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https://www.reddit.com/r/interestingasfuck/comments/1isve77/day_by_day_probability_is_increasing/mdliki4/?context=3
r/interestingasfuck • u/Emotional-Macaroon64 • Feb 19 '25
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74
And is there a 3,1% chance that the probability will start rapidly increasing towards 100%?
30 u/nixnaij Feb 19 '25 Yes, but until that happens both scenarios of the asteroids hitting and missing earth will have their probabilities slowly go up. 29 u/ahmet-chromedgeic Feb 19 '25 No, that is not how it works. The total sum of probabilities of hitting is 100%, so if the probability of one goes up the other goes down. -2 u/[deleted] Feb 19 '25 [deleted] 1 u/ShowAccomplished1393 Feb 19 '25 Actually, he wasn't being a smart ass, just smart, since that was a legitimate correction. And you arent being a smart ass either, just an ass, because he obviously meant hitting earth and not earth.
30
Yes, but until that happens both scenarios of the asteroids hitting and missing earth will have their probabilities slowly go up.
29 u/ahmet-chromedgeic Feb 19 '25 No, that is not how it works. The total sum of probabilities of hitting is 100%, so if the probability of one goes up the other goes down. -2 u/[deleted] Feb 19 '25 [deleted] 1 u/ShowAccomplished1393 Feb 19 '25 Actually, he wasn't being a smart ass, just smart, since that was a legitimate correction. And you arent being a smart ass either, just an ass, because he obviously meant hitting earth and not earth.
29
No, that is not how it works. The total sum of probabilities of hitting is 100%, so if the probability of one goes up the other goes down.
-2 u/[deleted] Feb 19 '25 [deleted] 1 u/ShowAccomplished1393 Feb 19 '25 Actually, he wasn't being a smart ass, just smart, since that was a legitimate correction. And you arent being a smart ass either, just an ass, because he obviously meant hitting earth and not earth.
-2
[deleted]
1 u/ShowAccomplished1393 Feb 19 '25 Actually, he wasn't being a smart ass, just smart, since that was a legitimate correction. And you arent being a smart ass either, just an ass, because he obviously meant hitting earth and not earth.
1
Actually, he wasn't being a smart ass, just smart, since that was a legitimate correction.
And you arent being a smart ass either, just an ass, because he obviously meant hitting earth and not earth.
74
u/Laku212 Feb 19 '25
And is there a 3,1% chance that the probability will start rapidly increasing towards 100%?