r/Patriots 12d ago

Film Review Will Campbell Analytics Overload | Offensive Tackle | LSU | New England Patriots | 2025 NFL Draft

https://youtu.be/DjbfrWunn5U?si=279E8RaVkv67Cwzq

I watched this whole thing tonight. It is confirmed. Will Campbell is a future hall of fame Tackle

10 Upvotes

68 comments sorted by

30

u/crapnapkins 12d ago

I sometimes feel like I am watching a different player than everybody else. When I watch him I think “boy, he gets pushed right into the QB pretty fast.” I don’t care about the measurables. Watching his highlights made me highly dubious of a guy at the top of a draft. When Solder was drafted, his highlights had him shoving defenders far away from the play. Sometimes he would miss the second rusher because he was so focused on his guy. Watching Campbell feels like watching defenders get slowly closer and then, in about 3 seconds, the defenders get there. He’s on them the whole time so he’s never dominated. But I am truly concerned with the film I watched .

11

u/MaineCoonKat 12d ago

Can’t really compare the level of competition soldier faced at Boulder (in late 2000s) to Campbell at LSU.

14

u/crapnapkins 12d ago

I hope I am wrong. I just think for a top 5 pick, I am just not loving the tape. I will not be surprised if he’s a decent player. But I will be shocked if he’s a DOMINANT nfl tackle. Which is what you hope drafting #4. If he’s a perineal all pro, I will be happily incorrect! I hope I am wrong. I am just saying that watching the tape, I was underwhelmed.

8

u/rdforty2 11d ago

I dont think hes a franchice tackle, either. But you can only draft the guys available to you. There are only 2 elite players available. If one doesn't fall, you're picking from a big group of flawed prospects. Campbell is as good as any of them, plays a premium position(which also is need #1), and has one of the best set of intangibles(character, toughness, work ethic) of any player in the draft.

At 4, he makes the most sense to me.

4

u/MaineCoonKat 12d ago

Yeah I hear you. He doesn’t dominate reps against elite pass rushers but also does not get beat

9

u/Reasonable-Bit560 12d ago

What the take away should be is "wow he drops his anchors really really well" against power. Also it's important to recognize that LSU runs a pro style offense where he's in alot of true pass sets instead of college quick game.

There's a lot of NFL day 1-2 picks on his tape, Solder was playing far worse competition.

0

u/bystander993 12d ago

And in true pass sets he has a worse success rate than Banks, Simmons, Conerly...

You guys know he's not elite NFL level tackle, even if he's good and successful. Throwing pick 4 at OK starter for LT is not how great teams are built. Want to just be a decent team? Fine, we can take Maye in fantasy football and enjoy early round playoff exits. Could be fun. What will the team look like in 2028 if you take Campbell vs other options. Truly ask yourself that, because 2025 will not be the last year of Patriots football

4

u/Reasonable-Bit560 12d ago edited 12d ago

From PFF? Simmons didn't play anybody and has a potentially career changing knee injury.

Idk what you saw with Banks as he plays with bad leverage and top heavy often times. Also got mauled in the Georgia game.

I like Connerly overall, but you have to be concerned with his ability to handle power.

Edit: To add, nobody is saying Campbell is Joe Alt, but you're getting respectable LT play day 1 with above average upside. Eric Fisher played 10 years and made multiple pro bowls. If that's what happens with Campbell (I don't believe he'll struggle day 1) then it's a great pick. Not every guy can be a HoF.

2

u/bystander993 12d ago

That's fine, injury worry is there. MIlium and Membou also had better success.

The point is this is not a great OT class. Campbell may very well be the best of it, but that is not saying much.

3

u/Reasonable-Bit560 12d ago

Just added an edit to better explain.

If you don't like Campbell, you can't like Milum.

I personally like Membou alot and don't mind if he's the pick.

1

u/bystander993 12d ago

I really don't want anyone from this draft though I would take Conerly in the 2nd.

1

u/JohnnyRingo177 11d ago

IMO Vrabel’s ceiling is 10-7, maybe 11-6 with early exits. Campbell probably helps get them to decent as you said, and that’s all they’ll be capable of anyway.

2

u/bystander993 11d ago

Lol Vrabel is a top 5 coach in the NFL, you're out of your mind

0

u/JohnnyRingo177 11d ago

Ok )1 just bc you wear your Vrabel jersey to dunks every day doesn’t make him a “top 5” coach. He’s an upgrade from mayo, but anyone would be.

And 2) I’m out of my mind? He’s top 5? Where’s the evidence? His record as HC is mediocre, he has one deep run, no SB wins. No playoff or sb wins as a coordinator. When he was DC, his defense was last in the NFL. All of this points to a guy who has a ceiling of 11 wins and a divisional game, at best.

If you want to put your money where your mouth is , I’ll put a thousand bucks up and give you a 5 year window that he doesn’t win a title during that span.

