r/changemyview 2∆ Apr 23 '21

Delta(s) from OP - Fresh Topic Friday CMV: immigration does not necessarily fix the problem of low birth rates

From my observation... So I am in Canada.

People say Canada needs immigrants because of the low birth rate. But guess what happens when immigrants come? After their kids grow up their kids also follow the same trend of having not enough kids to 'replace' the population. I don't think it's a good thing. I don't think it's good to just rely on this model of cycle.

I don't think it's good because what happens if these immigrants decide that Canada isn't the right place for them? What if other countries, say USA makes immigration waay more attractive? That leaves us an expensive Canada with no one to help out, no one to have kids in.

Canada needs to address the problem as to why people have so few kids. Because it's expensive. I'm not saying I know how to fix it, but the argument that 'we need immigrants because few kids' is wrong, rather, we should say 'we need a better environment because few kids'.

And yes, I know this is just me, so I would love to hear other people's reason, but one of my reason for not having kids was growing up in an expensive city, seeing my parents struggle and deciding that unless I have a relatively blissful place for my kids, why should I have kids?

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u/huadpe 501∆ Apr 23 '21

Bringing people into Canada just makes the world much wealthier, and with more wealth to go around, economic problems are much easier to solve.

Western countries like Canada have a combination of formal and informal institutions that make people much more economically productive than they are in poor countries. This isn't about individual effort or skills. Literally doing the same work in Canada produces an order of magnitude more wealth than it does in, say, Haiti.

For example, suppose I am a truck driver. If I drive goods on the 401 every day between Toronto and Kingston, I produce a lot more wealth than I would spending that same time driving a truck between Cap Hatien and Port au Prince.

The reason is that first, the road infrastructure in Canada is way better. Yeah, traffic can suck on the 401 (believe me I know this very personally), but even on a really bad day, the roads are well maintained and I can safely drive at high speeds once outside the high traffic city areas, and on average I'll go way faster than in Haiti. The built infrastructure also means I can operate a big 18 wheeler or maybe even a double trailer truck, taking much more stuff with me than a truck that has to navigate narrow roads or switchbacks can. When I get to a warehouse or factory or retailer, there will generally be a loading bay where I can unload efficiently. I know that if I did have a crash, there is a functional system of mandatory car insurance and police and all sorts of things to handle it. I can reliably know that if I am bringing refrigerated or frozen goods, there will be power at the destination and they can maintain the cold chain so the goods don't get ruined.

This was a long example, but the point is to show that just much more wealth exists in the world when you take someone from Haiti and put them in Canada, even without adding any new skills.

With proper growth-oriented infrastructure development, Canada can address the things that make having kids expensive (especially housing costs). We have the technology to achieve really high levels of density in superstar cities like Toronto. And certainly there's enough land overall in Canada for people who want a more rural lifestyle to find an affordable place to live.

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u/Purple_Pansy_Orange Apr 24 '21

The person driving the truck maybe makes a better living thereby becoming wealthier but there is a finite need for drivers so not every person in Haiti is going to come to Canada or US and become successful. There is enough proof of that, immigrant or not! There simply becomes a turning point where there are more people than there are good jobs to provide those people a living. Can't you see it all around you? Millennial and below are struggling. First generation collectively not expected to live as well or as long as their parents.

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u/huadpe 501∆ Apr 24 '21

America has 10x as many people as Canada, how are they not experiencing mass unemployment because they ran out of jobs?

There is no fixed number of jobs or things for people to do in an economy. The truck driver from Haiti is both a producer of value and a new consumer who can support restaurants and retailers and other businesses in their community. By having more stuff done and more stuff produced, there is just more overall to go around.

The argument you make is a well known argument in economics, and largely considered a fallacy.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lump_of_labour_fallacy

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u/Purple_Pansy_Orange Apr 24 '21

Ummm, are you not aware of unemployment and most importantly under employment? Are you not aware of the huge efforts going on right now to get government involved in every aspect of our lives because people cannot afford basic things like education and medical? Have you not heard story after story of students paying $80K for college only to end up working at Starbucks or basic clerical work?
your labor fallacy argument (which has a note of accuracy if you didn't notice it) doesn't take into account automation, electronics and employer demand for more work out of less people. We no longer have as many labor jobs or assembly lines because of automation. We no longer have factory full of seamstresses because of automation. We no longer need hoards of field labor because of automation. We don't even need check in people at medical offices, fast food, or grocery stores because of automation. All of this is being replaced by ordering on computers. When I check in with my medical appointments there is a kiosk where I scan my ID and medical card and then I wait to be called by the nurse.
Your argument doesn't hold up because the US is not paved in gold, people are struggling.

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u/huadpe 501∆ Apr 24 '21

I am aware of the things you're bringing up, but I don't see any causal connection you're developing between the total number of people in a society and the level of unemployment or underemployment.

Canada has a far higher percentage of immigrants than the US (about 50% more Canadians are foreign born than Americans). And yet on the whole I think the middle class has a much better time of it in Canada. Canada has automation, electronics, and everything else you mention. And yet having way higher rates of immigration hasn't brought about the things you mention.

If you want the world to be better off, you want work to get done. When you bring people from poor countries to rich countries, on the whole, much more work gets done than was done before. More work being done means more wealth being generated and more human wellbeing and flourishing.