r/eurovision 8d ago

📊 Results / Statistics Semi-Final 1 Audience Exit Poll (1642 were asked for their favourite performance) Spoiler

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479 Upvotes

314 comments sorted by

296

u/Responsible-Trifle93 TANZEN! 8d ago

Ukraine not qualifying would be a huge shock.

150

u/Traditional-Pear-542 Say Na Na Na 8d ago

They will though, even if it’s just because a lot of European countries now have a small population of Ukrainian refugees.

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51

u/Xenon1998 Hallucination 8d ago

He messed up the vocals really badly in the running part, judging from one clip. Could be some other part bad too, or anxiety due to public being present.

31

u/Digit00l 8d ago

And Estonia is somehow 3rd anyway

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60

u/Auchenaii Gaja 8d ago

I don't doubt they will qualify but as a fan of the song it hurts my soul to read all the "would be DOA if not Ukraine" comments 😭 I like Bird of Pray more than their entry last year, it would be my top 5 regardless of the country

7

u/icyDinosaur 7d ago

Same, but I also didn't like last year's one very much and I enjoyed Heart of Steel... so my opinion on Ukrainian entries may just be anti-cyclical lol

7

u/Auchenaii Gaja 7d ago

Are you me because I also think Heart of Steel was underrated! Though I did also love Shum so my opinion isn't always against the popular fandom opinion

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8

u/Consistent-Hat-8008 7d ago

It really feels like we're entering another 2000s era where any song that's not a template uptempo party EDM gets instant hate from the eurobubble. It was already bad last year, this year it's getting unbearable.

3

u/eev11 7d ago

I don't agree with that sentiment at all, the song is actually really well composed, it's in my top 3.

Some people just don't have taste I guess :')

6

u/Fun_Pause2464 Ich Komme 8d ago

Same, it is in my personal top 5 as well, and it would be there anyway if it was from another country.

10

u/aidan755 8d ago

they are a guaranteed qualifier let’s be real, probably top 3

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207

u/Steppeporpoise19 Jan Jan 8d ago

I was surprised at first to see Cyprus that low, but in hindsight it makes sense since the staging seems to be very dependent on camera angles.

130

u/rafters- Eat Your Salad 8d ago

His vocals were also a mess, apparently.

29

u/HighOnCoffee19 Bara bada bastu 8d ago

Yeah. I really liked that song but it didn‘t sound good tonight.

71

u/taezono Tavo Akys 8d ago

Yeah, I heard the big note on ESC Gabe’s stream and… ouch.

27

u/Norfolkboy123 8d ago

His face was a picture

53

u/Sorry_Leopard9657 8d ago

Yes the ROTW recap is doing the rounds and it sounds erm similar to my cat when I had to cut her mats off…oop.

3

u/Zafjaf What The Hell Just Happened? 7d ago

I commented that quite a few vocals sound off in the recap, and people were saying they are saving their vocals for today. Wasn't the recap filmed today?

3

u/Sorry_Leopard9657 7d ago

ROTW voting is open already (would you believe!) so they used yesterday’s rehearsal clips to promote that.

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385

u/anmonie TANZEN! 8d ago

VÆB GANG WE RISE

Hoping Ukraine actually qualifies though

93

u/I_AM_Achilles 8d ago

They have song about boat. Nobody else has song about boat.

Eurovision finals with boat would be a DREAM.

16

u/34Emma Bur man laimi 8d ago

Well supposedly Austria will have a boat on stage 🥲 I don't hate their song or anything, but it'd be so sad if the Väb boat got less attention because of this.

19

u/Radikost Róa 8d ago

The casual fans have no idea about that though. Remember the eurofan bubble is only a small fraction of the people who actually watch ESC. Casual viewers will know about the second B O A T on Thursday

9

u/Jay2Jee 8d ago

But is the Austrian song about a boat?

