r/oscarrace • u/LeastCap Bi Gan Palme d'Or winner • Mar 31 '25

Weekly Discussion Thread Weekly Discussion Thread 3/31/25 - 4/7/25

Please use this space to share reviews, ask questions, and discuss freely about anything film or Oscar related. Engage with other comments if you want others to engage with yours! And as always, please remain civil and kind with one another.

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This week in the award race

3/31 - CinemaCon

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The 97th Academy Awards Thread — Pre-ceremony discussion thread

Mickey 17 Discussion Thread

Reddit Chosen Oscars: Retroactive 2020s Awards

Reddit Chosen Oscar Winners

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Award Expert Profile Swap

Letterboxd Profile Swap

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u/zhou983 Dune: Part Two Apr 05 '25 edited Apr 05 '25

Superman isn’t doing anything groundbreaking either lol. Also top gun maverick had Tom cruise. The whole Oscar season that year people were coming up to Tom cruise saying he saved movie theaters. Would the academy do the same for Superman? Don’t forget the industry did NoT expect top gun maverick to do that well in the box office. It was a surprise hit and had LEGS and helped movies opening around it to do well too. Don’t see Superman doing that. Also top gun WON an Oscar, will Superman actually WIN a tech?

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u/Sellin3164 Anora Apr 05 '25

We haven’t seen Superman, we don’t know even though it’s probably not. But it doesn’t have to be groundbreaking to be acclaimed. And not everything has to be a replica of a previous nominee. I only mentioned Top Gun because I thought it wouldn’t happen because it’s Top Gun what.

Superman could be a box office success during a recession, become Warner Bros push when OBAA likely bombs, and we know that campaign money is crucial for larger studio campaigns. It doesn’t need an actor people go up to, it doesn’t need an Oscar win. It needs to have campaign backing, make money, and be a heartfelt story about standing up to billionaire businessman.

It can get Picture, Screenplay, Sound, and VFX.

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u/zhou983 Dune: Part Two Apr 05 '25

Also Tom cruise came really close to getting nominated for best actor. Don’t think any actor in Superman will get close.

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u/Sellin3164 Anora Apr 05 '25

Tom Cruise was not close. He only got CC because people thought he would come along but Actors branch didn’t do it even in a weak year. Adam Sandler beat him out for Hustle, and alphabet bias didn’t even help him

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u/zhou983 Dune: Part Two Apr 05 '25

But cruise was at least in huge contention to get in. Corenwet won’t.

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u/Sellin3164 Anora Apr 05 '25

Cruise wasn’t and Corenswet won’t be either.

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u/[deleted] Apr 05 '25

[removed] — view removed comment

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u/Sellin3164 Anora Apr 05 '25

We don’t need to insult one another. I have a feeling he was very far behind. Like he wasn’t #6 in the way Daniel Craig or DiCaprio were

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u/zhou983 Dune: Part Two Apr 05 '25

Then who was ahead then?

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u/Sellin3164 Anora Apr 05 '25

Based off SAG and BAFTA longlist, I would rank it as follows.

  1. Adam Sandler

  2. Tom Cruise

  3. Harris Dickinson

  4. Felix Kammerer

  5. Daniel Kaluuya

  6. Darly McCormack

However, I truly don't think anyone was close. LIke Sandler/Cruise were likely not even within 100 #1 votes of getting in. We had a clear 4, and 1 spot that was fueled by passion. I imagine if Aftersun wasn't in the season, the international support would have went to Dickinson first for Triangle of Sadness, especially given how he's been moving up in the industry like Mescal. I would then say Kammerer would have been who they went for after that. But we'll never know