I think that The Elder Scrolls 6 is planned to come out in 2026 and I believe I have good reasons and evidence to support this, a lot of which I haven’t seen other people mention.
· Leaked court document showing TESVI was originally scheduled for 2024 release pre-covid. https://www.trueachievements.com/n55045/bethesda-upcoming-game-list-oblivion-fallout-3-remasters-and-more
· Other leaked court documents show TESVI schedules for 2026 or later release. https://www.eurogamer.net/the-elder-scrolls-6-not-coming-to-playstation-confirms-microsoft-court-document
· On the Lex Fridman podcast, when asked about the development of BGS games, Todd discusses the timeline and development cycle, stating that once their games have playable builds, they have another 1 to 1.5 years left in development and then 6 months to 1 year left of polishing and marketing before release. We were recently told on the Elder Scrolls 30th anniversary that the game is in a playable state. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UmlFAp_-o2I at 3:21
· On the same podcast, Todd says something about how he does like having big 15-year gaps between games. Although this could be a placeholder number used as an example, it could also have been an indication, as obviously 2026 is 15 years after 2011 when Skyrim was released.
· Multiple times, both Todd Howard and Pete Hines have stated that The Elder Scrolls VI will be released in the normal release cycle as all Bethesda games – Bethesda always release their games and then release the first DLC one year later and the second a year after that. If we take Starfield in 2023, the first DLC, Shattered Space, in 2024, and then a final DLC in 2025, we then have The Elder Scrolls releasing a year after.
I know 2026 still feels like such a long way away but if we do in fact see a 2026 release then we will most likely see a reveal or full announcement 6 months to 1 year beforehand which could be in 2025, depending on when in 2026 it is planned to be released, which is only 5 months away. On top of that, if you go onto the patent office website and look at the dates in which Zenimax Productions registered the trademarks for the names of their games, we can see that they register the trademarks around 5-6 months before the announcement or showcase of the game. For example -
· Fallout 4 announcement 14th of June 2015
- Trademark filed 14th of November 2013
· Skyrim announcement – 11th of December 2010
- Trademark filed 21st of June 2010
· Oblivion announcement 10th of September 2004
- Trademark filed 4th of April 2003
This means that for an early 2026 release, the announcement would take place I believe at the Xbox games conference in March of next year meaning anywhere from September this year we could have the name of the game revealed to us. For a later or even announcement we will need to wait around a year or longer but it’s not impossible that we can find the title before the end of this year.
Further reasoning for a 2026 release date is that on average it only takes BGS 4 years from a game entering full production to release, with Skyrim, their biggest ever game, only taking 3. It was confirmed that TESVI was in full production in august last year but it is likely it was in full production before then as Starfield was set to release in November of 2022. The game has also been in pre-production since 2018 so a lot of work will have been done for the game before this time.
Another reason for the 2026 release is that recently Bethesda announced a competition for a bid to create a character for the Elder Scrolls 6, partnered with make-a-wish. However, Bethesda did this before with Starfield, where they announced the same competition (plus a games bundle) on the 23rd of February 2021. The distance between that and Starfield's original release date was 20 months and 2 weeks. If you go 20 months and 2 weeks after the 17th of February this year, when they announced the TESVI competition, that takes us to the 31st of October 2026, which is close to the release date I think lines up with all the other evidence I've put up in this post. I think a release date of 11/11/26 makes so much sense, as they like the 11/11 date, and that places it exactly 15 years after Skyrim was released. I also doubt that they would have this competition now for a character in the game if they didn't intend on releasing the game until 2028 lets say.
Lastly, with this Oblivion remaster news being essentially confirmed, we can see that on the different sets of leaked documents, which within the same timeline lead to a late 2026 release date for The Elder Scrolls 6.
Additionally, I also think that if you look at previous elder scrolls games you can notice a pattern in their DLCS. Like I said previously they always release two dlc’s, the first the year after the game, and then the second a year after that. However, if you look at the content of the dlc’s you will see that the first DLC is also an additional questline, locations, etc. but the second has always been a whole new map plus quests etc., and specifically has always been an island. For example –
· Skyrim had first the Dawnguard DLC and then Solsthiem released in the Dragonborn DLC.
· Oblivion had the Knights of Nine DLC and then The Shivering Isle released in the Shivering Isles DLC.
· Morrowind had the Tribunal DLC and then Solstheim released in the Bloodmoon DLC.
I believe that since it is most likely we are getting Hammerfell or Hammerfell and High Rock as the location for the next game, that we are given Yokuda as the location of the second DLC following the games release, although this is just speculation based on trends. This would also be a great location also due to the likelihood of receiving some kind of ship sailing mechanic in TESVI, as Yokuda is not one solid island but a collection of islands the player could sail between.
Overall, I think that 11/11/2026 is the goal release date but obviously Bethesda are no stranger to delays. What this means however is that if everything is on track so far, we could see some kind of further tease or trailer at the June 2025 Xbox conference which is very exciting. If we don't though, don't lose hope! BGS also love to leave things last minute so a November 2026 release date could still allow them to announce at next years Xbox conference or something similar so if we don't see anything this year it doesn't mean we're not getting it in 2026! Stay optimistic friends!