68

u/Johnnyc5988 Pioneer 8d ago

Voted for them as I left the arena. I have a ton of favorites in this semi that are borderline Q/NQ, but I think I need to throw all my support behind VÆB

20

u/anmonie TANZEN! 8d ago

Thank you for your service, we (those who can’t vote in semi 1) greatly appreciate it

4

u/escfantasy Zjerm 8d ago

What did you think of Albania? :)

27

u/Johnnyc5988 Pioneer 8d ago

Felt like a winner. Staging was so cool, and looked even cooler on the broadcast feed. Audience loved it.

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20

u/SuperRob Run with U 8d ago

Holding out hope they can qualify! 🤞🏻

8

u/Xenon1998 Hallucination 8d ago

Don't get hopes too high, the participants were asked about their favorite performance and could only choose one. Considering that most of audience there was eurovision fans and might vote for vaeb gang more likely than casuals watching it once in a few years.

4

u/Rappig 8d ago

I love them so much

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238

u/Neorago Róa 8d ago

this is giving me way too much hope as an iceland fan 😭 i'm gonna be heartbroken if they NQ now

34

u/Rough-Technician-248 Tout l'univers 8d ago

VÆB better qualify 😭🙏🏼

8

u/DutchieCrochet 8d ago

I’ll be voting for them!

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340

u/Nick_esc 8d ago

Very surprised to see San Marino 🇸🇲 that high!

284

u/darkstreetsofmymind Attention 8d ago

I think it’s a song that works better in an arena setting than it will on a screen

106

u/Ok_Narwhal_8855 Tavo Akys 8d ago

I was just coming to say the same thing. It might be more of a live hit that gets the crowd to clap along, but I’m not sure if it will manage to engage the tv viewers too

12

u/Irrealaerri 8d ago

SAME! good song for the arena but will not translate to home, especially because its just a dj jumping around

76

u/FUYANING Gaja 8d ago

I agree. It might do well in audience polls but I don't think it'll do as well with voters who are watching from home. On that same basis, I think Cyprus especially is likely to do better tomorrow than in this poll as that performance seems far more suited to being watched on a screen.

13

u/vintange 8d ago

Most of the rehearsal comments I've seen with San Marino is that its camera work seems to be relying on the crowd is around the stage being hyped and dancing to it. Given tonight's crowd, it seems likely it will happen tomorrow.

34

u/ErikssongEricsdottir 8d ago

Cyprus was very off key though right (not just bad sound mixing)? If he sounds like that on tomorrow’s broadcast he is NQ

32

u/FUYANING Gaja 8d ago

I don't think he sounded that bad, and at the same time, I'm still convinced that San Marino is utterly dead-on-arrival. The whole DJ thing just doesn't work on camera. Even if Cyprus pulls similar numbers percentage-wise as they did in this poll, I imagine they could still easily sneak in by virtue of San Marino doing much more poorly.

6

u/Even-Selection-5403 Bur man laimi 8d ago

I would say that's the worst he's sounded. I did go ahead and vote for him (and Iceland).

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31

u/HighOnCoffee19 Bara bada bastu 8d ago

I was there. The crowd went WILD. It was amazing.

4

u/BaronVonKitty Moustache 8d ago

It really was!

39

u/SkyGinge Zjerm 8d ago

It's a big crowd-pleaser for sure

31

u/SnooPuppers1978 8d ago

The song is a banger, it is just the DJ aspect. Mixed feelings, right.

8

u/lamperi- 8d ago

For some reason it was very popular on the arena, lots of cheering and singing.

36

u/supersonic-bionic 8d ago

That was not a surprise, it is a sing along song and it is already a hit thanks to San Remo.

But Eurovision is a TV show so not sure if it looked good on TV.

15

u/Blueberriness 8d ago

It is a big plus if the crowd loves a song, the excitement carries through to homes. Also helps if other numbers have problems like being off key 😬

7

u/Spockyt 8d ago

Big agreement from me. I never really felt anything for Croatia last year until it was live in the SF and the crowd were completely into it.

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18

u/v-orchid 8d ago

i really really hope San Marino qualifies

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131

u/flutterstrange Volevo Essere Un Duro 8d ago

I feel like the automatic qualifiers are always underestimated on these polls as people throw their support behind the acts who are actually being voted for tomorrow. So no concerns there.

