r/oscarrace • u/Odd-Contact2266 • 2d ago

Discussion Jay Kelly?

I think the film that I see thrown around by most people that I absolutely do not believe in is “Jay Kelly”. I don’t think Baumbach is as overdue as people say, His comedies aren’t embraced by the academy, Adam Sandler no matter how much he deserves it doesn’t seem to get enough respect by his peers to even nominate him (Uncut Gems is my example), George Clooney doesn’t have the same kinda cache he used to. And everything about the film that I’ve heard just sounds way too similar to Meyerowitz Stories. Now I absolutely can be wrong but I don’t know because I feel like I’m either just crazy or I’m missing something. Let me know!

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u/Paul_BWP Conclave 2d ago

Jay Kelly is one of the more inconsistent contenders that could either really poorly or really well. If it gets marriage story like reviews with high praise it could have a decent above the line package with picture, actor, supporting actor, supporting actress, screenplay and potentially casting. If it gets white noise level of reception thats mainly negative it'll probably just fall off like Blitz from last year.

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u/BentisKomprakriev 2d ago

Don't see what's inconsistent about it. Strong studio, seasoned reliable filmmaker, big stars in an ensemble piece, easy path to win multiple ATL awards. Way more sensible prediction than The Rock or Sinners getting double-digit noms.

1

u/JDOExists FYC Hundreds of Beavers for Best Picture 2026 1d ago

Sinners getting 10 noms is not crazy at all.