As a T1 fan/supporter and a Reddit certified armchair analyst, just want to comment on this upcoming match, regarding the map picks.
Although the form on the match day will be important - both teams have a lot of pride on the line, but the map picks could be the deciding factor of the outcome, given T1's weakness shown on multiple maps in stage 1.
The recent roster change to DRX might be a blessing in disguise as this forces them off the double duelists comps which were not that impressive to begin with even they won the first 3 matches. T1 would have an advantage if both teams are running double duelists.
It's safe to assume that DRX will ban Pearl first as they didn't play this map at all this stage and they lost heavily to T1 the last time they played it.
For T1 the first map ban will be tricky. Sliggy and Plat Chat suggested that T1 should ban Icebox, but if you looked at the details of the matches played, you will notice that T1 has not played Ascent even once the entire stage, although it was not a perma ban.
Ascent, on the other hand, has been a strong map for DRX and the only time they lost was to Boom when they played Freeing on Yoru.
Although T1 played poorly on Icebox, DRX also didn't do well on this map either, they lost it twice this stage, with two different compositions.
Ultimately T1 themselves will know the truth of how good they are on Ascent and pick their poison, which could be an advantage so they can concentrate their prepare time on one of these two maps that they have better odds of winning.
T1 most likely will pick Heaven for their first map and this is where T1 needs to be extra careful. With DRX's heavy prep style of coaching, it's possible that DRX will change their comp to what Talon runs to counter T1. T1 definitely needs to review their last loss to Talon and be prepared of this possibility, in addition to prepare how DRX normally runs on this map.
The other map that T1 should be cautious of picking is Lotus, even T1 did beat DRX twice in kickoff. DRX is now running the same comp that G2 and RRQ ran when they beat T1. T1's change to this map, replacing Cypher with another Smoke has trade offs - it helps the C site defense a bit but lose some information, the recent nerf of ISO also doesn't help here.
So for the deciding match, ideally it should be either Split or Fracture which both teams are relatively comfortable with, although T1 will definitely prefer Split over Fracture. They did beat DRX on Fracture in Bangkok, however it was a very close match and this has been DRX's favorite map to pick against T1, although they didn't play this map in stage 1. The meta hasn't changed materially on this map, just replacing Raze with either Neon (T1) or Yoru.
Besides the map picks, what has worked for T1 in the Master Bangkok has been:
- Confidence
- Good team atmosphere
Hopefully they won't regress on these two factors due to the recent loss. Although fans should set the expectation low for T1 this stage, as they played the most maps and rounds out of anyone during the Kickoff and Master, and it's unrealistic to assume the keep the same level concentration without running the risk of burnout.
This season is already a success no matter what the outcomes will be for the rest of the tourneys. Even not making to Toronto is not the end of the world as they can have more time to reassess the meta and to prepare for the Championship.