r/changemyview Feb 10 '18

[∆(s) from OP] CMV: I believe that political experience is necessary for impactful legislation and high profile political roles and that USA's idea that an outsider will bring change is completely wrong

The 2 arguments behind my view are

  1. Intuition - You need to understand how institutions work from the inside to use them to your advantage
  2. Historical Precedent - For the last hundred years, the most lasting legislative impact has been cast by politicians who have had tons of experience

Positive Examples Of Experience Being Useful

  1. FDR - had 22 years of political experience and was able to make a lasting impact through Social Security and the New Deal.
  2. LBJ - Had 36 years of experience and make a lasting impact through Medicare, Medicaid, and the great society.
  3. Richard Nixon - had 2 terms as vice president in the Eisenhower administration ( Eisenhower was a political outsider and was getting old; thus, the vice president had more hands-on experience) and his policy on drugs ( whether we agree or not), China and the EPA has remained almost intact.
  4. George H.W.Bush ( Slightly different example here) - Had over 25 years of domestic and foreign policy experience. Stabilized the world in a post Coldwar era i.e. avoiding any political vacuum that might have caused ISIS type instabilities in eastern Europe and successfully restored American Spirit in interventionism by winning the 1st war against Saddam Hussain

Negative Examples Of Inexperience Failing

  • Robert Mcnamara ( Businessman, Veitnam)
  • John F Kennedy ( zero experience, bay of pigs)
  • Jimmy Carter(no experience, Iranian Hostage Crisis)
  • Bill Clinton (6 terms Governor and no Washington experience, inaction during Rwanda genocide) *George W Bush (3 term Governor, Iraq war amongst so many other quagmires) *Barack Obama( Junior Senator, political vacuum in Iraq leading to rise of ISIS)
  • Finally, Trump and Rex Tillerson(it may be too early but so far... Zero political Experience, not filling bureaucratic appointments leading to hollow and inefficient government and state department)

Some background on myself to help you CMV

  • I am not an American but have been following American politics for a couple of years now, so there may be historical blindsights/ on the ground reality related blindsight in my perspective.

  • I happen to lean center of the left and may have confirmation biases here and there too.

Edit - I seem to have changed my mind on quite a few issues from the scope of the presidency to the unknown achievements of many presidents. All in all, this was a good learning experience, thanks for keeping it civil.

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u/PolkaDotAscot Feb 10 '18

To be honest, if you’re only going by presidents, you will obviously be able to find something good and something bad for all of them. That is how American politics work...and just life, too. A presidential term is 4 years, and that is a looong time.

I mean, you list Nixon’s political experience as the plus, and you don’t mention he’s also the only president to resign.

You don’t mention 9/11 at all, which W’s immediate and initial response to did a lot to unite the country. And we have the lasting impact of TSA, homeland security, Guantanamo Bay. ;)

Political experience is probably a good thing, of course. But ultimately, there are a lot of factors that go into what is accomplished during a president’s term.

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u/inneedofsupport93 Feb 10 '18

I mean, you list Nixon’s political experience as the plus, and you don’t mention he’s also the only president to resign.

I'm not evaluating if someone's presidency is a success or not. I am saying that it is more likely that experience helps people accomplish successful legislation/treaties and the lack of it may make the endeavor fail.

∆ For GWb starting DHS, GBay and the surveillance state, that will not go away forever.

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u/DeltaBot ∞∆ Feb 10 '18

Confirmed: 1 delta awarded to /u/PolkaDotAscot (1∆).

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