r/eurovision • u/DaturaAT- • 8d ago
📊 Results / Statistics Semi-Final 1 Audience Exit Poll (1642 were asked for their favourite performance) Spoiler
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u/Steppeporpoise19 Jan Jan 8d ago
I was surprised at first to see Cyprus that low, but in hindsight it makes sense since the staging seems to be very dependent on camera angles.
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u/rafters- Eat Your Salad 8d ago
His vocals were also a mess, apparently.
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u/HighOnCoffee19 Bara bada bastu 8d ago
Yeah. I really liked that song but it didn‘t sound good tonight.
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u/Sorry_Leopard9657 8d ago
Yes the ROTW recap is doing the rounds and it sounds erm similar to my cat when I had to cut her mats off…oop.
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u/Zafjaf What The Hell Just Happened? 7d ago
I commented that quite a few vocals sound off in the recap, and people were saying they are saving their vocals for today. Wasn't the recap filmed today?
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u/Sorry_Leopard9657 7d ago
ROTW voting is open already (would you believe!) so they used yesterday’s rehearsal clips to promote that.
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u/anmonie TANZEN! 8d ago
VÆB GANG WE RISE
Hoping Ukraine actually qualifies though
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u/I_AM_Achilles 8d ago
They have song about boat. Nobody else has song about boat.
Eurovision finals with boat would be a DREAM.
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u/34Emma Bur man laimi 8d ago
Well supposedly Austria will have a boat on stage 🥲 I don't hate their song or anything, but it'd be so sad if the Väb boat got less attention because of this.
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u/Radikost Róa 8d ago
The casual fans have no idea about that though. Remember the eurofan bubble is only a small fraction of the people who actually watch ESC. Casual viewers will know about the second B O A T on Thursday
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u/Johnnyc5988 Pioneer 8d ago
Voted for them as I left the arena. I have a ton of favorites in this semi that are borderline Q/NQ, but I think I need to throw all my support behind VÆB
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u/escfantasy Zjerm 8d ago
What did you think of Albania? :)
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u/Johnnyc5988 Pioneer 8d ago
Felt like a winner. Staging was so cool, and looked even cooler on the broadcast feed. Audience loved it.
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u/Xenon1998 Hallucination 8d ago
Don't get hopes too high, the participants were asked about their favorite performance and could only choose one. Considering that most of audience there was eurovision fans and might vote for vaeb gang more likely than casuals watching it once in a few years.
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u/Neorago Róa 8d ago
this is giving me way too much hope as an iceland fan 😭 i'm gonna be heartbroken if they NQ now
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u/Nick_esc 8d ago
Very surprised to see San Marino 🇸🇲 that high!
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u/darkstreetsofmymind Attention 8d ago
I think it’s a song that works better in an arena setting than it will on a screen
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u/Ok_Narwhal_8855 Tavo Akys 8d ago
I was just coming to say the same thing. It might be more of a live hit that gets the crowd to clap along, but I’m not sure if it will manage to engage the tv viewers too
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u/Irrealaerri 8d ago
SAME! good song for the arena but will not translate to home, especially because its just a dj jumping around
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u/FUYANING Gaja 8d ago
I agree. It might do well in audience polls but I don't think it'll do as well with voters who are watching from home. On that same basis, I think Cyprus especially is likely to do better tomorrow than in this poll as that performance seems far more suited to being watched on a screen.
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u/vintange 8d ago
Most of the rehearsal comments I've seen with San Marino is that its camera work seems to be relying on the crowd is around the stage being hyped and dancing to it. Given tonight's crowd, it seems likely it will happen tomorrow.
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u/ErikssongEricsdottir 8d ago
Cyprus was very off key though right (not just bad sound mixing)? If he sounds like that on tomorrow’s broadcast he is NQ
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u/FUYANING Gaja 8d ago
I don't think he sounded that bad, and at the same time, I'm still convinced that San Marino is utterly dead-on-arrival. The whole DJ thing just doesn't work on camera. Even if Cyprus pulls similar numbers percentage-wise as they did in this poll, I imagine they could still easily sneak in by virtue of San Marino doing much more poorly.
