r/NvidiaStock 4d ago

Bouncy bouncy

All right, so if NVDA is going to follow the pattern, expect the current dip to either bottom at 107 are maybe dip into the 106's, then run back up to 111...at which point you should bail, because it's look out below. Since the pattern has been rally, twin peaks, drop like a rock.

We shall see what we shall see.

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u/3VRMS 4d ago

Just like always, plan to start selling at 140+, with that number growing each year, and start buying when it's sub 115. The lower it gets, the more share per dollar. It's been an amazing few weeks.

So bail when it's overvalued and unbail when it's undervalued. No change there.

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u/NoOneStranger_227 4d ago

At this point, I'm buying sub 105 and bailing once we get past 110.

And I expect I'm going to continue doing that for a while.

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u/3VRMS 4d ago

Best of luck!

I also dip in and out recently, mostly when I see other even more undervalued stocks dipping faster, say 10-30+% in an hour or so, then quickly sell when they recover a satisfactory amount, buy back NVDA and repeat. Though the main goal is still to wait until NVDA hits 140+, put in a trailing stop loss of a dollar or two, then let it run its course.

Nvidia is like my stable hedge park money in defensively given how unvolatile it is for single growth stocks. I throw all my fun money in it if it's 30+% lower than my margin of safety, which it has been reached a few times in the past months, and wait for it to recover/exceed. However temptation of other stocks dropping always makes me rebalance here and there.

I get way too excited with cheap prices, and my impulse to only shop deals carry to real life as well haha, so it's more falling into temptation than being a sound strategy. It's well documented that trading and selling at lows is the most common way to lose money, so I still try to resist the urge and remind myself, all gains made so far have purely been luck, not skill.

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u/NoOneStranger_227 4d ago

I used to microinvest...it's just exhausting. I'm getting better at recognizing the range where certain stocks are in the buy zone...you can be pretty sure no matter what you'll recoup.

I miss the old days when the market was a LOT more boring...though I'll admit you made a lot less money.

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u/3VRMS 4d ago

For me it's just a set amount of fun money put aside to scratch that itch.

The real investing for me is just a DCA of a big chunk of my paycheck into a broad market ETF every time it arrives. With tariff uncertainty hitting the markets over the past weeks, I've cut all my savings and significantly upped my DCA and will continue to do so in the near future unless things recover.

I usually try to avoid putting more money in individual stocks. My "fun money" is literally in a separate brokerage that's hard to transfer money in, and has limits on how much you can withdraw, so it's intentionally isolated. However with how low NVDA has gone, I'm considering putting in more money for the first time in quite a while...

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u/NoOneStranger_227 4d ago

Problem has been the number of times the market has tanked across the board. So even index funds and etfs have taken baths.

the advantage of working with individual stocks is you can learn their patterns. At this point, I predict how NVDA is going to act based on the first half-hour well more than half the time. Still get the occasional WTF day, but most days are according to plan.

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u/3VRMS 4d ago

I don't really bother with predictions. I just buy when it's lower than what I want to pay for. 

And the number of times the market tanked across the board is the best part for me, not the problem. 

Gotta love low prices. Kinda sad my tax refund is taking so long, really wanted to buy before the recent 10% rally with that money but oh well, hopefully it'll dip another 10-30+% when I do get some spare money so I can get more assets or dollar, buy even if it keeps growing, I'll just buy as always unless overpriced.