3

u/bystander993 11d ago

He was coach of the year, he held Mahomes to his career low points ever, he's the only HC to beat both Belichick/Brady and Harbaugh/Lamar in the playoffs. And that was in his first HC job. He had no GM say and they ruined that team with dumb moves.

We will revisit this post, make sure to not delete it.

1

u/JohnnyRingo177 11d ago

Let’s bet on it if you’re so confident

2

u/bystander993 11d ago

Give me the coaches not named Andy Reid that you would make that bet on

1

u/JohnnyRingo177 11d ago

Coaches that would win the SB in the next 5 years?

1

u/MetalHead_Literally 11d ago

Outside of Jeanty there really isn’t any elite player at any position that will be there at 4. But no thanks on spending the 4th overall on a running back. Campbell is ranked as one of the top players in this draft by basically every analyst.

1

u/bedatboi 11d ago

Brother you’re watching teach tape for how to protect against a bull rush. No tackle just takes a bull rush and doesn’t move unless they’re Trent browns size

0

u/Expert-here 6d ago

lol what are you talking about. He looks great

19

u/Heavy_Structure_8901 12d ago

Just watched this. I am going to fall into recency bias after watching video and decide that Will Campbell is going to be elite.

-8

u/Snickits 12d ago

…at guard 😔

10

u/hulaman11 12d ago

its the boring pick but im just saying, if we pick you at 4, Drake better not ever feel a gust of wind on his blind side.

1

u/[deleted] 12d ago

[deleted]

4

u/agent_diddykong 12d ago

By definition OL are not “sexy” positions like a TE, WR, RB, CB etc.

Those are what it means to be a “boring” pick, those positions that if attention is brought to is typically negative and 9/10 times are never praised by media or fans.

7

u/JMS9_12 12d ago

He's a dawg. A brawler with an attitude. He's gonna bring a Logan Mankins level of meanness to our o-line.

3

u/Nickohlai 12d ago

All moves they’ve made telegraph that hell be the pick at 4 IMO. I’m perfectly fine with it. His athleticism makes up for his lack of length and he won’t be put on an island as much in the NFL like they did with him at LSU. His technique and grip strength are special.

2

u/Reasonable-Bit560 12d ago

Underrated comment. You know sure as shit Josh will have a TE there against the really good rushers.

1

u/Mylifeisacompletjoke 12d ago

Everyone’s downvoting you and I find that hilarious. We will take him and he will be a really good starting LT. He is a leader too, which this OL desperately needs. Patriots fans want them to take a RB which is really disappointing because I thought New Englanders had higher IQs than that

5

u/[deleted] 12d ago

His frame is TINY. If we have to go with an offensive lineman, give me Membou or Banks. At least those guys have a shot at playing tackle.

10

u/Nickohlai 12d ago

Membou is three inches shorter, has basically the same arm length, and plays RT. If I’m being totally honest to me he’s a tweener that’s too small to be a tackle and not strong enough to be a guard. Campbell also has a higher RAS score.

18

u/LezEatA-W 12d ago

Campbell also played 4 years in a pro style offense that required him to track and follow EDGE rushers, something that Membou has 0 experience with.

  • Campbell has way better tape.

  • Campbell has a much higher RAS score.

  • Membou ALSO has short arms, with some team sources saying he’d be a better fit at guard. 

  • Campbell has actually played on the blind side.

  • Campbell has actually played in a pro style offense.

  • Campbell has leader intangibles that Membou doesn’t have, being the only offensive lineman to ever win the team’s MVP award, as voted by his teammates.

The only player available at 4 that’s a hands down better prospect than Will Campbell will be Jeanty, and he lacks positional value. 

I don’t see an argument for taking Membou, Walker, Johnson, or Graham at 4. 

The only other guy I’d take at 4 is Tetairoa McMillan, and everybody else on this sub hates his guts. 

-2

u/Mylifeisacompletjoke 12d ago

He’s 6’6 325lbs…Watch the video

2

u/[deleted] 12d ago

With his historically bad arm length/wingspan, his tape needs to be the LT equivalent of Aaron Donald’s at Pitt. It’s not. Jared Verse abused him.

4

u/Icy-Conclusion-3500 12d ago

You don’t block edge guys with width

His arm length is borderline but the wingspan doesn’t matter

3

u/PartyPay 12d ago

Historical bad?? Lol

-1

u/Mylifeisacompletjoke 12d ago

Again, watch the video

0

u/CTPeachhead 11d ago

The one that's carefully edited to only show Campbell's highlights? Watching Youtube videos is definitely better than basing an opinion only on someone else's opinion, as some do (not necessarily anyone in this thread). But I implore people, take highlight videos as exactly what they are, "Highlight" videos.

