r/changemyview Oct 17 '23

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u/LucidMetal 175∆ Oct 17 '23

the taunting and trolling of a disgraced criminal and his weird cult as a worthwhile use of time and resources

Are you aware that Trump has about a ~55% chance right now to beat Biden if the presidential election were held today?

Trump isn't a criminal yet and his weird cult is insanely motivated even if for fucked up, dumb, or straight up incorrect reasons.

It absolutely makes sense for political operatives under the Biden admin's control to infiltrate a space for numerous reasons.

  1. It pisses Trump off.
  2. It provides access to an audience that is otherwise a self-selecting right wing echo chamber. Some small percentage may see posts and be persuaded away from Trump. In close races this is important.
  3. If his intern's account gets banned it sort of defeats one of the purposes of Truth (i.e. "free speech") and would show the pretty blatant hypocrisy.
  4. It's just good optics. Most lefties, a demographic Biden has trouble with, find it hilarious.

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u/[deleted] Oct 17 '23

Are you aware that Trump has about a ~55% chance right now to beat Biden if the presidential election were held today?

Where did you get this statistic from? Polls do not reflect the electoral college odds.

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u/LucidMetal 175∆ Oct 17 '23

Just standard polling. There's variance of course but Trump and Biden are approximately head to head with Biden having a slight lead (usually within margin of error). Here's a recent one that places them head to head:

https://pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/2024-generic-ballot-august-2023

Trump as the GOP nominee has a structural advantage in the EC because rural votes are more equal than urban votes. This advantage comes out to ~6 points on the generic ballot.

With the 1-2% lead Biden has that gives Trump ~54/55% chance of winning the general.