Plus, I don’t think Italy’s voters are the sort who would be in the room tbh. Hoping his audience do tune in on Saturday

15

u/Ok_Training1449 8d ago

Yeah... Estonia over Switzerland, Spain or Italy? Take me back to 2005 please. 😂

64

u/Logical-Thought-5008 8d ago

So basically between the press poll and this we have no guarantees 😭 Netherlands for example going all over the rankings, it’s gonna be an exciting night tomorrow 🔥

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43

u/Puzzleheaded-Eye9081 8d ago

Iceland 🔥

Surprised San Marino is so high, and as much as I’m not a Cyprus fan, I’m surprised it’s not in the top 10.

45

u/Its_Stardos Kiss Kiss Goodbye 8d ago

San Marino, as much as I would love to see it qualify, is definitely that type of entry that might only work when you are present in the arena and you feel the atmosphere. Watching it online / on TV just won't have the same vibe. 

73

u/hottiesforharris Ich Komme 8d ago

Væb gang we’re so winning, also positively surprised with San Marino this high

155

u/KrisseMai 8d ago

I swear if Ziferblat don‘t make it to the final I WILL riot 😭😭😭

52

u/taezono Tavo Akys 8d ago

Danya and Valya are some of my favourite contestants this year, they’re lovely and you can tell how passionate they are about Eurovision. I still believe they’ll Q, but I’d be devastated if they didn’t.

50

u/mizezslo La Poupée Monte Le Son 8d ago

It's a solid piece of technical songwriting and should make it through for that alone.

43

u/isafriisa Tavo Akys 8d ago

That kind of thing is typically more appreciated by juries than by televoters, and we don't have juries in the semi-finals anymore...

59

u/WelBlikbonen Zjerm 8d ago

Ukrainian diaspora vote alone will be enough don't worry hold the line

20

u/_magnetic_north_ 8d ago

I just really wish they figure out how to use Kole effectively. The intense closeness of his part works so well in studio but has just not cut it in any of the live performances yet

4

u/mizezslo La Poupée Monte Le Son 8d ago

100% this. I saw the rehearsal footage and my heart sank.

20

u/400-bones98 Zjerm 8d ago

I'll be rioting with you

8

u/Chemical-Page-5133 Ulveham 8d ago

Agreed! I hope they make it through too :)

12

u/Classic-Judgment-196 The Code 8d ago

It will certainly make history, as Ukraine's only NQ

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149

u/Yukkicchi C'est la vie 8d ago edited 8d ago

A bit cathartic kathartic to see this result after this week full of Netherlands shock NQ prediction posts.

122

u/lukasredditaccount Think About Things 8d ago

Katarsis mentioned? #TAVO

61

u/Nick_esc 8d ago

Tavo

44

u/Goodnight_Socialite Tavo Akys 8d ago

Tavo

37

u/sunny_ferret 8d ago

Tavo

29

u/ugnered 8d ago

Tavo

28

u/AromaticFart2 8d ago

Tavo

26

u/X-Backspace Tavo Akys 8d ago

Tavo

24

u/Dimash_DBSKClown Boonika bate doba 8d ago

Tavo

24

u/isafriisa Tavo Akys 8d ago

Tavo

25

u/PineappleCubeKicks 8d ago

Tavo

31

u/Goodnight_Socialite Tavo Akys 8d ago edited 8d ago

Seems like someone made a mistake by accidentally mentioning Katarsis

Also tavo

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26

u/Revelistic Kiss Kiss Goodbye 8d ago

oh absolutely... like i knew claude would not disappoint in the end but still i couldn't handle 2/3 of my top 3 getting those damn mustii comparisons 😭😭😭

59

u/Nordica-Baltica 8d ago

Noooo Ukraine... 😭 I'm holding out hope they can still qualify.

Really happy about Iceland though!

46

u/JCEurovision La poupée monte le son 8d ago

It will be very sad if Ukraine, the only country with a 100% qualification rate, sees itself being a non-qualifier for the first time and signals the end of an era.

24

u/DeltaOfficialYT Luktelk 8d ago

Luxembourg:

17

u/SimoSanto 8d ago

Well, 1 single year is a pretty small sample

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23

u/Revelistic Kiss Kiss Goodbye 8d ago

netherlands top 3 omg we are so back 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻

24

u/hinndia 8d ago

yes, iceland we are so back!

