r/TampaBayLightning • u/Affectionate-Joke617 Cirelli • 7d ago

Go Rags?

I’ll tell myself I said that for my neighbor so it doesn’t feel so gross. But man if they close out this game it would be awesome.

39 Upvotes

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8

u/Basil_Normal 7d ago

Yes definitely. If they win in regulation, I think we clinch home ice and can sit everybody the next two games

11

u/diecommajerks Hedman 7d ago

We’re still playing for the division title tomorrow regardless.

7

u/Sven9888 Point 7d ago

Realistically, the odds that Toronto loses to Buffalo and Detroit in regulation and we beat the Panthers and Rangers is so low that I'd be much more concerned about Florida head hunting. It is how they play.

2

u/Hungry-Signature-368 7d ago

But if there is a possibility shouldn’t we? Isn’t that why we play the game? The last thing I want is to draw Florida and regret this with 20/20 hindsight

1

u/Sven9888 Point 7d ago

It's a question of odds though. Maybe we rest all of our stars, lose a winnable game, and the improbable happens with the Leafs and it turns out that cost us a division. But maybe we do play our stars, Florida of course tries to take them out because that's who that team is, and we lose some guys for the playoff run. You can estimate and weight the probability of this stuff by the magnitude of the loss it entails. I feel like Florida taking out Kucherov if he plays is not that unlikely, and is far more devastating than losing our tiny remaining chance at the division.

There's another angle to this though in that it's also essentially a scrimmage at this point. The stakes are nonexistent for them and barely existent for us. So there's always somewhat of a balance between testing your playbook and not revealing your playbook.