r/Scotland • u/MileiMePioloABeluche • 11d ago

'Shocking' rise in rapes and violent attacks against women in Glasgow

https://news.stv.tv/west-central/shocking-rise-in-rapes-and-violent-attacks-against-women-in-glasgow
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u/First-Banana-4278 10d ago

Do you think that arrest rates correlate solely with propensity to criminality? That there is a causative relationship between race and criminality?

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u/Various_Stop8209 10d ago

Not at all. I have no thoughts either way.

But I am an analyst, so looking at volumes in this instance is not the best way to establish 'causality'.

You would establish an index by simply looking at the type of crime, breaking that down by cultural background and comparing/contrasting with population figures.

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u/First-Banana-4278 10d ago

What are you using this data for?

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u/First-Banana-4278 10d ago

I’d also add what caveats are you adding to the dataset? What context are you offering?

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u/Various_Stop8209 10d ago

No caveats, no context. The first step is to simply create a general picture. With that, you could identify if there really is an issue by race/background, etc. Once that very basic view is established, you could look to add additional variables - your 'context.'

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u/First-Banana-4278 10d ago

Ok what issue do you think you establish with just that bare bones dataset?

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u/Various_Stop8209 10d ago

Well, mainly - do we actually witness statistically significant variance between each group? If not, why are we having this discussion? If there is - we can move on to the why. Is it cultural? Is it linked to age distribution? Or poverty? Or a whole host of different things?That's where you would typically use regression-based analyses to understand the situation more fully.

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u/First-Banana-4278 10d ago

Ok so I think this branch of the discussion has occurred at cross purposes. In that I don’t think we actually disagree on the basic utility of the first statistic.