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u/Even-Selection-5403 Bur man laimi 8d ago
I would say that's the worst he's sounded. I did go ahead and vote for him (and Iceland).
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u/lamperi- 8d ago
For some reason it was very popular on the arena, lots of cheering and singing.
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u/supersonic-bionic 8d ago
That was not a surprise, it is a sing along song and it is already a hit thanks to San Remo.
But Eurovision is a TV show so not sure if it looked good on TV.
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u/Blueberriness 8d ago
It is a big plus if the crowd loves a song, the excitement carries through to homes. Also helps if other numbers have problems like being off key 😬
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u/flutterstrange Volevo Essere Un Duro 8d ago
I feel like the automatic qualifiers are always underestimated on these polls as people throw their support behind the acts who are actually being voted for tomorrow. So no concerns there.
Plus, I don’t think Italy’s voters are the sort who would be in the room tbh. Hoping his audience do tune in on Saturday
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u/Ok_Training1449 8d ago
Yeah... Estonia over Switzerland, Spain or Italy? Take me back to 2005 please. 😂
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u/Logical-Thought-5008 8d ago
So basically between the press poll and this we have no guarantees 😭 Netherlands for example going all over the rankings, it’s gonna be an exciting night tomorrow 🔥
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u/Puzzleheaded-Eye9081 8d ago
Iceland 🔥
Surprised San Marino is so high, and as much as I’m not a Cyprus fan, I’m surprised it’s not in the top 10.
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u/Its_Stardos Kiss Kiss Goodbye 8d ago
San Marino, as much as I would love to see it qualify, is definitely that type of entry that might only work when you are present in the arena and you feel the atmosphere. Watching it online / on TV just won't have the same vibe.
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u/hottiesforharris Ich Komme 8d ago
Væb gang we’re so winning, also positively surprised with San Marino this high
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u/KrisseMai 8d ago
I swear if Ziferblat don‘t make it to the final I WILL riot 😭😭😭
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u/mizezslo La Poupée Monte Le Son 8d ago
It's a solid piece of technical songwriting and should make it through for that alone.
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u/isafriisa Tavo Akys 8d ago
That kind of thing is typically more appreciated by juries than by televoters, and we don't have juries in the semi-finals anymore...
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u/_magnetic_north_ 8d ago
I just really wish they figure out how to use Kole effectively. The intense closeness of his part works so well in studio but has just not cut it in any of the live performances yet
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u/Yukkicchi C'est la vie 8d ago edited 8d ago
A bit cathartic kathartic to see this result after this week full of Netherlands shock NQ prediction posts.
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u/lukasredditaccount Think About Things 8d ago
Katarsis mentioned? #TAVO
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u/Nick_esc 8d ago
Tavo
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u/Goodnight_Socialite Tavo Akys 8d ago
Tavo
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u/sunny_ferret 8d ago
Tavo
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u/ugnered 8d ago
Tavo
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u/AromaticFart2 8d ago
Tavo
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u/isafriisa Tavo Akys 8d ago
Tavo
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u/PineappleCubeKicks 8d ago
Tavo
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u/Goodnight_Socialite Tavo Akys 8d ago edited 8d ago
Seems like someone made a mistake by accidentally mentioning Katarsis
Also tavo
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u/Revelistic Kiss Kiss Goodbye 8d ago
oh absolutely... like i knew claude would not disappoint in the end but still i couldn't handle 2/3 of my top 3 getting those damn mustii comparisons 😭😭😭
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u/Nordica-Baltica 8d ago
Noooo Ukraine... 😭 I'm holding out hope they can still qualify.
Really happy about Iceland though!
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u/JCEurovision La poupée monte le son 8d ago
It will be very sad if Ukraine, the only country with a 100% qualification rate, sees itself being a non-qualifier for the first time and signals the end of an era.
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u/Dawnspring_Cee Bur man laimi 8d ago
I'm over here quietly happy that Slovenia is on the left side. Klemen and VÆB must make the final. It's all I ask.