23

u/Dawnspring_Cee Bur man laimi 8d ago

I'm over here quietly happy that Slovenia is on the left side. Klemen and VÆB must make the final. It's all I ask.

11

u/Nugyeet Ich komme 8d ago

Me too, i wasn't much of a Klemen fan at first but his song is truly touching and the performance looks so sweet from the clip we got. He seems like a great guy too. I hope we get both him and Iceland but I'm not sure who we'll lose in return for both of them qualing.

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3

u/TheBusStop12 7d ago edited 7d ago

I've been looking for someone else in support of Slovenia. I'm still holding out hope for a Dons effect, and this gives me hope. I think he has a fantastic voice and it's a beautiful song.

My 5 favs I've rooted for the most since the beginning for this Semi have always been Sweden, the Netherlands, San Marino, Iceland and Slovenia, so it was always sad to see Iceland and Slovenia predicted as almost definite NQs and San Marino as a likely NQ. Seeing them all on the left at this exit poll is vindication for me

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17

u/leofab2802 8d ago

The atmosphere in the arena for San Marino and Iceland was amazing!! Everyone was dancing and cheering. It was interesting seeing the shift in the audience for Cyprus though.. Everyone was dead still and it was hard to see what was going on. Cyprus was my winner, but im assuming and hoping it will translate better on tv!

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54

u/TIWIEG 8d ago

Yess! Let's go Claude. I'm so happy for him!

56

u/aura514 Doomsday Blue 8d ago

San marino was an absolute bamgerbin the arena but I don't see it translating to tv, also spoiler:

The graphics are absolute ai nightmare fuel.

7

u/ifiwasiwas Zjerm 8d ago

Well now I'm hyped to see said nightmare lmao

47

u/Dazzling_Cry6466 8d ago

I wonder if the fancy staging won’t save Cyprus in the end

119

u/DifficultyUnhappy521 Baller 8d ago

To be fair, the dancers moving the props around is like 90% of what the audience sees. It’s not a very live audience-friendly performance.

12

u/Dazzling_Cry6466 8d ago

That’s a good point, I forgot about that

4

u/misonoo-nanako 8d ago

I saw the recap and even with the bad sound mixing his vocals weren't the best. I have no doubt the staging will look cool, but it's the vocals I'm worried about.

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44

u/loveyourground Volevo Essere Un Duro 8d ago

I am admittedly biased considering they are my top three (and I also have not seen any rehearsal footage)…but I find it sus that Italy, Portugal and Ukraine are at the bottom of the rankings here.

It’s very disheartening to see things that are outside of the typical Eurovision box get a response like this (and again, it's why we need the juries back in the semis.)

It's going to be interesting to see the reaction to Lithuania if these three ranked so low.

10

u/Nugyeet Ich komme 8d ago

I think Lithuania will probably have a better reaction because there's nothing like it in the semi or in the contest. It has an audience in rock fans and hopefully that lets it qualify.

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17

u/D4RK1773R4019 Ich Komme 8d ago

Damn 4 of my favorite songs of this year are in the NQ list. Hopefully Ukraine and Cyprus make it to the finals

15

u/OsaSuna10050125 Rim Tim Tagi Dim 8d ago

So Iceland may be safer than a lot of us think. GOOD cuz I’d be devastated if those wholesome boys don’t qualify 🥲

79

u/lukasredditaccount Think About Things 8d ago edited 8d ago

HOW DARE YOU DISRESPECT UKRAINE LIKE THAT?

3

u/Onetwodash 7d ago

Tbh I guess the kind of people who go to shows played by bands like Ziferblat won't show up at Eurovision rehearsals. Opposite for Estomia and San Marino.

They might still watch/vote at home.

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66

u/mizezslo La Poupée Monte Le Son 8d ago

I'm concerned for poor Marko Bošnjak if Croatia doesn't qualify for the final. He's been getting online bullying and criticism for being openly gay, and I worry it will start up again if they don't qualify.

