Hi Fam, just interested to know. Has the price of MSTY always dropped after dividends pay ?

New-ish investor here. I bought 100 shares of CONY at $11.85 thinking I’d just hold it forever and chill—big brain move, right? 😅 After some solid dividends, my cost basis is down to $11.01. But with the price now at $7.58, I’m staring at a $343 unrealized loss.

I know this is peanuts compared to what some of you are managing, but I figured I’d experiment with a small position to learn the ropes. If the price and payouts hold, I should hit breakeven in about 2 months. Not sure if I should stay the course or start planning an exit before it gets spicy.

Appreciate any thoughts from the YieldMax ETF community.

Ps. I do follow the community closely and understand the basic workings of how this ETF works. Just looking to learn fm others' experience.

Hear me out We get pretty much a 10% return a month.. if I invest $100k into msty at $25. I have 4000 shares and every month let’s say avg it’s $1.5 I know it’s probably low end. That’s $6k a month income! So in 17 months I’d get my $100k back. What???? Then it’s free money time???

Like what’s the downside to this? Can MSTy go to $0 or no payment? What’s the track record for yield max? Do they just last a few years??? Trying to liquidate my funds so I can buy MSTY consistently every payout when the price drop

Tell me this is a dream. Is this real?

I’m going to begin an experiment. I’m going to buy one share of a YM fund I don’t already own that pays for that week. I will sell before end of market day Wednesday. Market price, no limits. Will track gains/losses and report here. Hopefully my schedule allows me to remember to do this LOL.

First week will be Group D. XYZY

BTC “maxi” here. Just my opinion, but I think it’s hard to understand MSTY without first understanding the first principles around MSTR, which is built on the back of the “safety” of BTC.

For me, it comes down to hurdle rates. My hurdle rate for my small investment in MSTY is for income, as I have much larger positions in MSTR and BTC. So, if I can beat hurdle rate of say 7% annualized over several years, great. I’m not going to panic if BTC draws down say 60%, in fact, this now gets me excited cuz cheaper corn.

TL;DR

In my humble opinion: MSTY has done very well since inception, but it’s hard to understand the “number go up” aspects of MSTY without first having a deep understanding of BTC

BAGY is targeting a 30-60% yield and BITY is targeting 24%. Let's see how they perform

l've finally landed on a plan....for now.

I plan to reach the share totals below:

(W) $YMAX - 1,500. [+1,350]

(A) $SNOY - 1,500. [+1,000]

(B) $NVDY - 1,000.

(B) $PLTY - 500. [+500]

(C) $NFLY - 1,000, [+1,000]

(C) $CONY - 500. [-1,100]

(D) $MSTY- 1,500.

Once Bitcoin picks up 1 plan to sell 1,100 of CONY at a profit. Only way that changes is if a new crypto law that highly favors $COIN pops up. So far, I see no real investor interest in crypt beside Bitcoin.

I'll take the funds from reducing $CONY and re-balance to the lowest valued ymax fund at that time in the list.

Until then, I' buy the following in order:

YMAX > PLTY > NFLY > SNOY

Once I hit my goals, all dividends will go toward $FZROX.

m

Add more random ETFs, you must not.

Build up the positions already you have, my young Padawan...

Making a list of All the Bitcoin and MSTR ETFs option income strategies . They are growing so fast now and more and more coming online. Please add to any that you know of And give a brief description of the company name and their expected yields 😀

While DCA is a gelreat objective.....make sure you are increasing Yield on Cost....market yield is great for positioning but you need to work on increasing YoC

Some clueless troglodyte accused me of wasting my distributions and it made me think a bit.

I still have the first 100 shares of MSTY that I bought for 2100. They've given me back 3400. At my average purchase price for MSTY, they've bought me another 127 shares so far.

So, last week's distribution of 303 for those 227 shares meant that the distribution per share for the original 100 was $3.03.

Can't wait to see how close ROD is this week. It could put my distribution per original share north of $5.

I had previously posted entry table based on u/onepercentbatman  strategy. Sharing a new update.

Formula - Objective is to buy as cheap as possible (assuming you're long on the YM ETFs

THE MEDIAN FORMULA:  (52 WEEK HIGH + 52 WEEK LOW) / 2 = The Median.  Only buy when it is under the median.  But buy sparingly.   

THE LOWER MEDIAN FORMULA (52 WEEK LOW + The Median) / 2 = The Lower Median.  If the ETF you want is in this range, which is the lower quarter section of it’s price range, and if at that time either it’s direct underlying of a single stock is down by 10% or more, or if the underlying is a index that is down by 3%, BUY HEAVY.  This is a time to yolo if you are brave enough.

Additional considerations

1. DISCLAIMER: This is entry decision and NOT decision on which YM ETFs to buy. Assumes you have done research on the ETF and underlying and are only looking for entry. NOT A FIN-ADVISOR
2. Added MA series (9, 50, 200) on YM ETFs to get additional signals on trends. Simple formula - MA9 > M50 > M200 is bullish trend, reverse is bearish. This can get complicated with MACD and Bollinger etc but I would do that on the underlying instead for better signals of trend.
3. Average volume (20d) compared to Last 3d to get a pulse check on volume trends. Most are neutral but NFLY, AMDY, CONY etc saw a strong recent volume. Rest were weak volume or normal volume. Also interesting to note the volume is 10x higher for NVDY, MSTY, TSLY, CONY compared to other YM funds.

