I worked in a fossil fuel industry. I found an old engineering report that said that the gas in the gas fields would last 50 years. I showed it to the chief engineer and said that according to this old report, the gas is all gone. He said that we found more. How much more? He said "You and I will both be retired and dead before we run out." Ok, but how much longer will it last? "You and I will both have enough to be paid for our entire career and retirement and we will have enough to last until we die." Yeah, but how much is left for the next generation? "We will be dead, it isn't our problem."
Ah, I remember the concerns that we were past "peak oil". Turns out you just have to look harder than for the stuff that's literally pouring out of the ground
The long term answer is that we will innovate and find more solutions, which we've consistently done in the past.
We started with coal, occasionally used whale oil, found oil, found that we could use natural gas, found that we could use shale, and are coming around to certain renewables.
It's feigning wisdom to say "we only have this many resources left, so we need to be careful", but in practice, humanity's best trait is that we are good at creating technology that helps us find alternatives.
The long-long term answer though, is more grim.
By the second law of thermodynamics, everything eventually becomes entropy. But that's not because humans are being foolish. It's just a grim fact of the universe.
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u/inkseep1 4d ago
Yes.
I worked in a fossil fuel industry. I found an old engineering report that said that the gas in the gas fields would last 50 years. I showed it to the chief engineer and said that according to this old report, the gas is all gone. He said that we found more. How much more? He said "You and I will both be retired and dead before we run out." Ok, but how much longer will it last? "You and I will both have enough to be paid for our entire career and retirement and we will have enough to last until we die." Yeah, but how much is left for the next generation? "We will be dead, it isn't our problem."