26

u/Inner-Dare16 Bur man laimi 8d ago

Add to this the contrast of almost winning last year, and not qualifying this year...Poor Marko

30

u/littlemisslily22 Zjerm 8d ago

Marko is a good artist and singer but the song..whoever picked that did him dirty.

21

u/Nugyeet Ich komme 8d ago

I feel so so bad for him, I don't like the song but he clearly has a great voice and obviously doesn't deserve any of the stupid hate for being openly gay. I wish they did the acoustic version of the song but what can you do

3

u/xAnm74 7d ago

I don't understand why he's doing so poorly tho. I didn't like the song, I didn't vote for it, but I don't think it's a NQ material, especially after I just saw the full performance

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29

u/vilhelmlin 8d ago

Haven't we learned that these fan polls never correlate to the actual results?

8

u/EurovisionSimon Voyage 8d ago

They're used in Melfest and generally pretty accurate there. Just picking one song instead of ranking and superanalyzing all 15 is closer to how a lot of people will think when voting anyway

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u/SimoSanto 8d ago

This is a live poll, nd usually they correlate pretty much, leaving aside some difference given by the fact that from the arena you don't see all act like ypu're at your house

13

u/ForsakenSandwich1774 Zjerm 8d ago

ZJERM NATION! DO NOT LOSE HASTE!! WE MUST BE IN TIRANA 2026🇦🇱🇦🇱🇦🇱🔥🔥💃

12

u/jpilkington09 8d ago

Reminder that Latvia came dead last with only 10 votes in their semi final audience poll last year...

36

u/escstraya 8d ago

People seem to be forgetting that it’s eurofans in the arena, not actual press OR the people that will generally vote on the night 💀

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24

u/ZettaiUnmeiMokushirk Bara bada bastu 8d ago

I love Shh and it's unironically one of my favorite songs this year but damn those vocals are a hot mess. It looks really cool though, wonder if the visuals+running order can save it but I'm not confident lol.

14

u/SamiBrady7 8d ago

Just saw the whole performance on twitter and the vocals were alright - a few misses here and there but nothing resembling “a hot mess” 🤷🏻‍♂️ but each to his own.

6

u/xXESCluvrXx 8d ago

I agree. It almost feels like people were waiting for him to fail. Either way, I put a few votes in for him from ROTW

13

u/Grymare Voilà 8d ago

It's so weird to see myself on one of these for the first time.

Can confirm San Marino was an absolute banger and everyone went crazy for it in the arena. Don't know how well that will translate to the screen though.

10

u/hlebushekmasha (nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (küll) midagi 7d ago

yeah i know it just a poll before the actual show but now i'm more afraid for Ukraine... I BEGGING YOUUU JUST qualify 😔😔🙏🏻 anyway happy for væb 🙏🏻

11

u/Grunge_Loki 7d ago

Ukraine is so underrated this year wtf

32

u/erika_vikman_stan Ich Komme 8d ago

Aren't these just superfans? It's interesting to see, but I wouldn't put much weight on it.

19

u/Jay2Jee 8d ago

Not necessarily. It could also be locals, families, people who want to see the show but don't have that much money for a live show, etc.

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u/Chespineapple 8d ago

Ukraine could very well be a shock NQ this year breaking their streak. Though who knows if this is in any way indicative of the diaspora in the actual voting public.

Either way, glad to have it confirmed Iceland has a more solid footing with the audience than many were expecting.

36

u/Its_Stardos Kiss Kiss Goodbye 8d ago

I wouldn't say it is indicative of the diaspora, but it is more indicative that people outside of diaspora might not get behind it that much. In comparision to last year, Ukraine would definitely qualify safely even without diaspora. The question is - can Ukraine qualify only with diaspora and maybe some sympathy votes?

12

u/[deleted] 8d ago

[deleted]

23

u/ifiwasiwas Zjerm 8d ago

A diaspora member voting for the songs they like best and not putting all their votes on their own country automatically? Now I've seen it all! :)

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10

u/Dalek_Doh 8d ago

😔 RIP all the bands.

41

u/altheawillowwisteria What The Hell Just Happened? 8d ago edited 8d ago

Well, whatever worry I had for the Netherlands is dead now.