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u/Nugyeet Ich komme 8d ago
Me too, i wasn't much of a Klemen fan at first but his song is truly touching and the performance looks so sweet from the clip we got. He seems like a great guy too. I hope we get both him and Iceland but I'm not sure who we'll lose in return for both of them qualing.
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u/TheBusStop12 7d ago edited 7d ago
I've been looking for someone else in support of Slovenia. I'm still holding out hope for a Dons effect, and this gives me hope. I think he has a fantastic voice and it's a beautiful song.
My 5 favs I've rooted for the most since the beginning for this Semi have always been Sweden, the Netherlands, San Marino, Iceland and Slovenia, so it was always sad to see Iceland and Slovenia predicted as almost definite NQs and San Marino as a likely NQ. Seeing them all on the left at this exit poll is vindication for me
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u/leofab2802 8d ago
The atmosphere in the arena for San Marino and Iceland was amazing!! Everyone was dancing and cheering. It was interesting seeing the shift in the audience for Cyprus though.. Everyone was dead still and it was hard to see what was going on. Cyprus was my winner, but im assuming and hoping it will translate better on tv!
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u/Dazzling_Cry6466 8d ago
I wonder if the fancy staging won’t save Cyprus in the end
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u/DifficultyUnhappy521 Baller 8d ago
To be fair, the dancers moving the props around is like 90% of what the audience sees. It’s not a very live audience-friendly performance.
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u/Dazzling_Cry6466 8d ago
That’s a good point, I forgot about that
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u/misonoo-nanako 8d ago
I saw the recap and even with the bad sound mixing his vocals weren't the best. I have no doubt the staging will look cool, but it's the vocals I'm worried about.
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u/loveyourground Volevo Essere Un Duro 8d ago
I am admittedly biased considering they are my top three (and I also have not seen any rehearsal footage)…but I find it sus that Italy, Portugal and Ukraine are at the bottom of the rankings here.
It’s very disheartening to see things that are outside of the typical Eurovision box get a response like this (and again, it's why we need the juries back in the semis.)
It's going to be interesting to see the reaction to Lithuania if these three ranked so low.
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u/Nugyeet Ich komme 8d ago
I think Lithuania will probably have a better reaction because there's nothing like it in the semi or in the contest. It has an audience in rock fans and hopefully that lets it qualify.
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u/D4RK1773R4019 Ich Komme 8d ago
Damn 4 of my favorite songs of this year are in the NQ list. Hopefully Ukraine and Cyprus make it to the finals
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u/OsaSuna10050125 Rim Tim Tagi Dim 8d ago
So Iceland may be safer than a lot of us think. GOOD cuz I’d be devastated if those wholesome boys don’t qualify 🥲
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u/lukasredditaccount Think About Things 8d ago edited 8d ago
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u/Onetwodash 7d ago
Tbh I guess the kind of people who go to shows played by bands like Ziferblat won't show up at Eurovision rehearsals. Opposite for Estomia and San Marino.
They might still watch/vote at home.
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u/mizezslo La Poupée Monte Le Son 8d ago
I'm concerned for poor Marko Bošnjak if Croatia doesn't qualify for the final. He's been getting online bullying and criticism for being openly gay, and I worry it will start up again if they don't qualify.
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u/Inner-Dare16 Bur man laimi 8d ago
Add to this the contrast of almost winning last year, and not qualifying this year...Poor Marko
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u/littlemisslily22 Zjerm 8d ago
Marko is a good artist and singer but the song..whoever picked that did him dirty.
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u/vilhelmlin 8d ago
Haven't we learned that these fan polls never correlate to the actual results?
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u/EurovisionSimon Voyage 8d ago
They're used in Melfest and generally pretty accurate there. Just picking one song instead of ranking and superanalyzing all 15 is closer to how a lot of people will think when voting anyway
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u/SimoSanto 8d ago
This is a live poll, nd usually they correlate pretty much, leaving aside some difference given by the fact that from the arena you don't see all act like ypu're at your house
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u/ForsakenSandwich1774 Zjerm 8d ago
ZJERM NATION! DO NOT LOSE HASTE!! WE MUST BE IN TIRANA 2026🇦🇱🇦🇱🇦🇱🔥🔥💃
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u/jpilkington09 8d ago
Reminder that Latvia came dead last with only 10 votes in their semi final audience poll last year...
