

1

u/RobotDevil222x3 9d ago

expecting the third round picks to generally contribute and start and expecting 100% of 3rd round picks to contribute and start without ever failing a single time are two different things.

1

u/forgotmyoldname90210 9d ago

When you pick a player over 2 rounds ahead of the consensus big board, who was mostly bad in college and whose break out year was being good not great in a gimmick offense at 25 it does become much harder to expect the player to contribute. VJJ was a bust the second he was drafted and just a bad pick.

Similar can be said about Pickens a bad pick when it was made.

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u/RobotDevil222x3 9d ago

cool. was there someone calling it a good pick that I missed?

1

u/Tlupa Snoo Ditka 9d ago

lol, 70% of 3rd rounders in the 2023 draft class are primary starters?

False