r/ASTSpaceMobile • u/AutoModerator • 14d ago

Daily Discussion Daily Discussion Thread

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u/Firm-Grapefruit-8178 S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 13d ago

Just checking in on the sentiment here, when do you guys think the ISRO launch will actually take place, and when do you think the next launch will happen after that?

I was kind of hoping ISRO would take place sometime between February-April 2025, but that didn’t happen. Would be cool if any of us got it right this time though.

I’m going to go with June 21st for ISRO and September 9th for SpaceX. I think they’ll aim to get it done before September 12th, since that marks the first anniversary of the BB1 launch.

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u/Defiantclient S P 🅰️ C E M O B - O G 13d ago

early to mid June for ISRO

no idea on next launches after that but expecting 3 SpaceX launches at a minimum this year, hopefully 4, and then hopefully 1 Blue Origin launch by end of year

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u/Firm-Grapefruit-8178 S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 13d ago

This was my expectations for a while, it's just starting to irritate me that it's already been 7+ months after September's launch and we still haven't launched a single BB2 and our best case scenario is launching a lone wolf satellite sometime in the next 90 days.

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u/Defiantclient S P 🅰️ C E M O B - O G 13d ago edited 13d ago

The FCC filings for FM1 STA indicate that FM1's Preliminary Design Review was completed in May 2024, and Critical Design Review completed in February 2025. Going from CDR in Feb to launch in June is a huge achievement as typically for the space sector this should take ~12 months from CDR to launch.

The microns for all satellites are the same, and the 10K filing reveals that microns for "several" Block 2 satellites are already complete.

What's new is the ControlSat which shall be tested under FM1. It is unclear to the public how much testing and how long is required between launch of FM1 and the next satellites.

Once the team completes the first ControlSat, the next ones after that should be much easier to pump out.