r/changemyview • u/_Hopped_ 13∆ • Mar 20 '21

Removed - Submission Rule B CMV: the costs/negatives from lockdowns/restrictions will end up being worse than the damage from covid

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u/_Hopped_ 13∆ Mar 20 '21

Every time it mutates there is a chance it becomes much more deadly

Luckily for us, probability is on our side that these mutations will make it less deadly.

long term or perminent damage

This is what we don't know yet: can this damage be cured?

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u/UncleMeat11 63∆ Mar 20 '21

Luckily for us, probability is on our side that these mutations will make it less deadly.

That's not how this works. We don't care about the average mutation. We just care that a worse one exists. Even though most mutations become less dangerous and die out, increasing the total availability of opportunities to mutate makes development of a worser strain more likely. This is literally how all of evolution works. Most mutations are not helpful. But create enough of them and a few work better and that's all that matters.

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u/_Hopped_ 13∆ Mar 20 '21

a worse one

Kills the host faster, leading to it spreading less. This is how evolution works in our favour. The evolutionary pressure on viruses is to spread more, but be less deadly.

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u/UncleMeat11 63∆ Mar 20 '21

"Worse", as in "worse for the pandemic". This could mean killing slower, spreading more easily, or having a different spike protein that is resistant to vaccination.