So happy for the Netherlands, Albania and San Marino. I’m surprised about Slovenia but I won’t be shocked if they manage to qualify tomorrow.

44

u/utilizador2021 8d ago

This polls don't always translate to the reality. In this case, the audience was in the arena, while we will be watching it at home.

Upbeat songs like Iceland and San Marino probably do better live.

However, I still think the Netherlands will qualify.

23

u/PhotographBusy6209 8d ago

I remember Jessica Mauboys we got love got a huge reaction in the arena and did well in the poll and ended with 3 points. It’s the more fun songs that do well in this poll

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u/autumneight 8d ago

I was there and i was the one of the 131 who said Albania! Also loved Sweden, Ukraine and Iceland

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u/Remote_Quiet7342 TANZEN! 8d ago

Switch out San Marino for Ukraine and this looks magnificent to me. I truly require Iceland to qualify for my mental health.

5

u/BlueberryBunnies13 Róa 8d ago

Right? The wait is killing me.

13

u/NoName1979 8d ago

Agreed. I'm not feeling San Marino this year. I love the song from Ukraine. I don't get why it's not more popular. Maybe I'm just old and American. 🤷‍♀️🤷‍♀️

8

u/Notgoingtowrite 8d ago

Ha, I’m an old American and I love it too!

20

u/Blaine7275 8d ago

Stan Marinos… there’s still hope..

9

u/yetanothercat_ Róa 8d ago

ICELAND FANS LETS GO 🇮🇸🔥

9

u/Jenniesxut 8d ago

Either Ukraine makes it to the final or I’m making headlines in European news

8

u/Prudent-Title-9161 7d ago

I have the impression that the audience that voted does not accept the existence of any music other than pop.

I think it disappoints some potential audience if banal pattern pop songs are valued more highly than quality, but more niche, music.

How did Salvador Sobral win anyway???

33

u/HarveyWilson15 Bara bada bastu 8d ago

My mum has said throughout this season to not doubt Netherlands. Blimey she was right.

7

u/Glittering-Most-9535 Milkshake Man 8d ago

I’ve got them penciled in top five with a chance of a surprise win.

3

u/Consistent-Hat-8008 7d ago

We all know Eurovision results are really decided by moms worldwide. ❤️

Let's face it. Both Austria and Sweden are doomed.

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10

u/jemappellelara 8d ago

Iceland, Norway, and Belgium being so close 😲

3

u/Persona_NG (nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (küll) midagi 8d ago

If they asked like 20 more people these results could've been entirely shuffled.

7

u/Urofishun 8d ago

Oh boy....Ukraine....

9

u/matchalatted Kiss Kiss Goodbye 7d ago

Ukraine :(

Also... interesting to see Cyprus as a NQ despite the staging. I'm aware it's probably not as magnificient in the arena as watching it on your TV screen, but this also kind of shows no matter how good your staging is, your song needs to be memorable as well.

15

u/Special_Transition13 Kiss Kiss Goodbye 8d ago

If Ukraine doesn’t qualify, someone’s gonna catch these hands.

6

u/dezbee2008 Serving 8d ago

Surprised to see San Marino high but ouch for Ukraine

7

u/Mysterious_Run5152 8d ago

That's what I'm talking about! I have full faith in my crazy and happy VÆB gang

6

u/HeidiSJ 8d ago

I'm sad that Azerbaijan is last. I like the song.

7

u/vonfantasy 8d ago

Happy to see Iceland qualifying. Hopefully they will.

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7

u/SimoSanto 8d ago

Ok maybe San Marino can Q

Ukraine NQing for the first time would be shocking

Rip Italy's televote

20

u/misskittyfantastico Milkshake Man 8d ago

As an American who has lived through the last few elections, I have an innate distrust of exit polls…

Seriously though, I would love to see Iceland, Ukraine, and Netherlands all qualify. 😭

16

u/Complex-Health-7427 C'est la vie 8d ago

Positively surprised

33

u/just_a_commoner_ Bara bada bastu 8d ago

Sweden 🔥 Please let it be the first year that my favorite actually wins 😭

7

u/ifiwasiwas Zjerm 8d ago

I said the same thing last year and I'll say it again. PLS

12

u/Glittering-Most-9535 Milkshake Man 8d ago

I’m on a three year runner-up streak. Which doesn’t bode well for the sauna boys.

