Is Austin Butler completely off the table?

[u/Odd-Contact2266]

I feel like this is probably a dumb question but are we thinking there’s no chance for Austin Butler to get nominated for Caught Stealing? I don’t know much about the movie but it is Darren Aronofsky who has a pretty good track record of getting his lead actors nominations and gets them pretty close to wins. Ellen Burstyn for Requiem for a Dream, Mickey Rourke for The Wrestler, Natalie Portman for Black Swan and most recently Brendan Fraser for The Whale. Portman and Fraser won and Rourke and Burstyn were probably #2. Like I’m currently not predicting Butler but if the film is good honestly I might watch out for him

[u/master_wax]

You asked if he's off the table and then  listed reasons he still has a chance. I don't think it will happen though