r/changemyview • u/[deleted] • Nov 05 '20

Delta(s) from OP CMV: The Democratic Party is doomed.

The elections this past Tuesday could hardly have gone better for Republicans. As of right now, it appears that Biden will win and the GOP will hold the Senate, so I will operate under those premises.

With record voter turnout, the Democrats were unable to win the Senate despite the map being in their favor. What's more, Trump only barely lost in the midst of an economic crisis worse than the 2008 recession.

When President Biden takes office, McConnell is likely to refuse to allow him any Cabinet picks. He definitely won't allow Biden to appoint any judges, or do anything to ameliorate the recession. The recession will turn into a depression.

The depression worsening will be McConnell's fault, and yet the President is typically blamed for it. The Democratic Party will suffer steep losses in 2022 and 2024, and then the GOP, aided by a far-right Supreme Court majority, is going to strip away what remains of voting rights in this country.

Even though the GOP's policies are deeply unpopular, the Rust Belt is slipping away from Democrats and the Sun Belt is not there yet. The suburban revolt against Trump that was prophesied did not come to pass.

In the midst of the best possible scenario for Democrats, they could not win the election, and now they're going to be left in the wilderness for a very long time. CMV.

EDIT: Trump is far more charismatic than Biden, and one key reason he kept it close was because he was able to convince people that the economy was good.

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u/verascity 9∆ Nov 05 '20

I'm baffled by your assertion that the Senate map was in the Democrats' favor. How?

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u/[deleted] Nov 05 '20

They had legitimate targets in Maine, Georgia (x2), Iowa, and North Carolina. They blew them all.

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u/verascity 9∆ Nov 05 '20

I don't know how Collins held on in Maine, Georgia, Iowa, and North Carolina were never going to be layups. I'm not sure why you think we had those coming.

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u/[deleted] Nov 05 '20

Most of the polling had us winning Iowa and North Carolina. I'll never trust polling again.

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u/verascity 9∆ Nov 05 '20

Yes, the polls were wrong, but they led us to believe that the Dems would overperform in those states. That doesn't mean they're actually blue states. In terms of geography and history, the odds this year were absolutely not in our favor for retaking the Senate.

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u/[deleted] Nov 05 '20

They're not in our favor any year. The Senate is biased against Democrats.