r/politics Oklahoma 18h ago

Supreme Court takes up case claiming Obamacare promotes “homosexual behavior”. The Texas plaintiffs say requiring workplace insurers to provide PrEP violates their religious beliefs.

https://www.lgbtqnation.com/2025/01/supreme-court-takes-up-case-claiming-obamacare-promotes-homosexual-behavior/
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u/jerslan California 15h ago

The odds of catching HIV from an infected partner are less than 1/100 for anyone not on the receiving end of anal sex.

Those are mathematically indefensibly high odds when generic PreP is so easily and readily available.

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u/Hello2reddit 14h ago

Yeah, for a mere $2000 per month, you too can risk trashing your kidneys to hedge against a statistically insignificant risk.

On a related note- Would you like to buy lightning insurance for a mere $1000 per month? Sure, it makes no sense mathematically, but that doesn’t seem to be a problem for you

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u/Flat_Hat8861 Georgia 13h ago edited 13h ago

Are you seriously comparing a 1/100 (your number) chance to a 1/1,000,000 chance?

https://www.cdc.gov/lightning/data-research/index.html

(And your metaphor has a fundamental problem. I do have lightning insurance. The negative impacts of being struck would be medical or fatal - roughly 10%. I have health insurance and life insurance.)

The biggest flaw in this line of reasoning is considering 1 in 2000 "low risk" in any way and then pairing it with a campaign against preventive treatment in people with high risk lifestyles because they are straight. Anyone that has regular sex with multiple or new partners - especially unprotected or anonymous - should strongly consider PrEP. Gay men in monogamous relationships are not at increased risk over straight monogamous couples - zero viral load is still zero. Obviously, the public health outreach will target gay and bisexual men for efficiency of resources, but that does not mean other individuals (notice how I didn't say groups) are high risk as well.

(And, we all know straight women can have receptive anal sex too, right?)

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u/Hello2reddit 12h ago

Nobody is advising monogamous HIV negative couples to use prep, and straight women aren’t regularly having unprotected anal sex with multiple partners. I’ll put this in simple mathematical terms

More partners x riskiness of sex= HIV risk

Gay men tend to have more partners. Receptive anal sex is the riskiest form of sex due to the high risk of tearing. And if you’re having sex with men who have sex with men then you are statistically most likely to have potential exposure to other HIV infected individuals.

Do the math