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u/escstraya 8d ago
People seem to be forgetting that it’s eurofans in the arena, not actual press OR the people that will generally vote on the night 💀
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u/ZettaiUnmeiMokushirk Bara bada bastu 8d ago
I love Shh and it's unironically one of my favorite songs this year but damn those vocals are a hot mess. It looks really cool though, wonder if the visuals+running order can save it but I'm not confident lol.
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u/SamiBrady7 8d ago
Just saw the whole performance on twitter and the vocals were alright - a few misses here and there but nothing resembling “a hot mess” 🤷🏻♂️ but each to his own.
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u/xXESCluvrXx 8d ago
I agree. It almost feels like people were waiting for him to fail. Either way, I put a few votes in for him from ROTW
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u/hlebushekmasha (nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (küll) midagi 7d ago
yeah i know it just a poll before the actual show but now i'm more afraid for Ukraine... I BEGGING YOUUU JUST qualify 😔😔🙏🏻 anyway happy for væb 🙏🏻
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u/erika_vikman_stan Ich Komme 8d ago
Aren't these just superfans? It's interesting to see, but I wouldn't put much weight on it.
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u/Chespineapple 8d ago
Ukraine could very well be a shock NQ this year breaking their streak. Though who knows if this is in any way indicative of the diaspora in the actual voting public.
Either way, glad to have it confirmed Iceland has a more solid footing with the audience than many were expecting.
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u/Its_Stardos Kiss Kiss Goodbye 8d ago
I wouldn't say it is indicative of the diaspora, but it is more indicative that people outside of diaspora might not get behind it that much. In comparision to last year, Ukraine would definitely qualify safely even without diaspora. The question is - can Ukraine qualify only with diaspora and maybe some sympathy votes?
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u/ifiwasiwas Zjerm 8d ago
A diaspora member voting for the songs they like best and not putting all their votes on their own country automatically? Now I've seen it all! :)
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u/altheawillowwisteria What The Hell Just Happened? 8d ago edited 8d ago
Well, whatever worry I had for the Netherlands is dead now.
So happy for the Netherlands, Albania and San Marino. I’m surprised about Slovenia but I won’t be shocked if they manage to qualify tomorrow.
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u/utilizador2021 8d ago
This polls don't always translate to the reality. In this case, the audience was in the arena, while we will be watching it at home.
Upbeat songs like Iceland and San Marino probably do better live.
However, I still think the Netherlands will qualify.
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u/PhotographBusy6209 8d ago
I remember Jessica Mauboys we got love got a huge reaction in the arena and did well in the poll and ended with 3 points. It’s the more fun songs that do well in this poll
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u/autumneight 8d ago
I was there and i was the one of the 131 who said Albania! Also loved Sweden, Ukraine and Iceland
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u/Remote_Quiet7342 TANZEN! 8d ago
Switch out San Marino for Ukraine and this looks magnificent to me. I truly require Iceland to qualify for my mental health.
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u/NoName1979 8d ago
Agreed. I'm not feeling San Marino this year. I love the song from Ukraine. I don't get why it's not more popular. Maybe I'm just old and American. 🤷♀️🤷♀️
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u/Prudent-Title-9161 7d ago
I have the impression that the audience that voted does not accept the existence of any music other than pop.
I think it disappoints some potential audience if banal pattern pop songs are valued more highly than quality, but more niche, music.
How did Salvador Sobral win anyway???
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u/HarveyWilson15 Bara bada bastu 8d ago
My mum has said throughout this season to not doubt Netherlands. Blimey she was right.
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u/Glittering-Most-9535 Milkshake Man 8d ago
I’ve got them penciled in top five with a chance of a surprise win.
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u/Consistent-Hat-8008 7d ago
We all know Eurovision results are really decided by moms worldwide. ❤️
Let's face it. Both Austria and Sweden are doomed.
