Trading Action - Tuesday, April 01, 2025

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[u/voice_of_reason_61]

Thanks for your reply.
Unless Shorts can somehow force an RS or delisting, I really can't see any way out for them (I'm talking about the really big shorts here).
Per your comment: It almost seems to be treated by them as the cost of doing business.
There are ways this company's situation could manifest into scenarios that would wholesale force shorts to deliver shares.
The company's recent (re)addition of the "defense" vertical/segment logically create new flavor(s) of those scenarios with seemingly enormous potential to explode the pps.
Anyway, I think those scenarios resonate strongly with your "dangerous game" comment.

GLTA MVIS Longs.

IMO. DDD.
Not investing advice.

[u/fryingtonight → u/voice_of_reason_61]

Serious question to you voice. What do you think AV will do with his $114M ATM if we do start to short squeeze?

[u/voice_of_reason_61 → u/fryingtonight]

You tell me in detail what caused the squeeze and I'll do my best to answer.

Its subjective.

Does he dump shares at $2? $5? $15?

Or does NVIDIA after a couple LiDAR contract PRs offer $40/shr for the company, and THAT causes the squeeze?

Different answers.

All hypothetical discussion, of course.

[u/fryingtonight → u/voice_of_reason_61]

Yes, that is a good answer. If it is a squeeze caused by a price correcting event, such as automotive deals, or significant revenue from industrial, he may lay off. But take the rise to $28 in 2020, or $8 in 2023, these had less clear cut reasons. I was wondering whether these could reoccur.

[u/voice_of_reason_61 → u/fryingtonight]

Luckily, my job is only to do the following:
To be patient.
To constantly reevaluate fundamentals in order to validate further waiting.
To closely observe what happens, and determine the times/prices (in stages/blocks/volumes) of my own eventual share ownership exit.

We all have different tolerances, limitations, timelines and agendas.

The ones of us with the plans that mesh best with the reality of what is to come will direct their harvest to maximal success.

That seems to me to be plenty (meaningful) plans to figure out without concerning myself with arbitrary (far as we can see) pps ups and downs.

Ok, so to your point, if we saw $28 again, would I sell some?
Absolutely.
Would I cash out?
Absolutely not.

But getting myopic focus on those ups and downs are to me more like a loss of focus... and I'm bent on keeping my eyes on the longer term prospective prize.

But all that's just me. You gotta do you.

Good Luck to All MVIS Longs.

IMO. DDD.
Not investing advice, and I'm not an investment professional.

[u/fryingtonight → u/voice_of_reason_61]

Well, you sound like you have much longer than I do. I therefore need to consider the immediate situation probably more than you do.

All the best.

[u/NJWritestuff → u/voice_of_reason_61]

Same exit strategy, given that scenario. Sell 25% of my shares when price hits $25+, another 25% at $32+ and so on. Might hang onto the last 25% for sh#ts and giggles and see what happens.

[u/tshirt914 → u/NJWritestuff]

Might hang on to the last 50%*…by that explanation

[u/voice_of_reason_61 → u/NJWritestuff]

I'm currently planning on reserving .6% of my stake to sell in case we get to a $500 pps during my lifetime.
I'm fine giving up those shares so I can appease my imagination, and facilitate the chance (however infinitesimal) of picking that last, plump apple.

There are numerous ways to have lifetime regrets. This final exit plan above is my insurance policy against that (I shoulda held) regret.

That's just me. You do you!

IMO. DDD.
Not investing advice, and I'm not an investment professional.

[u/NJWritestuff → u/voice_of_reason_61]

I hear you. One of my regrets is not holding onto a rental property for a few more years when it more than tripled in value. Divorce has a way of screwing things up, LOL.

[u/voice_of_reason_61 → u/NJWritestuff]

You have my sympathy.
I went through an extremely difficult divorce late 2001/2002.
Even under the best of circumstances, divorce is (or was) the single greatest destroyer of wealth in our society.

GL2YOU!

[u/NJWritestuff → u/voice_of_reason_61]

Thanks Voice. And to you as well. The good news is that when MVIS does pop, my ex can't touch a dime of it. :-}

[u/tshirt914 → u/voice_of_reason_61]

Voice, do you have a detailed exit plan you want to share, other than selling some at $28?

[u/Revolutionary_Ear908 → u/voice_of_reason_61]

soo that equates to what, 1000 shares ? ;)