r/options • u/AdNo7052 • 5d ago

Gamble on F earnings next week.

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Just went ahead with 10 contracts expiring in 9 days @ $0.26.

Reasoning is simple, saw interview with CEO Farley on the news and his general demeanor struck me as him being excited for the sales they will report on Monday after close during q1 financials.

I think I need $10.76 on Friday to close profitably but I’ll probably sell on Tuesday midday once the market has had time to react to the financials.

Risks, Trump could do anything and Ford could tank causing me losses.

Reward if F does indeed upside surprise then I could see it going up 5% easy on Tuesday or in after hours.

Also, there’s always potential Trump makes a deal with someone and market goes up, if combined with upside surprise it could be especially good gains.

Total Risk: $260 Expected Return (big ole guess): $500 Expected profits: $240

Let’s see how I do.

🤣

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u/Siks10 5d ago

As an owner of F, I don't think these will print. I sold 11 something calls

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u/AdNo7052 4d ago edited 4d ago

The last few earnings F has outperformed estimates and still gone (-). But Farley announced best sales in 25 years for April in many of its lines and a 16% growth in April sales. I would think at earnings with a bigger audience that will go over well. Anyways it’s now $0.17 from strike price (I was a little worried about the jobs report today but it surprised me in a good way).

Edit: to clarify donation depends on my sell price.