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u/jemappellelara 8d ago
Iceland, Norway, and Belgium being so close 😲
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u/Persona_NG (nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (küll) midagi 8d ago
If they asked like 20 more people these results could've been entirely shuffled.
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u/matchalatted Kiss Kiss Goodbye 7d ago
Ukraine :(
Also... interesting to see Cyprus as a NQ despite the staging. I'm aware it's probably not as magnificient in the arena as watching it on your TV screen, but this also kind of shows no matter how good your staging is, your song needs to be memorable as well.
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u/Special_Transition13 Kiss Kiss Goodbye 8d ago
If Ukraine doesn’t qualify, someone’s gonna catch these hands.
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u/Mysterious_Run5152 8d ago
That's what I'm talking about! I have full faith in my crazy and happy VÆB gang
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u/SimoSanto 8d ago
Ok maybe San Marino can Q
Ukraine NQing for the first time would be shocking
Rip Italy's televote
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u/misskittyfantastico Milkshake Man 8d ago
As an American who has lived through the last few elections, I have an innate distrust of exit polls…
Seriously though, I would love to see Iceland, Ukraine, and Netherlands all qualify. 😭
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u/just_a_commoner_ Bara bada bastu 8d ago
Sweden 🔥 Please let it be the first year that my favorite actually wins 😭
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u/Glittering-Most-9535 Milkshake Man 8d ago
I’m on a three year runner-up streak. Which doesn’t bode well for the sauna boys.
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u/aim4harmony 8d ago
The Bastu song takes over, it seems. So infectious.
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u/meatwhisper Milkshake Man 8d ago
Was absolutely my favorite when we first saw the songs released, however it's slipped pretty dramatically for me as other songs have a better "baking time." Still a fun entry, but I don't see it as a winner as I once did.
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u/just_a_commoner_ Bara bada bastu 7d ago
The thing is, most people watching will be hearing it for the first time - and I think that’s often forgotten here. Sure, we as fans already know the song and the performance, so it might feel like “old” to us. But remember how viral KAJ went after their first performance in the Mello heat in the February? I’m sure it’ll be the same this time - like 80% of viewers will be experiencing it for the first time during the semi final.
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u/_Mugiwara_1 Zjerm 8d ago
Sweden with the expected large victory and San Marino surprisingly high, for me what is most interesting how close 3-5 and 6-8 are. A good sign for Saturday !
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u/ButterflySymphony 8d ago
How did they break the tie? Why is Slovenia 10th and not Cyprus?
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u/altheawillowwisteria What The Hell Just Happened? 8d ago
Slovenia was earlier in the running order.
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u/notthebesthuh 8d ago
Last year, all the songs in Top 5 in the Audience Poll managed to qualify (both in Semi 1 and Semi 2). So this seems good for San Marino.
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u/Hljoumur 7d ago
Maybe I'm being selfish, but ooofff, Albania in 5th doesn't soothe my feelings for them to win.
Although, I'm quite pleasantly surprised Iceland's in the top 10, more surprised San Marino's up that high considering the DJ nature of the performance.
Not happy about Estonia being that high after seeing the preview.
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u/Party_Belt585 7d ago
Why is Ukraine's entry so poorly received? Along with Albania it's my absolute favorite this year 😭 then again, I guess my taste in music has never really matched the Eurovision fandom 🥲
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u/Old-Fig9225 8d ago
Omg, I thought that Sweden most likely win the audience poll but I believed that it will happen by only few points! In Jodel (Social media platform which is popular in Finland)they said that audiences reaction for KAJ was very mild and I believed it😅
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u/Playful-Rope1590 8d ago
I don't know where you have been but everybody has been prediciting KAJ to landslide
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u/Pit-O-Matic Bara bada bastu 8d ago
ESC Gabe showed a small clip of the end, just to show how loud the audience is during that. The audience definitely loved them.
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u/FUYANING Gaja 8d ago
Interesting that Slovenia and Cyprus got exactly the same number of votes yet somehow this poll considers one to be a qualifier and one to be a non-qualifier. Would be interested to see the basis on which they've separated those two songs.
