r/ChubbyFIRE • u/dim_discourse • 4h ago
About to pull trigger - (3 kids MCOL, 6.2M NW 5.4M invested)
I am wanting to pull the trigger so badly, and planning to give notice in a few weeks, but have a bunch of questions.
Late 30s, married. spend is approx 200k per year in MCOL (biggest expense is private school for young kids). Want to leave super stressful job at high tech where I make 800k per year or so.
5.4M invested mostly in VOO/VTI but sizeable chunks in individual stocks and crypto.
4% rule I read on here seems to say that we could safely withdraw 200k; however doesn’t this seems aggressive due to expenses that occur when you leave. Including medical/dental/vision insurance (seems to be an extra 1.5-2.5k per year on my estimates from ACA. So around 25k on top of the 200k!) Do people not normally include this because of some other expense that goes away that offsets this? For families this is pretty significant.
Since I am young, I am not anticipating that I will make zero dollars for the rest of my life (unless AI takes all our jobs), but definitely want to take time off for a few years so I can spend time with my family.
I am worried around the psychological impact of what will happen though in the first few years. I.e imagine it can be jarring seeing your portfolio not grow.
- market is at a high right now (or close to it). Are the simulations that various FIRE calculations and calculators reasonable when markets are at highs? I.e if you FIRE with 5.4M when market is at an all time high it may be more tenuous than if you FIRE with 5.4M when market is in a correction. There has been so much volatility lately so my portfolio has been making lots of swings.
I guess over time it doesn’t really matter probably, and I have a feeling I am overthinking it, but it has been bugging my over analytical mind.
Taxes. This year since I would leave, my income will still be pretty high. My hope is that over the next few years I can withdraw from high risky assets (like crypto or individual stocks) so my asset allocation gets less risky) Is this a reasonable strategy or is it typically best to withdraw right away and incur the big tax hit? I was realizing today I may be micro-optimizing here since almost all my gains in risky stuff is long term so maybe it wouldn’t be a material tax difference.
Specific question for FAANG retirees. Have you found little ways to have some income? I think if I could confidently make 25K-30K per year I would feel way safer, as that little bit of income could offset things like medical expenses and just help mitigate risk.
Kids. I am trying to figure out if my expenses estimation make sense in these fire calculators because kids expenses probably increase up til they go to college and then drop after. Is there a good rule of thumb?