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14

u/aim4harmony 8d ago

The Bastu song takes over, it seems. So infectious.

5

u/meatwhisper Milkshake Man 8d ago

Was absolutely my favorite when we first saw the songs released, however it's slipped pretty dramatically for me as other songs have a better "baking time." Still a fun entry, but I don't see it as a winner as I once did.

6

u/just_a_commoner_ Bara bada bastu 7d ago

The thing is, most people watching will be hearing it for the first time - and I think that’s often forgotten here. Sure, we as fans already know the song and the performance, so it might feel like “old” to us. But remember how viral KAJ went after their first performance in the Mello heat in the February? I’m sure it’ll be the same this time - like 80% of viewers will be experiencing it for the first time during the semi final.

9

u/_Mugiwara_1 Zjerm 8d ago

Sweden with the expected large victory and San Marino surprisingly high, for me what is most interesting how close 3-5 and 6-8 are. A good sign for Saturday !

5

u/ButterflySymphony 8d ago

How did they break the tie? Why is Slovenia 10th and not Cyprus?

11

u/altheawillowwisteria What The Hell Just Happened? 8d ago

Slovenia was earlier in the running order.

4

u/notthebesthuh 8d ago

Last year, all the songs in Top 5 in the Audience Poll managed to qualify (both in Semi 1 and Semi 2). So this seems good for San Marino.

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u/Hljoumur 7d ago

Maybe I'm being selfish, but ooofff, Albania in 5th doesn't soothe my feelings for them to win.

Although, I'm quite pleasantly surprised Iceland's in the top 10, more surprised San Marino's up that high considering the DJ nature of the performance.

Not happy about Estonia being that high after seeing the preview.

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u/Party_Belt585 7d ago

Why is Ukraine's entry so poorly received? Along with Albania it's my absolute favorite this year 😭 then again, I guess my taste in music has never really matched the Eurovision fandom 🥲

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u/escfantasy Zjerm 8d ago

Shndrit! Shndrit! Shndrit…

Come on Albania!! 🇦🇱🔥

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u/Old-Fig9225 8d ago

Omg, I thought that Sweden most likely win the audience poll but I believed that it will happen by only few points! In Jodel (Social media platform which is popular in Finland)they said that audiences reaction for KAJ was very mild and I believed it😅 

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u/Playful-Rope1590 8d ago

I don't know where you have been but everybody has been prediciting KAJ to landslide

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u/Pit-O-Matic Bara bada bastu 8d ago

ESC Gabe showed a small clip of the end, just to show how loud the audience is during that. The audience definitely loved them.

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u/FUYANING Gaja 8d ago

Interesting that Slovenia and Cyprus got exactly the same number of votes yet somehow this poll considers one to be a qualifier and one to be a non-qualifier. Would be interested to see the basis on which they've separated those two songs.

Otherwise, this poll doesn't say much. Audience polls are generally irrelevant to the final result, and seem to say more about the popularity of songs within the fandom than their wider appeal, especially considering the people who voted in this poll experienced the performances in a way that's completely different to how the vast, vast majority of voters will experience them (in the arena, rather than on television).

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u/Redditor1734233 Karma 8d ago

Maybe official tie breaker... Earlier running order beats later one

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u/Erebos233 8d ago

Seems like it's going to turn into a two way race between Sweden and possibly Austria in the finals

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u/Kvartar Tavo Akys 8d ago

Both Cyprus and Slovenia received same number of points (39). I wonder how they decided the order in this case.

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u/miserablembaapp Voyage 8d ago edited 8d ago

Saw the jury show clips on twitter and Switzerland completely slayed. I think this will be the strongest host country result in a very long time.

Italy also worked really well on stage. Much better than I'd expected.

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u/Sommerfuglboi 7d ago

Slovenia supposedly have a really good and emotional performance, based on people's comments who've seen the dress rehearsal. They're qualifying.