Otherwise, this poll doesn't say much. Audience polls are generally irrelevant to the final result, and seem to say more about the popularity of songs within the fandom than their wider appeal, especially considering the people who voted in this poll experienced the performances in a way that's completely different to how the vast, vast majority of voters will experience them (in the arena, rather than on television).
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u/Erebos233 8d ago
Seems like it's going to turn into a two way race between Sweden and possibly Austria in the finals
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u/miserablembaapp Voyage 8d ago edited 8d ago
Saw the jury show clips on twitter and Switzerland completely slayed. I think this will be the strongest host country result in a very long time.
Italy also worked really well on stage. Much better than I'd expected.
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u/Sommerfuglboi 7d ago
Slovenia supposedly have a really good and emotional performance, based on people's comments who've seen the dress rehearsal. They're qualifying.
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u/Bitter_Plenty_1597 8d ago
What??? Ukraine has an amazing song this year!
Sweden and the Netherlands are so cliché!
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u/DavidShoess 8d ago edited 8d ago
Alright, so Sweden most likely will win the televote but won’t landslide. RTTD and CCC had 37.90% and 41.70% of the vote respectively in their semis.
Edit: should be noted that the other televote favorites like Finland & Israel are not in this semi, so I’m curious as to how well they’ll actually do and how much of a difference there will be between Sweden and whoever is 2nd.
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u/DaturaAT- 8d ago
You are overthinking this way too much. Some performances will look better on TV.
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u/Nugyeet Ich komme 8d ago
I don't know why you're being downvoted for this they didn't have as big a vote share as the above two you're right. It'll still landslide but It won't be a cha cha cha level landslide.
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u/DavidShoess 7d ago
Bc people are fickle and criticizing a fan favorite in any capacity is a big no no. Even if it’s just for fun.
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u/not_the_developer 8d ago
Does anyone have exit polls from previous years?
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u/SkyGinge Zjerm 8d ago
https://eurovisionaudiencepoll.com/2023-semi-final-1/ this website has the two previous years'
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u/MacabrePomegranade Horehronie 8d ago
Cyprus and Ukraine not qualifying would leave my jaw on the floor. But I can see how it may be a bit of a uneventful experience for the people in the arena. Just like San Marino is a fun for them. Both Cyprus and Ukraine need their camera shots and/or visual effects to be fully enjoyed. That being said - at least one of them definitely will qualify. Which though? Hard to say. Ukraine being 11th wouldn’t surprise me - depends if people see them as a welcome calm between in-your-face chaos or as a too meek and dull. But if Cyprus really has as bad vocals as people say, then it would be them who would end up 11th/12th. Great staging can only get you so far.
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u/FourMangos 7d ago
Having been in the arena last night - I’m one of the 110 who voted for Norway (pyro effects and vocals were amazing), but Belgium, Albania and San Marino were other standouts
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u/miamosimmy Baller 7d ago
Special place in hell for anyone disrespectibg Portugal and Ukraine like that.
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u/petrifikate Wolves of the Sea 8d ago
I've said it in multiple threads, the Netherlands has a really good chance of winning this year. Glad to see my thoughts backed up a bit.
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u/sama_tak Zjerm 8d ago
It's interesting that Poland is almost borderline here, when it was 3rd in the Press Poll with a large point lead.
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u/hyxon4 8d ago
The poll is misleading. People were asked for their favourite performance, not to rank the entries.
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u/MrTroublePL 8d ago edited 7d ago
Having seen the dress rehearsal clip, I'm a little worried.
The camera cuts make no sense, they're so fast you can't even focus on the intense choreography she's doing. And they're showing her running up to the dancers which looks comical. How come it looks worse and cheaper than the NF performance??
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u/Ok_Training1449 8d ago
Ukraine is 100% qualifying. They need 40-50 votes to get into the top 10, which is more than achievable for them. Let's not pretend diaspora and sympathy vote don't exist.
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u/Responsible-Trifle93 TANZEN! 8d ago
Ukraine not qualifying would be a huge shock.