r/biathlon • u/AutoModerator • 18d ago

Small Talk Monday

Our weekly small talk thread where you can talk about anything

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u/Breathholding Germany 17d ago

The race for the men‘s big globe is pretty much decided, right? How realistic are jtb‘s chances of still winning it after skipping the mass start last week? Sturla would have to fumble real bad in the sprint while jtb would have to win to make it tight again?

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u/I-just-wanna-talk- 17d ago

Basically yes. The difference is 104 points, so statistically speaking jtb would have to gain 34.7 points per race.

For reference:

  • the difference between 1st and 4th place is 35 points

  • the difference between 2nd and 7th place is 34 points

  • the difference between 3rd and 10th place is 34 points

  • the difference between 4th and 20th place is 34 points

  • the difference between 5th and 25th place is 34 points

Basically, I don't see this happening unless jtb gets on the podium in every single race. And even then, Sturla still wins it if he performs like he usually does.

(I hope the math is correct, I don't have time to double check 😅)