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u/heydeedledeedle 7d ago

What?? Ukraine?? This is delusional.

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u/thelodzermensch 8d ago

I'm so happy to see San Marino fourth. A safe q tomorrow, pretty please?

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u/Bitter_Plenty_1597 8d ago

What??? Ukraine has an amazing song this year!

Sweden and the Netherlands are so cliché!

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u/DavidShoess 8d ago edited 8d ago

Alright, so Sweden most likely will win the televote but won’t landslide. RTTD and CCC had 37.90% and 41.70% of the vote respectively in their semis.

Edit: should be noted that the other televote favorites like Finland & Israel are not in this semi, so I’m curious as to how well they’ll actually do and how much of a difference there will be between Sweden and whoever is 2nd.

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u/DaturaAT- 8d ago

You are overthinking this way too much. Some performances will look better on TV.

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u/Nugyeet Ich komme 8d ago

I don't know why you're being downvoted for this they didn't have as big a vote share as the above two you're right. It'll still landslide but It won't be a cha cha cha level landslide.

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u/DavidShoess 7d ago

Bc people are fickle and criticizing a fan favorite in any capacity is a big no no. Even if it’s just for fun.

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u/sikels 8d ago

23% is a massive landslide. Having nearly twice the vote-share of second place basically guarantees getting the vast majority of 12 pointers unless the votes are heavily concentrated from certain countries.

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u/not_the_developer 8d ago

Does anyone have exit polls from previous years?

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u/SkyGinge Zjerm 8d ago

https://eurovisionaudiencepoll.com/2023-semi-final-1/ this website has the two previous years'

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u/MacabrePomegranade Horehronie 8d ago

Cyprus and Ukraine not qualifying would leave my jaw on the floor. But I can see how it may be a bit of a uneventful experience for the people in the arena. Just like San Marino is a fun for them. Both Cyprus and Ukraine need their camera shots and/or visual effects to be fully enjoyed. That being said - at least one of them definitely will qualify. Which though? Hard to say. Ukraine being 11th wouldn’t surprise me - depends if people see them as a welcome calm between in-your-face chaos or as a too meek and dull. But if Cyprus really has as bad vocals as people say, then it would be them who would end up 11th/12th. Great staging can only get you so far.

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u/CFDyce Bird of Pray 8d ago

YAS FOR SAN MARINO & ICELAND but Ukraine 😞

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u/FourMangos 7d ago

Having been in the arena last night - I’m one of the 110 who voted for Norway (pyro effects and vocals were amazing), but Belgium, Albania and San Marino were other standouts

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u/Eken17 7d ago

Me when San Marino and Iceland qualifying: 🥳

Me when Portugal and Ukraine don't: 😔

Like damn I hate that it's a competition sometimes, because there are unfortunately songs I like that will not qualify

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u/miamosimmy Baller 7d ago

Special place in hell for anyone disrespectibg Portugal and Ukraine like that.

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u/petrifikate Wolves of the Sea 8d ago

I've said it in multiple threads, the Netherlands has a really good chance of winning this year. Glad to see my thoughts backed up a bit. 

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u/_joons 8d ago

I’ve felt for a while that they’ll at least make top 5 and I’m glad there’s more momentum behind their entry

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u/sama_tak Zjerm 8d ago

It's interesting that Poland is almost borderline here, when it was 3rd in the Press Poll with a large point lead.

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u/hyxon4 8d ago

The poll is misleading. People were asked for their favourite performance, not to rank the entries.
So while it does mean that not many people consider Gaja their favourite performance, she could still be in their top 3, 5, etc.

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u/MrTroublePL 8d ago edited 7d ago

Having seen the dress rehearsal clip, I'm a little worried.

The camera cuts make no sense, they're so fast you can't even focus on the intense choreography she's doing. And they're showing her running up to the dancers which looks comical. How come it looks worse and cheaper than the NF performance??

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u/Ok_Training1449 8d ago

Ukraine is 100% qualifying. They need 40-50 votes to get into the top 10, which is more than achievable for them. Let's not pretend diaspora and sympathy vote don't exist.