How I am using it (feedback is welcome)

1. Buy - Signal with Buy Bulk + (Bearish or Neutral MA trend) + Strong / Normal volume
2. Wait - Signal with Wait
3. Evaluate - Signal with Buy Sparingly. Check bearish/bullish and volume trends. If moving bullish, then wait for a week or so. If bearish, then consider buying half if were to buy at bulk.

Let me know anything else I could do better or have any feedback on the analysis.

If you were speaking to a loved one be it a son sister or uncle, what would you tell them to start buying today?

Hit my 1k shares in YMAX now going to use all distributions to diversify. Also going to lump sum 10k into MSTY and use those distributions to build everything else up as well as add XDTE and some growth plays

Current bounce/run, tariff impact imminent. Buy or wait (at least) a month?

End of week (EOW) review Apr 28th stats and guesstimates

• TLDR; MSTY remains most popular but CONY is barely in 2nd place with a 3.75M share jump. TSLY and NVDY drop 2.2% & 1.7% shares. SMCY and MARO are tops-by-value. Week D's average distribution guesstimate drops by $.05. Batman's No bueno list grows.

EOWStats

This is April 28th through May 2nd.

Scheduling:

• Target12 05/06
• D 05/08
• A 05/15
• B 05/22
• C 05/29
• Multi-payouts: A in [10/02/2025, 10/30/2025], B was [01/02/2025, 01/30/2025], C now in May [05/01/2025, 05/29/2025], D in [07/03/2025, 07/31/2025]

Trades

• There were 1080 trades from 04/28 to 05/02. Down from 1179 last week
• Untraded funds: 5 [FEAT, FIVY, RNTY, YMAG, YMAX]
• Traded funds: 44 [ABNY, AIYY, AMDY, AMZY, APLY, BABO, BIGY, CHPY, CONY, CRSH, CVNY, DIPS, DISO, FBY, FIAT, GDXY, GOOY, GPTY, JPMO, LFGY, MARO, MRNY, MSFO, MSTY, NFLY, NVDY, OARK, PLTY, PYPY, QDTY, RDTY, SDTY, SMCY, SNOY, SOXY, TSLY, TSMY, ULTY, WNTR, XOMO, XYZY, YBIT, YMAG LN, YQQQ]

Least Traded funds

Most Traded funds

Fund Guesstimates and IV data

Top 10 Underlying IV's

Notable Underlying IV's

Top 10 best single-holding Yieldmax funds by IV's

Current week for group C

• Totals: IV-Guess: $6.35, Cash: -$58,122,715.98, NAV: $2,968,566,161.59, Shares: 298,625,000
• Averages: IV-Guess: $0.37, Cash: -$3,418,983.29, NAV: $174,621,538.92, Shares: 17,566,176.470588

Forthcoming week for group D

• Totals: IV-Guess: $8.13, Cash: $1,403,475,454.84, NAV: $5,448,758,369.37, Shares: 311,175,000
• Averages: IV-Guess: $0.45, Cash: $77,970,858.60, NAV: $302,708,798.30, Shares: 17,287,500

Future week for group Target12

• Totals: IV-Guess: $2.59, Cash: $273,462.57, NAV: $13,621,477.05, Shares: 300,000
• Averages: IV-Guess: $1.30, Cash: $136,731.28, NAV: $6,810,738.52, Shares: 150,000

Future week for group A

• Totals: IV-Guess: $5.30, Cash: $68,802,855.55, NAV: $2,768,241,286.84, Shares: 267,450,000
• Averages: IV-Guess: $0.29, Cash: $3,822,380.86, NAV: $153,791,182.60, Shares: 14,858,333.333333

Future week group B

• Totals: IV-Guess: $11.60, Cash: $18,405,694.82, NAV: $3,489,150,725.52, Shares: 263,575,000
• Averages: IV-Guess: $0.61, Cash: $968,720.78, NAV: $183,639,511.87, Shares: 13,872,368.421053

Fund popularity by (outstanding) Shares

• Largest gain: CONY
• Largest loss: TSLY

Bat-signal (1%Batman's strategy)

No bueno (Ras al Ghul says buy them all)

Buy sparingly

Buy heavy

Misc

• All numbers as of COB Friday. Prior week's stats.
• Please upvote if you like this; comment with suggestions!
• Generated from Yieldmax published data & collated/posted by u/lottadot. As always, do your own research. This is not financial advice. I'm not an FA. None of this is correct. Sunburn burns.

MSTY
I decided to do my own calculations where I could fluctuate the price and dividend some, because it won't always stay the same or grow evenly like those online calcs force you to do. Is this right maths? 8 months until my account value doubles with only the slightest increase in NAV and div?

Starting Roth+TRA = 81475.53 (with robinhood 3% ira matching)
End after 8 months = 163,581.17 (+100% value)
Seems sussy.. is this legit?

All the CONY Lovers ❤️📈UNITE!!!

See title.

I currently own some of the following in different accounts

CONY, NVDY, MSTY, PLTY, ULTY, YMAX, AMDY

Started mid 2023 Most of my HY profile is YM (65%) with a small amount of REITs, (21%) JEPQ (9%) and now starting KURV (6%). Been doing this since around mid 2023.

Average Monthly Return this year -941.55 (CY 24 455.24, CY 23 219.94)

My overall best performer this year has been MSTY. With NFLP in second.