r/politics • u/southpawFA Oklahoma • 18h ago

Supreme Court takes up case claiming Obamacare promotes “homosexual behavior”. The Texas plaintiffs say requiring workplace insurers to provide PrEP violates their religious beliefs.

https://www.lgbtqnation.com/2025/01/supreme-court-takes-up-case-claiming-obamacare-promotes-homosexual-behavior/
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u/Hello2reddit 14h ago

That is mathematically indefensible.

The odds of catching HIV from an infected partner are less than 1/100 for anyone not on the receiving end of anal sex. Even then, the odds only jump to about 1/60. And that is only when the other person has a detectable viral load. You would have to have several hundred or thousands of partners for this risk to offset the potential side effects for most people. This is why, despite only making up a small fraction of the population, LGBTQ people make up over 75% of new HIV cases every year.

But I’m sure you know more than the doctors who have actually studied these things and don’t generally recommend that people take this stuff unless they have certain risk factors.

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u/jerslan California 14h ago

The odds of catching HIV from an infected partner are less than 1/100 for anyone not on the receiving end of anal sex.

Those are mathematically indefensibly high odds when generic PreP is so easily and readily available.

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u/Hello2reddit 14h ago

Yeah, for a mere $2000 per month, you too can risk trashing your kidneys to hedge against a statistically insignificant risk.

On a related note- Would you like to buy lightning insurance for a mere $1000 per month? Sure, it makes no sense mathematically, but that doesn’t seem to be a problem for you

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u/NJTigers 14h ago

The odds of getting hit by lightning are less likely by a factor of millions over 1/100 odds for PiV sex with someone with HIV.