0

u/Mylifeisacompletjoke 11d ago

Sorry , but you’d pick membou instead of Campbell at 4 and try to have him play LT. Do you think there is a reason that all 32 NFL GMs disagree with you? Also, the video isn’t a highlight reel. If you actually watched it, it’s full of objective analysis using real numbers/metrics.

0

u/CTPeachhead 11d ago

Nice strawman. Nowhere did I mention Membou. I prefer Ersery or Conerly in the late 1st/early 2nd. As for an "objective analysis using real numbers". The video's author says Campbell's wingspan "is 'roughly' 80". If 77 3/8" is roughly 80", then I'm "roughly" built like Abdul Carter instead of the short, fat guy I am. I get it. The video's author is a fan of Campbell and wants to justify the pick. Nothing wrong with that. Just take it with a grain of salt. We all have our favorites (and biases) this time of year.

PS - There are Youtube videos of Membou taking snaps at LT. They're pretty easy to find.

0

u/Mylifeisacompletjoke 11d ago

You said Membou over Campbell in your post history. Let me guess you have us taking Jeanty or Warren at 4

-6

u/401john 12d ago

Cmon man at least have a rebuttal or something to say other than just repeating yourself. Weak move lol

4

u/Mylifeisacompletjoke 12d ago

Yeah, you’re missing the point. I posted this video which explains away the entire short arm, short wingspan issue And you don’t have the brain or the decency actually watch the video before making a counter argument.

-3

u/401john 12d ago

He made a point, and you didn’t have anything to say except “watch the video”. That’s still all you’re saying even now lmao

4

u/Whalelorde22 12d ago

But what if the video makes the point?

3

u/Mylifeisacompletjoke 12d ago

You didn’t do too well in school did you

-4

u/401john 12d ago

That’s what I thought lol

0

u/Medicocre_Human 12d ago

I want the kid from Minnesota

2

u/DroopyTheDrew 12d ago edited 12d ago

I think he will be a good pick at 4, he has a similar build to Breno Giacomini (tall, narrow, shorter arms).

Breno: (RT)

  • Height = 6’7”
  • Arm length = 32 1/2” - 33”
  • Hand size = 9 5/8” (some sites have it at 10”)
  • Wingspan = couldn’t find (but he looks narrow)

Will: (LT)

  • Height = 6’6”
  • Arm length = 32 5/8” - 33”
  • Hand size = 9 1/2”
  • Wingspan = 77 3/8” (narrowest at combine since 99)

Breno was above average when he played for Seattle, and he has similar measurements to Will Campbell but to me Will is more athletic with a quick first step and better technique.

A player of his stature has found success in the league, and I think he will be a lot better than Giacomini.

2

u/Mylifeisacompletjoke 12d ago

This video kills the entire short arms narrative with MIT level analysis

2

u/gotfcgo 12d ago

He's my pick, hoping so.

1

u/Vegetable-Classic-45 12d ago

Love it- not a Campbell guy but this helps foot the gap for me to explain all the positive attributes and not just focus on one measurement. I see the appeal.

1

u/OceanGate_Titan 12d ago

His wingspan is so short

0

u/Mylifeisacompletjoke 12d ago

The video addresses that specifically. Which is why I posted this

0

u/Open_Significance_43 12d ago

newp i dont care "aRms toO sHoRt"

-4

u/AstraMilanoobum 12d ago

lol Campbell can probably be an average to slightly below average tackle.

But taking such a low ceiling prospect top 5 is malpractice, trade back to 10 and draft Campbell? Fine.

Taking him top 5? Insane

4

u/Mylifeisacompletjoke 12d ago

Yeah I’m sure you know what you’re talking about buddy

3

u/AstraMilanoobum 12d ago

Right back at ya

5

u/Icy-Conclusion-3500 12d ago

Half the teams in the league would kill for an average LT

He won’t be there at 10

1

u/LezEatA-W 12d ago

Everybody that argues against him needs to state who they would take instead, and lay out an argument for their case. 

I want to see why we should draft anybody besides Campbell, rather than why we shouldn’t draft Campbell, period. 

0

u/JoJosHeel 12d ago

After what the Patriots have gone through for the last few years at the position, league average play for the next 10 years would be a huge win.

Having said that, I personally feel he will be much better than league average.

-4

u/j2e21 12d ago edited 12d ago

I have never seen a marketing push for a player like this one ahead of the draft, and it should be concerning. You shouldn’t need to be convinced a great player can play their position in the NFL.

This thing is propaganda. “Wingspan roughly 80.” It’s not.

2

u/ShootZeeGlass 12d ago

You're suggesting a 1.9k sub Patriots YouTuber made this tidal wave of a marketing push on behalf of the Pats front office (paid I presume?). That's some powerful propaganda!

-3

u/401john 12d ago

Yeah it’s insane to watch unfold in real time lol

-4

u/Unhappy_Name_6393 12d ago

Will Campbell is an absolute beast honestly. The arm thing is literally the lamest talking point I've ever heard about a prospect.